Originally posted by irishman3537
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How Israel Can Win
by Daniel Pipes (April 19, 2006)
Since I argued in an earlier column that Israel can and must defeat the Palestinian Arabs, a barrage of responses have contested this thesis. Some were trivial (Ha'aretz published an article challenging my right to opine on such matters because I do not live in Israel) but most raised serious issues that deserve an answer.
The ancient Chinese strategist Sun Tzu observed that in war, "Let your great object be victory," and he was echoed by the 17th-century Austrian war thinker, Raimondo Montecuccoli. His Prussian successor Clausewitz added that "War is an act of violence to compel the enemy to fulfill our will." These insights remain valid today: Victory consists of imposing one's will on the enemy, which typically means compelling him to give up his war goals. Conflicts usually end with one side's will being crushed.
In theory, that need not be the case. Belligerents can compromise, they can mutually exhaust each other, or they can resolve their differences under the shadow of a greater enemy (as when Britain and France, long seen as "natural and necessary enemies," in 1904 signed the Entente Cordiale, because of their shared worries about Germany.)
Such "no victor, no loser" resolutions are the exception in modern times, however. For example, although Iraq and Iran ended their 1980-88 war in a state of mutual exhaustion, this tie did not resolve their differences. Generally speaking, so long as neither side experiences the agony of defeat – having its hopes dashed, its treasury wasted, and lives extinguished – the possibility of war persists.
One might expect this agony to follow on a crushing battlefield loss, but since 1945 that has usually not been the case. Planes shot down, tanks destroyed, munitions exhausted, soldiers deserting, and land lost are rarely decisive. Consider the multiple Arab losses to Israel during 1948-82, North Korea's loss in 1953, Saddam Hussein's in 1991, and that of Iraqi Sunnis in 2003. In all these cases, battlefield defeat did not translate into despair.
In the ideological environment of recent decades, morale and will matter more. The French gave up in Algeria in 1962, despite out-manning and out-gunning their foes. The same applies to the Americans in Vietnam in 1975 and the Soviets in Afghanistan in 1989. The Cold War ended without a fatality.
Applying these insights to Israel's war with the Palestinian Arabs points to several conclusions:
* Israel hardly enjoys freedom of action to pursue victory; in particular, it is hemmed in by the wishes of its primary ally, the American government. That is why I, an American analyst, address this issue with the intention of influencing policy in the United States and other Western countries.
* Israel should be urged to convince the Palestinian Arabs that they have lost, to influence their psychology.
* An aggressive step like "transferring" Palestinian Arabs out of the West Bank would be counterproductive for Israel, prompting greater outrage, increasing the number of enemies, and perpetuating the conflict.
* Contrarily, perceptions of Israel's weakness lessen the possibility of Palestinian Arab defeat; thus did Israeli missteps during the Oslo years (1993-2000) and the Gaza withdrawal inspire Palestinian Arab exhilaration and more war.
* Israel needs only to defeat the Palestinian Arabs, not the whole Arab or Muslim populations, who eventually will follow the Palestinian Arab lead.
I refrain from suggesting specific steps Israel should take in part because I am not Israeli, and in part because discussing tactics to win is premature before victory is the policy. Suffice to say that the Palestinian Arabs derive immense succor and strength from a worldwide network of support from NGOs, editorialists, academics, and politicians; that the manufactured Palestinian Arab "refugee" problem stands at the dank heart of the conflict, and that the lack of international recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital festers. These three issues are clearly priorities.
Ironically, Israeli success in crushing the Palestinian Arab war morale would be the best thing that ever happened to the Palestinian Arabs. It would mean their finally giving up their foul dream of eliminating their neighbor and would offer a chance instead to focus on their own polity, economy, society, and culture. To become a normal people, one whose parents do not encourage their children to become suicide terrorists, Palestinian Arabs need to undergo the crucible of defeat.
First published in the NY Sun.
http://www.capmag.com/article.asp?ID=4641
With the resurgence of Russia once again, even if a bit emasculated, the historical opportunity to ensure a military victory over the Palestinian Question has been lost.Last edited by Ray; 12 May 06,, 10:07.
"Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."
I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.
HAKUNA MATATA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by parihaka
Do you advocate American intervention anywhere in the world?
Nah, let everybody kill everybody else, for all HE cares.
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This is the type of statements that really irk.
As if the US is some reincarnated Pollyanna!
Pollyannas don't go invading without being attacked!
If indeed this was true that US was some sort of a Pollyanna and if indeed this was the sentiment, then why is US intervening worldwide?
Self appointed do gooder and a bleeding heart?
One should not belabour under any fond delusions!
US is interevening wherever is is intervening because it serves her national strategic, political, economic and social interests!
Only a damn fool pokes his/ her nose into other peoples' business for no rhyme or reason!
"Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."
I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.
HAKUNA MATATA
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Originally posted by RayThis is a naive statement.
This is the type of statements that really irk.
As if the US is some reincarnated Pollyanna!
Pollyannas don't go invading without being attacked!
If indeed this was true that US was some sort of a Pollyanna and if indeed this was the sentiment, then why is US intervening worldwide?
Self appointed do gooder and a bleeding heart?
One should not belabour under any fond delusions!
US is interevening wherever is is intervening because it serves her national strategic, political, economic and social interests!
Only a damn fool pokes his/ her nose into other peoples' business for no rhyme or reason!
No man is free until all men are free - John Hossack
I agree completely with this Administration’s goal of a regime change in Iraq-John Kerry
even if that enforcement is mostly at the hands of the United States, a right we retain even if the Security Council fails to act-John Kerry
He may even miscalculate and slide these weapons off to terrorist groups to invite them to be a surrogate to use them against the United States. It’s the miscalculation that poses the greatest threat-John Kerry
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Confed,
do you seriously beleive that theUS is intervening because it has become a good Samaritan?
I think you have to understand the world for a change.
"Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."
I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.
HAKUNA MATATA
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Originally posted by Raydo you seriously beleive that theUS is intervening because it has become a good Samaritan?No man is free until all men are free - John Hossack
I agree completely with this Administration’s goal of a regime change in Iraq-John Kerry
even if that enforcement is mostly at the hands of the United States, a right we retain even if the Security Council fails to act-John Kerry
He may even miscalculate and slide these weapons off to terrorist groups to invite them to be a surrogate to use them against the United States. It’s the miscalculation that poses the greatest threat-John Kerry
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Originally posted by Confed999"With a little encouragement, we could be that bleeding heart do gooder." No encouragement, in fact, attacks instead...
"Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."
I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.
HAKUNA MATATA
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I agree with the brigadier. We interfere for our own benefits. If there's some good that comes out of it for other people, it's a fringe benefit. Personally I think this is the best way, and the policy for every single nation on this earth."Only Nixon can go to China." -- Old Vulcan proverb.
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I'd read through the posts on here, but I don't feel like it. All I can say is, pull out of the West Bank, build the wall, build it high, and shoot anybody who tries to come through. Let 'em complain about their economy being ruined. If they want it so bad, they can build their own economy. And if someone shoots rockets, shoot 'em back. They just need to get out of there. Or maybe I'm wrong, what do I know? They're all foreigners, who knows what's wrong with 'em. ;)I enjoy being wrong too much to change my mind.
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'd read through the posts on here, but I don't feel like it. All I can say is, pull out of the West Bank, build the wall, build it high, and shoot anybody who tries to come through. Let 'em complain about their economy being ruined. If they want it so bad, they can build their own economy. And if someone shoots rockets, shoot 'em back. They just need to get out of there.
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Originally posted by ArmchairGeneralI'd read through the posts on here, but I don't feel like it. All I can say is, pull out of the West Bank, build the wall, build it high, and shoot anybody who tries to come through. Let 'em complain about their economy being ruined. If they want it so bad, they can build their own economy. And if someone shoots rockets, shoot 'em back. They just need to get out of there. Or maybe I'm wrong, what do I know? They're all foreigners, who knows what's wrong with 'em. ;)
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Originally posted by ArmchairGeneralI'd read through the posts on here, but I don't feel like it. All I can say is, pull out of the West Bank, build the wall, build it high, and shoot anybody who tries to come through. Let 'em complain about their economy being ruined. If they want it so bad, they can build their own economy. And if someone shoots rockets, shoot 'em back. They just need to get out of there. Or maybe I'm wrong, what do I know? They're all foreigners, who knows what's wrong with 'em. ;)
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Originally posted by brad in newyorki dont know if your refering to israel to pull out of the west bank or the U.S but the west bank is holiest site in the world plus isreak is the third strongest army in the world why should it there really isn't any cnflict in the west bank anyway its just around the gaza strip were troubles are and those are eygptian mobs who do not reconized the state of israel. all of israel immediate neibors are at peace with Istrael or even at an allied stance besides lebononMeat cutting classification NAMP 1174; the porterhouse is NAMP 1173.
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