Originally posted by Mihais
View Post
-- A sucker punch comes as a surprise. There is no surprise now, except the targets and even those are limited.
-- A strike is not a war per se, and even if Syria fancied itself at war with the US, it would likely be a war of words.
-- Assad won't lose the civil war with or without a strike; if he sees no end in sight to civil war, he'll either leave the country, hunker down in Alawite country, or call for a negotiated settlement (best for the Alawites)
-- If "he uses CW more" then he admits to having used it before. Putin will then find it impossible to defend him any longer as now? I doubt the Iranians would even defend him. He'll be declared a war criminal and the world court will issue a warrant for his arrest
-- You make the point: "you don't impress the Iranians by being stupid,but by being strong and determined."
But Obama has created a political cover for himself. If Congress votes a strike down, he'll obey. The question for the Iranians then becomes, would Congress do the same if they cross the nuke red-line set down for them? Got to wonder about that one.
It seems 50/50 your hope against a strike will come true.:)
--
Comment