Unless, they believe they all carry nukes.
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Korean Reunification Imminent? Thoughts
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Originally posted by Bigfella View PostThat seems to be one of the more popular theories outside the more hysterical commentators.
Originally posted by Bigfella View PostI've heard speculation about 'testing' the new President, but not the misogyny angle. Given the lady's history I don't see her as the type to let herself get pushed around.
As for pushing her around, unlikely. There is significant feeling amongst senior south kor military that the NorKs are due for payback for what happened to the Cheonan. I actually doubt that she would even try to hold back her senior staff if the NorKs made another military gesture - and she would lose her job for being weak.
Originally posted by Bigfella View PostSeemed sorta obvious to me. Can't help wondering how many of them will just eject as soon as they are sure they are over the border.....assuming they get that far.
China doesn't want or need a unified Korea. They're key to defusing this because its also in their interests to do so. Any decisions are going to be about geo-political impacts on china - less so on the best benefit to North Korea.
South Korea, for all the familial issues only has to look west and see how well unification worked out for West Germany. A strong economy crippled for decades and which still suffers from a whole cohort of people who might speak a similar language, but are still in some areas culturally on another planet.Last edited by gf0012-aust; 24 Apr 13,, 08:28.
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It's a dilemma for China and the US, but more so for the former, they don't want a united Korea that is most likely going to be more favoring of the US, then again, if the alternative is them taking care of a few million refugee, or having to prop up a ever more failing state for ever longer, then is that really a better alternative?
For the US, IMHO the moment Korea is unified is the moment they'll politely demand the US forces to leave Korea, it'll change the makeup of the region considerably, and given that the US have profited a lot from the current setup, why would they risk changing it?
Unfortunately , NK would probably force the issue at some point, though that point maybe tomorrow or 30 years from now. But I would assume that if I live a fairly long life I would see a united Korea within my lifetime.
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