Originally posted by doppelganger
View Post
It is amply clear that there is a strong correlation between differentials in Hindu-Muslims female literacy levels and differentials in TFR. Those states and union territories with lower Muslim TFR invariably have higher Muslim female literacy. And those states with high Muslim fertility compared to Hindus have
very low female literacy levels compared to Hindus. Thus, a major reduction in fertility through social development seems to be a strong possibility in at least some of the northern and eastern parts of India. Female education could be an important influencing variable in fertility transition among the Muslims, if we are keen on reducing their fertility levels to the replacement level target the National Population Policy, 2000.
Hindu-Muslim demographic conflict has been created partly by non-demographers predicting that ‘Indian religionists’ – Hindus, Sikhs, Buddhists, Jains and tribes – will become a minority in the next five decades within ‘India’ with the recent publication of Religious Demography of India though the authors purposively include Pakistan and Bangladesh in their rhetoric [Joshi et al 2003]. Despite their higher growth rates, the population projections by religion indicates that Muslims will add fewer people in absolute numbers, compared to Hindus in the next 50 years, owing to their smaller population base.
very low female literacy levels compared to Hindus. Thus, a major reduction in fertility through social development seems to be a strong possibility in at least some of the northern and eastern parts of India. Female education could be an important influencing variable in fertility transition among the Muslims, if we are keen on reducing their fertility levels to the replacement level target the National Population Policy, 2000.
Hindu-Muslim demographic conflict has been created partly by non-demographers predicting that ‘Indian religionists’ – Hindus, Sikhs, Buddhists, Jains and tribes – will become a minority in the next five decades within ‘India’ with the recent publication of Religious Demography of India though the authors purposively include Pakistan and Bangladesh in their rhetoric [Joshi et al 2003]. Despite their higher growth rates, the population projections by religion indicates that Muslims will add fewer people in absolute numbers, compared to Hindus in the next 50 years, owing to their smaller population base.
States All Religion Hindus Muslims
CBR TFR CBR TFR CBR TFR
Rajasthan 32.1 4.2 31.1 4.1 35.5 4.8
Uttar Pradesh 31.4 4.4 31.4 4.1 35.5 4.8
Bihar 33.4 4.5 33.6 4.5 37.4 5.1
Conclusion, its lack of social development, illiteracy and fertility transition in the states with the highest fertility rates that is the culprit, not religion, as removed from these factors, Hindu and Muslim TFRs are comparable.
Comment