War in Space, Space to Earth War, Moon to Earth War

[tbm3fan]

If Pvt Vasquez goes count me in
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Aren't you getting a bit old for this? Now where is that flomax...

 

[Gun Grape]

Aren't you getting a bit old for this? Now where is that flomax...

As the great Ian Anderson once said "Your never to old to Rock and Roll"

 

[Monash]

But with a possibility of a hostile warlike human prescence that could make space mining impossible for private corporations, the hostile environment could force corporations to become their own sovereign nations in order to create their own impenetrable defenses.

Not while the owners of those corporations reside on Earth they wont.

For the rest? Mining on Earth is far cheaper and easier than mining in space. So extracting all but the ratest/ industrially vsluable elements in space makes no sense until the intention is to build something in space.

 

[tbm3fan]

As the great Ian Anderson once said "Your never to old to Rock and Roll"

I'm all for Rock and Roll the music variety...

 

[rj1]

I predict we'll probably have a Lunar nation-state by the 2200s-2300s, however Mars is a bit more far-fetched, likely maxing out around 2 million in population. The Moon would be the only space colony capable of self-governance imo as Mars will be too dependent on either the Moon or Earth governments/economies to sustain. So a big Martian-Earthling war like in The Expanse is incredibly unlikely until we get into the thousands of years in the future. Possibly by the mid-3000's to early-4000's I could see a self-sustaining nation-state emerge from Mars or Titan to challenge earth, and even then Earth would still win I think.

In the Expanse, a Martian figured out "fast" intra-solar system travel, and Mars give access to that technology to Earth in exchange for political independence, Luna (the Moon) is an Earth protectorate, and the Outer Planets Alliance (near-terroristic group based in the Asteroid Belt and moons of Jupiter, Saturn, etc. Their leader early on Anderson Dawes speaks like a mildly warped version of a 1770s American revolutionary.) dream of political independence as they've always been subjugated to the whims and desires of Earth and Mars. Although the Martian Marine in the series who's spent her whole career preparing for war with Earth ("her squad trains in 1g") goes to Earth, looks around and quickly recognizes in any hot war Mars would be doomed due to the sheer numbers of people Earth has, so views Mars as having lied to her at that point.

But with a possibility of a hostile warlike human prescence that could make space mining impossible for private corporations, the hostile environment could force corporations to become their own sovereign nations in order to create their own impenetrable defenses.

Not while the owners of those corporations reside on Earth they wont.

Owners live and die. Corporations in contrast much like countries can live forever.

Here where you'd have a setup similar to Fort McMurdo in Antarctica, probably look for a governance model like one you can find in Star Wars where corporations govern a planet on something like a license from whomever is in control, but clearly hands-off.