Saarland is voting this weekend.
Amalgated survey results (FGW 03/16, Infratest 03/15, Forsa 03/09):
SPD - 34.66% (+10.16%)
CDU - 34.00% (-0.5%)
Left - 15.00% (-6.3%)
Pirates - 5.66%
Greens - 4.66% (-0.94%)
FDP - 2.00% (-7.2%)
Others - 4.00%
Only possible coalitions with that would be:
68.66% Grand Coalition (SPD-led) - probable
49.66% Red-Red - only really an option if CDU gets higher share than SPD
Saarland previously had a CDU-FDP-Greens ("Jamaica") coalition which failed rather phenomenously in January with the CDU currently governing in a minority government. The state is also the only West-German state with a rather strong Left voter share, owing to it being the party CEO Lafontaine's home state. Greens are very low there compared to federal level due to an authoritarian conservative party head who people don't want to vote for.
Amalgated survey results (FGW 03/16, Infratest 03/15, Forsa 03/09):
SPD - 34.66% (+10.16%)
CDU - 34.00% (-0.5%)
Left - 15.00% (-6.3%)
Pirates - 5.66%
Greens - 4.66% (-0.94%)
FDP - 2.00% (-7.2%)
Others - 4.00%
Only possible coalitions with that would be:
68.66% Grand Coalition (SPD-led) - probable
49.66% Red-Red - only really an option if CDU gets higher share than SPD
Saarland previously had a CDU-FDP-Greens ("Jamaica") coalition which failed rather phenomenously in January with the CDU currently governing in a minority government. The state is also the only West-German state with a rather strong Left voter share, owing to it being the party CEO Lafontaine's home state. Greens are very low there compared to federal level due to an authoritarian conservative party head who people don't want to vote for.
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