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The US 2020 Presidential Election

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  • astralis
    replied
    yes, increasingly looking like Biden will pull it out.

    but the Senate...ugh.

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  • InExile
    replied
    Biden is now leading in Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada, enough to get him over 270 without Pennsylvania!

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  • DOR
    replied


    About 160 million people voted, which is close to a 67% turnout. The previous (recent) high was 64.4% in 1960, and according to one analysis, this was the highest rate in 120 years. The Trumpet will probably go down in history for that achievement alone...

    Arizona (11 EVs) seems to have voted Democrat for the first time since 1948, and elected a Democrat to the Senate. Former presidential candidate (briefly) John Hickenlooper won the Colorado senate race against incumbent Cory Gardner. Might be a tied Senate.

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  • Double Edge
    replied
    Originally posted by Oracle View Post

    Which speech? Can you link it or PM?
    The simple point he was making is to get the west of China's back the west has to be distracted.

    Some terrorist attack some where or NK doing tests again over Japan.

    Leave a comment:


  • Double Edge
    replied
    Originally posted by InExile View Post
    Comes down to Arizona and Pennsylvania.
    Now to see whether this 96 mile rally had any effect



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  • InExile
    replied
    Late twist, Biden is now leading as per the needle in Georgia

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  • surfgun
    replied
    The Chinese Yuan is starting to tank.

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  • InExile
    replied
    Biden can get to 270 with Arizona and NE2 as well.
    He is leading by 10% in the Phoenix suburbs with 81% of the vote in. Trump won it by 10% last time.

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  • GVChamp
    replied
    I agree it's too early to call Biden an underdog, but the betting markets have Biden as an underdog. Ohio and Texas are probably counting Trump-leaning votes last, which will run both those states up for the GOP. At that point it's just a question if PA goes for Biden.

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  • InExile
    replied
    Too early to call Biden an underdog, Ohio is neck and neck, Texas is really close though going red.

    Comes down to Arizona and Pennsylvania.

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  • GVChamp
    replied
    Welp, you can now bet Biden, since he is now the underdog.

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  • Firestorm
    replied
    538 saying there is no chance of a Biden landslide now obviously, but he still has chances of winning.

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  • GVChamp
    replied
    Texas will be close but likely will go red. There are a lot of votes left and that should be disproportionately GOP.

    Ohio is a double digit lead for Biden with only half left to go. Also a lot of mail in votes, but a lot less certain.

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  • Firestorm
    replied
    Texas is neck and neck with a tiny lead for Biden. That's the one to watch. Trump needs to hold Texas no matter what otherwise he'll be in trouble despite winning GA and FL.

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  • GVChamp
    replied
    Welp, right now, with record turnouts, NYT has Trump with major leads in FL and GA, with the FL lead being nearly insurmountable and GA tilting further away. Call it a major polling error. Again.

    Of course, losing NC (which he is on track to lose right now) takes his chances pretty much to zero.
    Actually, NC is probably not updating because they are not reporting results. They should trend the same way as FL and GA, which takes Trump to a 50-50 shot, without voter suppression.

    After that it is up to PA and OH. Ohio might just be a mail in vote lead, since those are reported first. I still suspect Biden to win because I don't see great numbers out of OH and PA for Trump.
    Last edited by GVChamp; 04 Nov 20,, 02:23.

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