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  • krugman had a post today (linking to another which made the statement).

    asking the question "are you better off today than you were four years ago", is like a journalist asking a firefighter who just put out a fire, "is the house in better shape than when you got here?"

    in this case, the worst recession since the Great Depression, one that was worldwide and involved trillions of dollars across an ever-more-tightly-interlaced world economy.

    JAD,

    That was pretty much the understanding all along, wouldn't you say?
    not really. the market cycle can be influenced heavily by policymakers; see europe again.

    But the question has to be asked, how long and how much can we spend pursuing the Keynesian model before we lose airspeed and altitude and crash?
    fairly long; decades in both japan and europe before effects were finally felt.

    not that even the most-stout keynesian advocate would ask for decades-long worth of heightened spending; even krugman is quick to point out that Keynesianism also demands government cuts when times are good. of course, worrying about the next crash when we're IN a crash now strikes me as a bit hasty.

    You are among the fortunate, but nothing you are doing was made possible by Obama's policies. Right?
    indeed i am very fortunate. but my portfolio would be rather the worse for wear had it not been for the partial recovery brought on by the stimulus, which reflected greatly in the stock market. moreover, another round of QE would make buying a home even cheaper for me, as interest rates go down (and i need all the help i can get, given that arlington's house prices have fully recovered-- 450K for a 700 sq ft one-bedroom, you have got to be kidding me).

    and given what i've seen of romney's economic plans, i'm also convinced that his policies would do nothing but deepen the long-term deficit issue, with the possibility of slowing the economic recovery; say greece tanks and europe starts its terrifying slide into a breakup and full out depression, which in turns starts infecting the US....do you really believe Mitt Romney will face down his party-- and his own professed line-- to order either additional stimulus or fed action?
    There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there has always been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that "My ignorance is just as good as your knowledge."- Isaac Asimov

    Comment


    • Originally posted by astralis View Post
      krugman had a post today (linking to another which made the statement).

      asking the question "are you better off today than you were four years ago", is like a journalist asking a firefighter who just put out a fire, "is the house in better shape than when you got here?"
      You and Kruggy are putting Obama in the role of the fireman and not the fire.

      "It could be worse" is not going to win Obama back the White House, and is truly a sad position to stake out. Use the list of actual accomplishments DOR mentioned earlier.

      (As a semi-related aside that always cracks me up - Repubs lie to seem more conservative, Dems lie to seem more conservative, and people still have the balls to claim that we're not a conservative nation. Who are these clowns lying to then?)

      -dale

      Comment


      • Originally posted by DOR View Post
        Yes, thanks!
        Glad to hear it.


        At the end of the Bush Administration, over 600,000 people were filing new unemployment claims every week. Today, that number is below 375,000, a 36.2% improvement.
        Well, of course. Job loss has slowed since the bubble burst. The credit goes to the man at the wheel, but the wind at his back
        wasn't entirely his making.




        Disposable personal income is 18.3% higher than at the end of 2008; on a per person basis, that’s a difference of $3,040.
        I've been waiting for that one. That's the average, for sure, but if you take out the top 1% of income earners, the average is closer to zero.

        Richest 1 Percent Account For Nearly All Of U.S. Recovery's Gains: Report

        Technically, the economy has been in recovery for two years. But it turns out the rich have been doing most of the recovering.

        In 2010 -- the first full year since the end of the Great Recession -- virtually all of the income growth in America took place among the country's very wealthiest people, says an economist at the University of California, Berkeley. The top 1 percent of earners took in a full 93 percent of all the income gains that year, leaving the other 7 percent of gains to be sprinkled among the vast majority of society.

        ---
        (Your school, by the way.:)
        Household debt service ratios are below 11% for the first time since 1994.
        Surprised you put that one in there. If you and I decide to cut our credit card debt, how does Obama get credit for it. Or if you went bankrupt and have no more debts and hence pay no more interest on discharged debt, is that good?

        When Mr Obama took office, the S&P 500 was 600 points below where it is today, or more than 70%. During a president’s first 15 quarters in office, that’s the best performance since Eisenhower!3
        :). Big corporations earning big profits by not investing in plant and jobs so as to have cash on hand to weather any further downturn makes them a good value for investors. Of course the market is going to go up. That's a case where a high market is a bad sign, companies are not confident that the recovery has taken off.


        How’s the economy doing? If you like the way Europe has coped with the aftermath of the worst financial crisis in 75 years, you’re going to just love Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan’s plan to drive us down that same road!
        Let's be honest. Ryan nor Romney is proposing European-style austerity AS A WAY OF COPING WITH THE CURRENT DOWNTURN. Why I put that in caps is so we'll be clear that their plan to cut government spending in earnest comes AFTER economic recovery, and then they would gradually make cuts. In fact, Ryan's plan calls for 3% increased government spending over the next 3-5 years. Romney has said over and over he doesn't intend to make severe cuts immediately nor all at once. Their near-term goal is more jobs, faster. BTW, the difference between Ryan's budget and Obama's budget is that Ryan would cut $4 trillion from the debt by over the next 10-20 years while Obama would cut $3 trillion. Read my lips...they both plan to cut government spending. Both austere?


        By the way, what’s with the refusal to reveal tax returns for more than a couple of years? What are these guys hiding?
        Sorry, no stock tips for you.:) Whatever they are hiding, I am sure the IRS is good with it. What you guys want is 8 years of 6-inch high tax returns so you'll have enough cannon fodder to question every detail in sinister fashion until election day so you can distract people from Obama's lousy economic record...remember he gets the credit for what-isn't as well as what-is whether or not it is his fault. If you guys were 10 points ahead and the economy was booming you wouldn't give a hoot about his returns...admit it.
        To be Truly ignorant, Man requires an Education - Plato

        Comment


        • Originally posted by DOR View Post
          By the way, what’s with the refusal to reveal tax returns for more than a couple of years? What are these guys hiding?
          What is the obsession with this in the USA?

          In Australia, my Tax return, and all it's details are very highly confidential, and it's my right not to have them disclosed.
          Apparently in the Land of the Free, home of the Brave, with all the bravado about constitutional rights foisted upon the rest of us lesser countries - it's your right, but we are going to treat you as a liar due to omission for lack of disclosure.

          Like bugger me, if it didn't occur to anyone that you had to be pretty damn wealthy to run for president.
          Ego Numquam

          Comment


          • Originally posted by DOR View Post
            Yes, thanks!


            At the end of the Bush Administration, over 600,000 people were filing new unemployment claims every week. Today, that number is below 375,000, a 36.2% improvement.

            Disposable personal income is 18.3% higher than at the end of 2008; on a per person basis, that’s a difference of $3,040.

            Household debt service ratios are below 11% for the first time since 1994.

            When Mr Obama took office, the S&P 500 was 600 points below where it is today, or more than 70%. During a president’s first 15 quarters in office, that’s the best performance since Eisenhower!3

            How’s the economy doing? If you like the way Europe has coped with the aftermath of the worst financial crisis in 75 years, you’re going to just love Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan’s plan to drive us down that same road!


            By the way, what’s with the refusal to reveal tax returns for more than a couple of years? What are these guys hiding?
            So taking the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008 as a pre-Obama initiative, what would these numbers look like if Obama had done precisely nothing more?
            In the realm of spirit, seek clarity; in the material world, seek utility.

            Leibniz

            Comment


            • Originally posted by astralis View Post
              krugman had a post today (linking to another which made the statement).

              asking the question "are you better off today than you were four years ago", is like a journalist asking a firefighter who just put out a fire, "is the house in better shape than when you got here?"
              Krugman comes through, for once. I might end up liking him. He had another revelation recently. See my last post.






              not really. the market cycle can be influenced heavily by policymakers; see europe again.
              Then I didn't get your statement.


              fairly long; decades in both japan and europe before effects were finally felt.

              not that even the most-stout keynesian advocate would ask for decades-long worth of heightened spending; even krugman is quick to point out that Keynesianism also demands government cuts when times are good. of course, worrying about the next crash when we're IN a crash now strikes me as a bit hasty.
              There must be a calculated limit to how much government can spend to try to stimulate economic recovery, or are you just being imprecise to mimic the Democrats.:)

              indeed i am very fortunate. but my portfolio would be rather the worse for wear had it not been for the partial recovery brought on by the stimulus, which reflected greatly in the stock market.
              The stimulus has little to do with the market recovery; companies hoarding cash and cutting overhead get more of the credit ...created more equity for shareholders.


              moreover, another round of QE would make buying a home even cheaper for me, as interest rates go down (and i need all the help i can get, given that arlington's house prices have fully recovered-- 450K for a 700 sq ft one-bedroom, you have got to be kidding me).
              Incredible financing opportunities out there. But 700 sq.ft. $560/sq/ft. Are you nuts? Come out my way...I can build you a 3,000 sq.ft. house on 2 acres for a mere $380k with top of the line amenities and... only a 90 minute commute each way...

              and given what i've seen of romney's economic plans, i'm also convinced that his policies would do nothing but deepen the long-term deficit issue, with the possibility of slowing the economic recovery;
              To be candid, I question whether your conviction is on solid ground. What specifically would Romney do to make the deficit issue worse in the long run? If you believe it's his tax cuts then you believe he would cut taxes without bringing in offsetting revenues which would be the case as employment rises. What you're really saying--I think--is that you believe Romney can't succeed in creating jobs faster than Obama.
              To be Truly ignorant, Man requires an Education - Plato

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Chunder View Post
                What is the obsession with this in the USA?
                It's the Dems and their press doing the howling and obsessing. No one else cares.

                -dale

                Comment


                • Is this a lie or just plain sleaze?

                  Forward Back Across the Bridge to the 21st Century | RedState
                  To be Truly ignorant, Man requires an Education - Plato

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by Chunder View Post
                    What is the obsession with this in the USA?

                    In Australia, my Tax return, and all it's details are very highly confidential, and it's my right not to have them disclosed.
                    Apparently in the Land of the Free, home of the Brave, with all the bravado about constitutional rights foisted upon the rest of us lesser countries - it's your right, but we are going to treat you as a liar due to omission for lack of disclosure.

                    Like bugger me, if it didn't occur to anyone that you had to be pretty damn wealthy to run for president.
                    Creates the illusion that the leader is above water. I think its a recent thing.

                    In India anyone running for office has to file their assets worth as well. The joke is the politcos just sign over their assets to their immediate family and even extended family. And we see laughably small amounts declared in their bank accounts or vehicles etc.

                    Does this little exercise mean they are clean ? no its a mere formality.
                    Last edited by Double Edge; 05 Sep 12,, 14:50.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Double Edge View Post

                      Does this little exercise mean they are clean ? no
                      Does it even mean anything?

                      Was it Washington that said their was no easier thing that otherwise good men fall into than defrauding the government?
                      People employ accountants to look for every little dodge they can possibly get.
                      The super wealthy just move assets around, even overseas.

                      Revealing someone's tax returns is not really revealing anything other than what someone may or may not have done with 'all their money'. Even if they had done something dodgy, it would prove them to be no more or less than what any other may or may not have done.
                      Ego Numquam

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Chunder View Post
                        Does it even mean anything?

                        Revealing someone's tax returns is not really revealing anything other than what someone may or may not have done with 'all their money'. Even if they had done something dodgy, it would prove them to be no more or less than what any other may or may not have done.
                        Looks like a DOR question.

                        Originally posted by Chunder View Post
                        Was it Washington that said their was no easier thing that otherwise good men fall into than defrauding the government?
                        Wise words

                        If people are dirty these hoops don't mean much. It might even contribute to creating a false impression to the contrary. So its a potential white wash too.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by DOR View Post
                          Here's a few --


                          Household incomes and spending (February 2009 – June 2012 data):
                          Real Personal Income +5.5%, Real Disposable Income +4.4%, Real Private Consumption Expenditure +5.9%, Real Household Durable Goods purchases: +22.5%, non-durables +5.2%, services +3.8%, savings +13%. Source: Search Results - FRED - St. Louis Fed

                          - - - - -

                          Weekly new unemployment claims:

                          Jan 31, 2009 _ _ _ 631,100
                          Jan 30, 2010 _ _ _ 483,000
                          Jan 29, 2011 _ _ _ 419,000
                          Jan 28, 2012 _ _ _ 373,000

                          From the week after inauguration to the latest figures, this is the greatest reduction – numbers or percent – of any president since the data were first collected back in 1967. Source: Office of Workforce Security, Employment & Training Administration (ETA) - U.S. Department of Labor

                          - - - - -

                          Reduced taxes on 3.5 million small businesses to help them afford employee health care insurance
                          Tax credits for 29 million individuals to pay for health insurance
                          Expanded Medicaid to cover everyone under 133% of Federal poverty level
                          Enacted legislation providing healthcare to 11 million children
                          Reversed ban on federal funding for stem cell research
                          Cut prescription drug cost for Medicare recipients by 50%
                          Established Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
                          Required lenders to verify applicants’ credit history, income and employment
                          Gave FDA the authority to regulate the manufacturing, marketing and sale of tobacco
                          Endorsed same-sex marriage equality
                          Credit card Bill of Rights prevents arbitrary rate increases
                          Signed the anti-discrimination Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act
                          Signed a new START nuclear arms agreement with Russia
                          Signed Weapons Systems Acquisition Reform Act
                          Ended state-approved torture

                          and, provided travel expenses to fallen soldiers’ families to be there when the body arrives at Dover AFB, and reversed the policy of banning the media from reporting such events
                          .

                          Thanks for the info...but...I wanted wmncd1959 to answer without assistance.
                          "Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other." - John Adams

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                          • I want to read more about Mitt Romney's lies.

                            -dale

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by dalem View Post
                              I want to read more about Mitt Romney's lies.

                              -dale
                              I want to read more about what the Blessed Obama and his sainted government are building with MY tax dollars.
                              “He was the most prodigious personification of all human inferiorities. He was an utterly incapable, unadapted, irresponsible, psychopathic personality, full of empty, infantile fantasies, but cursed with the keen intuition of a rat or a guttersnipe. He represented the shadow, the inferior part of everybody’s personality, in an overwhelming degree, and this was another reason why they fell for him.”

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by DOR View Post
                                At the end of the Bush Administration, over 600,000 people were filing new unemployment claims every week. Today, that number is below 375,000, a 36.2% improvement.
                                How many people "stopped looking for jobs" and thus dropped off the unemployment roll?

                                Originally posted by DOR View Post
                                Disposable personal income is 18.3% higher than at the end of 2008; on a per person basis, that’s a difference of $3,040.
                                Let's see...assuming 330 million people and each getting $3040 more this year. And let's be generous to your numbers and give everyone $3040 in disposable income the minute Obama took office in 2009, over the last 4 years (3.5, but let's be generous)

                                330 million x 3040 x 4 = $4012800 million or $4.0128 trillion

                                The actual number should be about half as much, but I'm in a generous mood.

                                Obama accumulated $5 trillion of debt to increase personal disposable income by $4 trillion? Where did the other $1 trillion go? Fighting 2 wars? Bush spent less than $1 trillion over 6 years to fight 2 wars. Obama spent more than $1 trillion within 4 years with one war winding down?

                                Originally posted by DOR View Post
                                Household debt service ratios are below 11% for the first time since 1994.
                                People woke up from the Clinton party and realized they can't spend money like Obama.

                                Originally posted by DOR View Post
                                When Mr Obama took office, the S&P 500 was 600 points below where it is today, or more than 70%. During a president’s first 15 quarters in office, that’s the best performance since Eisenhower!3
                                Gasoline was $2.03/gal the week Obama took office. It's up more than 100%. In fact, gasoline price started to go up right after Obama was elected. I have receipts:



                                Originally posted by DOR View Post
                                How’s the economy doing? If you like the way Europe has coped with the aftermath of the worst financial crisis in 75 years, you’re going to just love Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan’s plan to drive us down that same road!
                                But....Obama wants us to be more like Europe... Steven Chu wanted gasoline price to be at more than $8.


                                Let's play the blame game, since Obama doesn't have anything else to show for.

                                Bush did what he did because of the Clinton recession at the end of 2000 and the burst of the tech bubble. Not to mention something called 9-11 that hit us and caused the stock market to lose 6000 points in 3 days. They didn't just decide to hit us after Bush took office. That took years to plan. The hijackers took flying lessons during the Clinton administration.

                                Bush's policy prevented us from heading into a GREAT DEPRESSION like we have never seen before following the 9-11 attack. It took us years to recover. And it was the GOP presidency, GOP senate, and GOP house from 2001 to 2006 that led us in an unprecedented economic boom.

                                What happened in 2006? Dems won the congress. Spending soared. And it was nothing compared to when Obama took over the White House. He accumulated $5 trillion in debt over 4 years.

                                Let's play the blame game.

                                Originally posted by DOR View Post
                                By the way, what’s with the refusal to reveal tax returns for more than a couple of years? What are these guys hiding?
                                He showed exactly what was required by law, 2 years of tax return, and no more. Why do more than what is required by law?

                                Obama supposedly went to Harvard and did his post grad work there. Post grad meant he had a thesis. The thesis should be in the public domain. Where is it? Why is it locked? Got something to hide?

                                Tax return is private. It's not in the public domain.

                                How about Obama's high school and undergrad records? He said he was smoking pot and playing basketball and was in a "daze" in high school. How did he get into college? What did he do in college to get him into Harvard? Got something to hide?
                                Last edited by gunnut; 05 Sep 12,, 20:05.
                                "Only Nixon can go to China." -- Old Vulcan proverb.

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