Announcement
Collapse
No announcement yet.
2024 U.S. Election of President and Vice President
Collapse
X
-
Originally posted by JRT View Post
I suspect that the three oldest Republicans will retire during the next several years, to be replaced by Justices which may have already been selected and vetted for Trump by the Heritage Foundation. Since the Republicans will control the Senate, which will confirm the nominations, I don't see much that will impede that.
Leave a comment:
-
Originally posted by zraver View Post
Like I said, she tried to make it a base election, he made it a change election. I think the rear view will show she should ahve picked Kelly or Shapiro as VP to signal a moderate agenda. I think that tweak could have saved her.
Both administrations, late Trump and early Biden, blindly threw trillions of dollars at everyone in an attempt to stave off a pandemic-induced recession/depression, at a time when production of material goods was reduced, constrained and supply chains were disrupted. It seems to me most people went hog wild, snapping up cars and going on shopping sprees. I seen too many people buying mega TVs, refurnishing their homes, buying guitars, exercise equipment and other trinkets and garbage that did nothing to improve their standard of living or financial security. And predictably, inflation went up. From both trillions being recklessly and blindly thrown around, and how many people reacted to getting this money with a spree of reckless spending.
Personally, I didn't understand people's behavior. I spent many weeks myself being forced on unemployment in the year after April 2020 as offices closed and the IT dispatch work dried up, including collecting the extra $600 bonus that expired in Sept. I also got the same checks, debit card, and direct deposit as everyone else. I paid my rent, bills, and moved across country where I could halve my rent, stretch my money further, living in deliberate poverty, putting my excess savings into treasury bills and an IRA, making zero purchases of goods beyond the barest clothing, food, and toiletries, not knowing what the future might bring. Even my apartment was only gradually furnished over the course of a year from Oct 2020, until I could cobble together enough secondhand furniture at no cost.
Four years later on, besides having bought a 99 Camry in the meantime, I have continued to maintain this lifestyle. I have zero sympathy for anyone who spent like drunken sailors in 2020-21 and bitch and wail about inflation now.
The fault over the inflation people are so upset with lays with both bad government policy, and also the bad decisions of most people who got the money. For the #1 issue that decided people's votes, the government (both administrations) is to blame for throwing trillions around like idiots, and Americans for spending those trillions like idiots.Last edited by Ironduke; 06 Nov 24,, 14:44.
Leave a comment:
-
On Inauguration Day, 20 January 2025, Don Johnny Trump will be older than Biden was on 20 January 2021.
Trump's term in office is scheduled to end on 20 January 2029, a little more than 4 years from now. Trump seems to have noticeably aged in the last few months, and I suspect that his health will not hold up well enough to last the full four years in office.
If so, then Peter Thiel's protege J.D.Vance will become POTUS sometime within the next 4 years. That will put Vance into a position to pardon Trump of any outstanding criminal or civil liabilities at a Federal level, but not at a state level.
Leave a comment:
-
I'm taking a break from most online platforms. Albany Rifles and Bigfella know how to reach me.
Leave a comment:
-
Jan 20, 2025
Chief Justice: “Do you swear to protect, preserve, and defend the Constitution of the United States of America?”
POTUS-elect: “ You haven’t been paying attention, have you?”
- 2 likes
Leave a comment:
-
Originally posted by zraver View PostThey will have slim majorities in both houses and can look forward to 1-2 more SCOTUS nominations.
Leave a comment:
-
Originally posted by Ironduke View PostIt looks like Trump's leads narrowed even further than I thought they would in WI and MI (by 91k and 195k respectively). PA has not had enough of the outstanding vote counted to see a narrowing since last night.
But, not enough.
And it looks like AZ trended in the opposite direction than I thought it would.
155.5 million votes cast in 2020 between Trump and Biden... 137.4 million so far between Trump and Harris. It looks like Trump will match his 2020 popular vote total, so it kind of looks like 10 million+ 2020 Biden voters didn't turn out.
Leave a comment:
-
It looks like Trump's leads narrowed even further than I thought they would in WI and MI (by 91k and 195k respectively). PA has not had enough of the outstanding vote counted to see a narrowing since last night.
But, not enough.
And it looks like AZ trended in the opposite direction than I thought it would.
155.5 million votes cast in 2020 between Trump and Biden... 137.4 million so far between Trump and Harris. It looks like Trump will match his 2020 popular vote total, so it kind of looks like 10 million+ 2020 Biden voters didn't turn out.
Leave a comment:
-
Originally posted by Ironduke View PostI'm curious if Georgia was called too early. Trump is currently ahead by 117,000 votes, but my napkin math is that Harris will close that margin by 70-80k based on where the outstanding votes are, by the time the count is done. If there have been no delays in counting absentee ballots, this would narrow Trump's lead to 40-50k. I have no idea though how timely or delayed Georgia has been in 2024 in counting absentee ballots, or if there would be enough net Harris votes from absentees to swing the state.
In 2020 there was a "red mirage" that disappeared over the next four days as absentee votes were counted, that might not be a thing in 2024 as election officials are most likely much timelier with the count this time around.
Virtually every reputable source has called Georgia though, so I'm guessing they are surer on the numbers than I am.
The numbers are not looking good in PA, WI, MI. Trump has a lead of 189k in PA at the moment, it was just called, but this should shrink by half as outstanding votes are counted. Doesn't seem like there's any chance there. I think Harris will narrow the leads in WI and MI by 40k and 90k respectively, but not enough to overtake Trump's current leads (122k and 289k). Unless there's a shitload of absentee votes yet to be counted and they went something like four-to-one toward Harris.
I do think though there's a good chance Harris will take Arizona. Currently Trump is +28k, but my estimate is when the count is done Harris will be +50k. But all for naught if Trump sweeps the "inside straight" states of 2016.
The real heros of last night however are the GA and PA poll workers. We woke to a winner not confusion. They radically turned their performance around from 2020. My biggest fears wasn't who won (I did not like either) but that it would be a replay of 20 no matter who won. That fear has blessedly not come to pass.
Leave a comment:
-
-
Originally posted by jlvfr View PostThe world is fked. Trump will have the senate and the supreme court, he'll do whatever the heck he wants. And the only people he'll talk to are Putin, Kim Jong Un and Netanyahu. The Ukrayne is screwed, and the EU will be under siege, there's no way it can trust Trump for anything.
Leave a comment:
-
The world is fked. Trump will have the senate and the supreme court, he'll do whatever the heck he wants. And the only people he'll talk to are Putin, Kim Jong Un and Netanyahu. The Ukrayne is screwed, and the EU will be under siege, there's no way it can trust Trump for anything.
Leave a comment:
-
Originally posted by Bigfella View PostNothing good to say about this. Very bad news for a lot of good people. Too much to unpack now, but you fucked up big time America. The price will be paid for decades.
A tough time to be an ally.Last edited by Monash; 06 Nov 24,, 11:29.
- 1 like
Leave a comment:
-
Nothing good to say about this. Very bad news for a lot of good people. Too much to unpack now, but you fucked up big time America. The price will be paid for decades.
A tough time to be an ally.
Leave a comment:
Leave a comment: