I was depressed in Feb. Then I was cautiously adamant that Ukraine may prevail with a bit of help in the late Spring, then resigned at Russian artillery and Russian electronic warfare shutting the UA down in the early summer. Now HIMARS are the "game changer" in turning the tide? Everything is yo-yo-ing around, and even the Pentagon is releasing reports that appear conflicting with reality. It's all hard to digest.
instead, Putin has decided to double down.
having said that, there's very real limits as to how long Putin can continue "doubling down". he's grinding through the easy reserves now...and the West isn't tapped out on moving Ukraine up the weapon sophistication scale.
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