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Hypothetically, if KJU decided not to respond to the summon. What could the Chinese have done?
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Originally posted by Double Edge View PostAh you mean in the eyes of his neighbours. This part i don't fully understand. Kim hasn't given anything up yet. Why does what the neighbours think matter then
Originally posted by Double Edge View PostWhere did the Chinese portray him as kowtowing to the Japanese ?
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Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostIf KJU was in the driver seat, would he allow the Chinese to portray him as kowtowing to the Japanese? He lost more than a few pegs in the NE Asia.
Where did the Chinese portray him as kowtowing to the Japanese ?
No. The world now knows that China has been lying all along about having limited influence in North Korea, that they allowed KJU to get his nukes.
Because for long now Kim couldn't give a damn about Xi. Firing off missiles a half hour before the BRICS conference last Sept for example. Half hour warning is all the Chinese got.
I don't think there was any doubt at least in my mind that NK is a China proxy for hitting out at SK, Japan, US and the treaties. A most effective one at that as well.
China saying limited influence is the usual excuses which means you need to either offer them more or make threats.
China is now in the game because she was forced out of the shadows.
It is certainly more complex. What is China's objective in allowing KJU's nukes and what is China's price to get rid of them?
A whole lot of questions that this meet has raised that needs further re-evaluation of old intelligence.
Kim can't make deals with the South or the Americans unless China is in the loop
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Originally posted by Double Edge View PostIn China
Exactly
Will they replay all that in NK ? Doubtful
Originally posted by Double Edge View PostSo Xi is the main winner here.
Originally posted by Double Edge View PostThe message i read is China is now in the game because the US talks idea cut both China & Japan out of the loop. Going over China's head
Originally posted by Double Edge View PostAre Kim's future actions constrained in any way as a result of kowtowing as you say ?
A whole lot of questions that this meet has raised that needs further re-evaluation of old intelligence.
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Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostIt's kowtowing. You don't get photographed writing Xi's words and having your "Moral Obligation" and "Solem Duty" to visit China speech broadcast to the public if you're the man in charge. KJU is publically being broadcast by the Chinese paying homage to Xi. This on an "unofficial visit" meaning that there was no pagentry planned. It was a summons.
KJU can play whatever angle he likes in North Korea but he has been just seen to kowtow to Xi by everyone else.
Will they replay all that in NK ? Doubtful
So Xi is the main winner here.
The message i read is China is now in the game because the US talks idea cut both China & Japan out of the loop. Going over China's head
Are Kim's future actions constrained in any way as a result of kowtowing as you say ?
The dynamics has changed. Trump now knows that he has to make a deal with Xi and not with KJU.Last edited by Double Edge; 31 Mar 18,, 01:53.
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It's kowtowing. You don't get photographed writing Xi's words and having your "Moral Obligation" and "Solem Duty" to visit China speech broadcast to the public if you're the man in charge. KJU is publically being broadcast by the Chinese paying homage to Xi. This on an "unofficial visit" meaning that there was no pagentry planned. It was a summons.
KJU can play whatever angle he likes in North Korea but he has been just seen to kowtow to Xi by everyone else.
The dynamics has changed. Trump now knows that he has to make a deal with Xi and not with KJU.
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A different take
Everybody thinks Kim has to be managed but he's out manouvering the bigger guys
Japan doesn't have a say in the matter
He is driving a wedge between the US & South Korea.
He is playing China off the US. To say he will meet with Trump before he has even met a Chinese leader is slapping the Chinese good.
Xi obviously had to do something. So we get the photos the nice words.
Kim kowtow to Xi or Xi saving face ?
Big man Xi doesn't even know what's going on in his own backyard. That changes now maybe
As for Americans, before this talks idea was mentioned it was all sabre rattling, now the Americans are ok with the idea so he's got them to tone it down
Kim's looking good so farLast edited by Double Edge; 31 Mar 18,, 01:38.
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We need to keep this thread on topic: North Korea, not Ukraine. Please move other topics for discussion to their appropriate thread, thank you.
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Originally posted by snapper View PostSince this had to be done...
Originally posted by snapper View PostI might call horse whatever here if I wore your shoes. Do you even know where Mariupol is? It is the extreme coastal side of the front - on the Sea of Azov. How the hell would 10,000 men, if they advanced via Velnokhava (as they tried) to bypass Mariupol - or anywhere else -back to Slovyansk - Dnipro or to Kharkiv have helped? You just wanted to see us kill each other as you said. How many times you visited Ukraine? How many since the war started? Yet you say 10,000 troops in a coastal city at the extreme southern end would stop the whole front? Stick to building bridges and whisky. It's blatantly wrong. How would they stop a breakout for Kharkiv or Dnipro and the river sitting in Mariupol? It's nonesense. But I am pleased you have admitted that you did offer your opinion of what Ukraine should do as you previously denied having done that.
Originally posted by snapper View PostThe 2014 arguments are still pertinent in Ukraine military thinking and choices. It is unfortunate. I will not go into details here.
Originally posted by snapper View PostBut previously you derided our military industry with exports and just recently regarding the production ATGMs; the Kornet is linear, the Javelin top down.
You need JAVELINS because you can't get your own house in order and I freaking don't know why. CORSAR, SKIF, STUGNA-P, BARRIER has not reached effective numbers and you think less than 100 JAVELINS is going to change the picture?
Originally posted by snapper View PostThailand seem happy enough. Contract completed. Just ordered some French helicopters for emergency services (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-u...-idUSKBN1GZ1FK)
Originally posted by snapper View PostDoubtless you would wish we all die honourably so you can pretend to have nothing to do with it.
Originally posted by snapper View PostIf it is nothing to with you why Mueller? But you guys have misread this whole situation and basic ethos since forever. Look I'll give you an example: Couple of weeks ago I was speaking to a Romanian Officer about their plans regarding a possible escalation via Transdniestria.
Originally posted by snapper View PostHe more or less said they had them but did not want to jeapordise the US missile defence shield so would have to ask the Yanks at the political level probably. Of course. I can understand that. Perfecly logical. He would want to go tomorrow but not his choice. Then perhaps you may have more us hated eastern europeans killing others. Is it nothing to do with you? Don't kid yourself. The world is more joined up than ever. What is something to do with you? When they interfere in elections? Seemingly not. When they try to murder British citizens on a Saturday afternoon in Salisbury? Apparently. When they invade their neighbour it is not? This is just the forward station of the war that has been clearly declared on all of the 'West' and if you do not have the intelligence to see that you are entirely misguided imv. I saw it in 2008 when I joined this forum but I was not the first by any count. And guess what? Sure you guys made gains with your long vigilance during the "Cold War" but you did not "win" it. Ukrainian revolutions would not have happened without your service, Polish, Czech, Hungarian, Romanian (though they did much themselves), Bulgarian, liberty as we know it today would not be possible. But you did not finish it. The KGB was back in power within 9 yrs! You thought it was over because they were no commies... You never understood and still refuse to.
Originally posted by snapper View PostI cannot recall the wording of what I read some time ago but my point stands no US; no Article 5 and to claim that it was nothing to do with the US or passed without them is simply false. I believe your original statement was that the US never invoked it.
Originally posted by snapper View PostSure may not the first to raise the subject but they pressed it once it was raised. Who's original idea idea it was is irrelevant; without Powell and Bush saying "yes" it would not have happened which hardly matches your "it was all the allies without the US" who passed it as the US sat by passively having been attacked account which is a misleading account at best. The US was totally behind the NATO declaration of Article 5 and that did not mean necessarily a declaration of war as you previously alleged. But you asked me if I ever read Article 5?
Originally posted by snapper View PostNot sure how this affects your claims that the invocation of Article 5 was in no way anything to do with the US.
Originally posted by snapper View PostIt was. Completely. Not sure me being more used to Ukrainian now is anything to do with this either.
Originally posted by snapper View PostWell I do not know what sat imagery you used to use back in the day but apparently this reactor is reactivated since his return. Not seen it myself but I trust my source for this.
--------Ahead of Trump summit, new activity at North Korea nuke site
Satellite imagery taken last month suggests the North has begun preliminary testing of an experimental light water reactor and possibly brought another reactor online at its Yongbyon Nuclear Research Center. ----------
Originally posted by snapper View PostI would assume that China was ok with this but as you insist. Regarding putting imaginary "sent to him room without supper" conjecture into it I agree but it is you saying Kim is Xi's obedient vassal. We do not know. And that should be scary.
Originally posted by snapper View PostYou think the current US President is a professional? A professional crook? Molester? Not sure 'professionals' of that nature deserve our respect.
Originally posted by snapper View PostAnd by the way I left the UK diplomatic service and had not started Uni when '9/11' happened.
I'm going to ignore the rest. You're just a youngster telling us what we lived through was wrong.Last edited by Officer of Engineers; 31 Mar 18,, 05:01.
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Since this had to be done...
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostOh freaking god! 10,000 men is a division. You cannot leave an entire division in your rear that can cut your supply lines. Leaving a division in that fortress will tie down an entire army to protect the LOC. In other words, 10,000 men just stopped 30,000 men from marching on Kiev and actually requiring Russia to commit real Russian armies and not just HQs to the fight. Something that they're unwilling to do.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostBut you're lost in such things and I'm freaking tired of explaining military thinking to someone who refuses to learn.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostI don't need or want your respect. What I demand is you stop being the idiot know it all when we keep proving you wrong.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostAnd she died for her country and with honour. Do I want you to keep killing Russians? If by your words that the west is at war, then the more you kill, the less we have to. However, your war is for you to fight. We have no say in it.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostNOT ASKING FOR ARTICLE 5!
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostFor freak sakes, you have a problem with plain old English? The Americans DID NOT asked for ARTICLE 5 and Afghanistan was NOT a NATO mission until three years in. Eurocorps insulted the Canadians by rejecting 3 PPCLI and asking for 300 engineers instead. The Americans tooked 3 PPCLI with 187th BCT instead. These were NOT NATO Commands.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostOh for Pete sakes, what part of it takes days to fire up a reactor do you NOT understand. By the time we detected the activity, the reactor was running for days to get hot enough before we can detect it or is simple facts too hard for you?
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostI answered you! Xi was NOT consulted before hand and since the reactor was not cooled, the net effect is that Kim and Kim alone made the decision. That's all that matters. Putting imaginary words in other people's mouths especially when you're not there is just pure cookoo.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostYour continue usage of Trumpkin belays that you lack any professionalism. The main effect is China slapping Kim down. And in case you haven't noticed, Trump has not reverse his tarrif position.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostIt was played out by the Chinese rubbing to KJU's face that he came kowtowing to the Chinese Emperor Xi. Whether he meant it or not, the message was clear, Kim came to kowtow before Xi and he said as much.
He was getting his instructions. Period.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostYeah, you are with foreign service. Sure. You lack the habbits that make your claim true. Looking at real time intel.
God go with you Colonel.
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Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostI advised the Ukraine? You're smoking too much rock. I was discussing military scenarios with the military members here. At no time did Kiev asked for my advice and I'm not stupid enough to advise them without knowing the ground.
Yes, because Xi and Kim told us.
Why should I care about something that has nothing to do with what Xi and Kim had said?
The money he shells out for silence and scapegoats? I will be very comfortable.
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You don't even read your own freaking links
Ahead of Trump summit, new activity at North Korea nuke site
Satellite imagery taken last month suggests the North has begun preliminary testing of an experimental light water reactor and possibly brought another reactor online at its Yongbyon Nuclear Research Center.
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Originally posted by snapper View PostMariupol is a fortress. It does not require 10,000 manning it when it can be easily bypassed as they tried to do. I do not recall mentioning Donbass in the same context.
But you're lost in such things and I'm freaking tired of explaining military thinking to someone who refuses to learn.
Originally posted by snapper View PostCompleted the Thailand Oplot deal recently but are you sure it is not because of your stated desire that ""I want them to kill each other". See how that might not entirely engender my respect?
Originally posted by snapper View PostHell we lost one member of this forum. You got your wish.
Originally posted by snapper View PostPowell certainly called London, so did Bush. It is on the record there.
Originally posted by snapper View PostThey signed off on it or would not have happened. Face the truth.The other allies were not about to chase off to Afghanistan without the US. So to say it had nothing to do with the US is entirely misleading.
Originally posted by snapper View PostNo it was not fired before but not what I asked.
Originally posted by snapper View PostWas it discussed do you think? Is this the third time?
Originally posted by snapper View PostActually I did but perhaps you missed it: "I wonder how much this meeting was helped by Trumpkins announcement of a trade war with China? I mean seriously could he not wait to cause a rift with China until after his grandstanding with the smaller dictator?
Originally posted by snapper View PostAs for "moral obligations" in the mouth of a dictator the words have no meaning.
Originally posted by snapper View PostVery likely on the "getting my ok first". But again does not explain the renewed activity unless there is some renewed agreement with China.
Originally posted by snapper View PostWhen I have time to read I prefer to read books; mostly history books. You can take them with you.
Originally posted by snapper View Post"Horse Puckey" stage reached.Last edited by Officer of Engineers; 30 Mar 18,, 05:47.
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Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostWhat a load of horse puckey! I was not the one who decided on Mariupol. Kiev did. You then spouted off some lunacy about repeating Donbass and how Mariupol would be isolated again. I told you why Mariupol is an extremely good fortress and that Russian armies cannot bypass them.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostAs for weapons systems, I am still against NATO supplying you any, mainly because I know they would fall into Russian hands as did our counter artillery fire controls. However, Ukraines was a world class weapons producer and I listed all the systems that you should have but don't. That's not our fault. You still have not gotten your ATGM production lines back up.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostYeah, Colin Powell signed off on ARTICLE 5 BUT HE NEVER ASKED FOR IT. NO AMERICAN DID. NOT EVEN GEORGE BUSH! I CHALLENGE YOU TO FIND ME ONE SINGLE AMERICAN WHO ASKED FOR ARTICLE 5! FIND HIM! THE AMERICANS NEVER ASKED FOR ARTICLE 5! How much more black and white can that be! Colin Powell even thanked the Allies for invoking the ARTICLE 5 on the US's behalf! But if you think that Collin Powell was spending his time calling the various capitals for ARTICLE 5 support, you're cookoo!
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostGod, you are freaking dense! The reactor was fired up BEFORE KJU left for China. So, NO! Xi was NOT part of the decision to fire it up.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostDid the US trade tarrifs had an effect? Maybe but you never raised that point. As for kowtowing, Kim's words "Solemn duty" and "Moral obligation" to visit China. That's a vassal king on his way to perform his functions to the Chinese Emperor.
As for "moral obligations" in the mouth of a dictator the words have no meaning.
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostAnd here are Xi's words. "China will continue to play a constructive role on the issue (of talks) and work with all parties, including the DPRK, toward the thaw of the situation on the Peninsula," Xinhua reported. China will continue to play a constructive role. This upcoming meet between Moon and Kim and then between Trump and Kim bypassed China by accident. No one expected Moon and Trump to call Kim's bluff. Xi summoned Kim to tell him point blank you make no deals without passing it through me!
Originally posted by WABs_OOE View PostIf you would have followed my suggestion and read the news, you would have gotten even a gist of it but no, you had to show your ignorance.
"Horse Puckey" stage reached.
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Originally posted by snapper View Post"I want them to kill each other" and advocating Grozny x more plus without knowing anything about Ukraine - and telling us all that Ukraine didn't need newer weapons systems - when now you claim to never have a known much about Ukraine.... and I should listen to your "kowtowing" theory - and yea sure Kim told you all about it - and not what happened subsequent re the re-activitisation of a reactor? I will still stick to theorising on the facts. It's just the same BS as the US never had anything with article 5 in 2001, except that Colin Powell both signed off on it.
Look I do not have time for your arguments and I apologise if you dislike my views but is there no room at all for the possibility of 'coincidence' in the the new US trade tariffs aimed at, the meeting in China and the subsequent renewed nuclear activity after the mini me got home? I am not saying this to prove a point against you or anyone else. I merely raise the possibility that these matters may have a connection and if so I wonder if the US is in as strong as a position as some here seem to believe.
I wish you well Colonel but decline to respond again. Sadly I have a whole pile of stuff to go through.
As for weapons systems, I am still against NATO supplying you any, mainly because I know they would fall into Russian hands as did our counter artillery fire controls. However, Ukraines was a world class weapons producer and I listed all the systems that you should have but don't. That's not our fault. You still have not gotten your ATGM production lines back up.
Yeah, Colin Powell signed off on ARTICLE 5 BUT HE NEVER ASKED FOR IT. NO AMERICAN DID. NOT EVEN GEORGE BUSH! I CHALLENGE YOU TO FIND ME ONE SINGLE AMERICAN WHO ASKED FOR ARTICLE 5! FIND HIM! THE AMERICANS NEVER ASKED FOR ARTICLE 5! How much more black and white can that be! Colin Powell even thanked the Allies for invoking the ARTICLE 5 on the US's behalf! But if you think that Collin Powell was spending his time calling the various capitals for ARTICLE 5 support, you're cookoo!
God, you are freaking dense! The reactor was fired up BEFORE KJU left for China. So, NO! Xi was NOT part of the decision to fire it up.
Did the US trade tarrifs had an effect? Maybe but you never raised that point. As for kowtowing, Kim's words "Solemn duty" and "Moral obligation" to visit China. That's a vassal king on his way to perform his functions to the Chinese Emperor.
And here are Xi's words. "China will continue to play a constructive role on the issue (of talks) and work with all parties, including the DPRK, toward the thaw of the situation on the Peninsula," Xinhua reported. China will continue to play a constructive role. This upcoming meet between Moon and Kim and then between Trump and Kim bypassed China by accident. No one expected Moon and Trump to call Kim's bluff. Xi summoned Kim to tell him point blank you make no deals without passing it through me!
If you would have followed my suggestion and read the news, you would have gotten even a gist of it but no, you had to show your ignorance.
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