I'm wondering how long the Taliban will be able to maintain a unified government (or what passes for government in Afghanistan at least) in the face of their inability to maintain even the basic services provided by the former government. The major urban centers at least have enjoyed access to goods and services they won't have now. And I doubt the T will be able to maintain the phone system for long let alone airports, hospitals and other 'luxuries' like fuel and spare parts. How many skilled professionals would have left the country with their families as soon as things started going backwards.
Then there are the Hazaras and other groups/tribes who might feel they have been sidelined. Or at least worse off than they were before. Any bets on the T facing their own insurgency problem if not local rebellions in short order.
I can also see poppy production skyrocketing of course as they will need a cash crop.
So the US still has some chips on the table I guess. It has lots of ways of making life for a Taliban government hell without actually putting boots on the ground (well maybe some covert boots).
Then there are the Hazaras and other groups/tribes who might feel they have been sidelined. Or at least worse off than they were before. Any bets on the T facing their own insurgency problem if not local rebellions in short order.
I can also see poppy production skyrocketing of course as they will need a cash crop.
So the US still has some chips on the table I guess. It has lots of ways of making life for a Taliban government hell without actually putting boots on the ground (well maybe some covert boots).
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