If you look at the very early air combat, probably up to Midway, I think you'd find losses not as lopsided. The Zero came as a real shock to the Americans, as did the skill of those flying it. Ultimately, it was learned that the Zero's outstanding turning performance came at a price... almost no armor, and a fragility that cost the lives of many future Japanese pilots. All of the Japanese aircraft tended to skimp on armor for fuel and pilot.
Once the American pilots learned that "you DO NOT turn with the Zero", they devised combat tactics to deal with it... slashing hit and run attacks.
Overall, the U.S. victories can be attributed to the following, as the war progressed:
1) Robust airframes that could take enormous punishment compared to their opponents. Tactics that took advantage of their own airframe and pilot strengths.
2) Superior radar, and early warning. Their situational awareness going into a fight was usually better than the Japanese
3) The later generation of Navy fighters (F6F, F4U) COULD outperform the Zero in nearly all regimes, AND they still carried the heavy armor and if anything were more robust than the U.S. fighters of 1941 and 1942.
4) Irreplaceable experienced Japanese pilot losses. The U.S. was outstripping the Japanese in quantity and quality of both airframes and pilots.
There is nothing that can replace pilot experience short of a technological leap like a jet. In roughly similar airframes, the experienced pilots are going to absolutely butcher the new guys. The U.S. forces had the mass so raw noobs could be trickled in and gain valuable combat experience on the wings of veterans. In contrast, entire Japanese units were wiped out, then replaced with raw pilots. Elan and Samurai spirit don't help much in a fighter cockpit.


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