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12-12-2006, 14:55 PM
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#46 (permalink)
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Military Professional Moderator
Join Date: 02-23-05
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
I'm 25. How old are you guys?
It was not my intention to offend anybody, this seems to have got out of hand with some. It does seem as though I have overlooked some very important points.
Shek, what is your opinion on 9/11? This is where it all started for me.
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Pragnosis,
9/11 was a pan-Islamist plot carried out by Al Qaeda and his minions. Have you read his fatwa declaring war on the US? Seen the tapes of his boasting about the attacks? If you have some conspiracy theories about 9/11, then I'll just refer to the threads on the board already.
Cheers,
Shek
__________________
"So little pains do the vulgar take in the investigation of truth, accepting readily the first story that comes to hand." Thucydides 1.20.3
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12-12-2006, 15:01 PM
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#47 (permalink)
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 01-27-06
Location: DPRK, Democratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
Since when is 2015 in 15 years??? I think you should read the post properly. I am just going off a couple of documents that I read regarding this prediction.
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And they are completely wrong.
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Originally Posted by Pragnosis
Regarding the soldiers of the US Army, do you not think that Michael Moore may have done research of his own???
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I don't doubt Moore has done his research. Whether he presented what he found is another matter.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
Anyway, I'm tired of this now, not one single person agrees with anything that I am saying. It's obvious that you're all hard republican's and are totally for the war, so discussion ended.
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No one agrees with you because you are wrong.
The people in this forum are well informed and well versed in their respective fields.
Shek is an army major who teaches at West Point. The amount of knowledge he possesses is more than what you can imagine.
Regarding China, Astralis is a political scientists (I think) who has extensive knowledge in the area. He has worked in China and Taiwan. He knows the culture. He is Chinese. I would think he knows more about China than you do.
OoE is a Colonel in the Canadian Army who has stared down the Warsaw Pact during the height of the Cold War and then served with UN peacekeeping force all over the world. He knows a thing or two about how the world works.
I'm just a guy who reads the internet a lot. I learn new things from these people everyday. I have been proven wrong everyday. None of us like to be proven wrong, but as human as we are, we invariably get things wrong sometimes.
I know this is tough for you because your preconceived notion of the world is being assaulted by a lot of facts and research you didn't know about or chose to ignore. But sometimes you just have to face the fact that you are wrong.
By the way, I'm not a die hard republican. I'm registered as a democrat, am a traditionalist, a conservative, not religious (so forget about calling me a right wing christian fundamentalist), and libertarian in most thinking.
__________________
"Only Nixon can go to China." -- Old Vulcan proverb.
Last edited by gunnut : 12-12-2006 at 17:39 PM.
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12-12-2006, 16:18 PM
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#48 (permalink)
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 01-27-06
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Very simple explanations for all of them.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
1)
9/11 seemed to have some unanswered questions, such as; why the buildings collapsed so quickly, I've seen documentaries claiming that after the aeroplanes hit the two buildings, a seperate set of explosions took place indicating that there was some sort of demolition took place. Like, this idea seemed fairly convincing because one of the buildings collapsed without impact from air-craft which seemed extremely strange to me. Can anybody explain this?
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Those jets that hit WTC took off from east coast airports bound for the west coast. That means they were full of jet fuel. Try igniting massive quantity of jet fuel in an enclosed space. It gets quite hot. The steel columns holding up WTC doesn't need to melt. They only need to get hot enough to lose structural integrity for the builiding to collapse. Remember, those were free standing steel beams. They were load bearing columns holding up a few thousand tons of structure on top of them.
Freeze a bar of butter. Stand on top of it. Then raise the temperature of the room. It doesn't have to be very hot, just enough to soften the butter will do. I can guarantee you the stick of butter will lose structural integrity. However it will retain its shape much longer if it bears no load on top of it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
2)
Weapons of Mass Destruction was claimed to be the reason why we invaded Iraq. When they weren't found, the reason changed to 'give people of Iraq freedom and democracy'. It all just seems a bit messy, so I came to the conclusion (with the articles and documentaries that I have seen) that they were all excuses.
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We were afraid that Saddam hands off some nice smallpox (or some other nice chemicals) to some terrorist group who intend to do us harm. We didn't know whether Saddam had anything or not. We thought he did. He did use it on the Kurds. He acted as if he still had. Remember? Certain sites forbidden from the inspectors? What does he have in there? We didn't know. The inspectors didn't know. No one outside did. So we invaded to make sure he didn't have anything.
Here's a better question. If Bush's government can plant demolition charges in the WTC without anyone knowing or blowing the whistle, and then fly 2 remote controlled planes into them, without anyone knowing or blowing the whistle, don't you think he could have easily planted some WMD in Iraq for the world to find? US military practically own the important sites and installations in Iraq. It would be relatively easy to plant WMD in a military controlled area in Iraq than to plant explosives in WTC.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
3)
Conspiracy theorists such as Jordon Maxwell have put forward some interesting cases stating the United States is actually an incorporated government. He claims that the United States is actually a corporation out of the United Kingdom. There are some documents that seem quite convincing that back this up. This led me to believe that the whole reason for this invasion was for money. That the war with Iraq is an investment and a very profitable one at that. That the US and UK are pretty deceiptful and want to impose a New World Order
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You said it yourself, he's a conspiracy theorist. Those are interesting to read, entertaining at the movies, but just too impossible to pull off in the real world. Someone would have blown the whistle or leaked something.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
I simply put all of these things together and came to the conclusion that the US Government is totally corrupt and only interested in their own interests. I have got to admit that the information that I have received from you guys has blown me away and has been quite impressive. It has just shown me how many holes that need filling in my research.
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US government is corrupt, but not in the grand scale of world domination-new world order kind of corrupt. It's definitely out for its own interest, that part no one denies. All governments are out for their own interest.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
So, please let me know what you think of the three points that I've made above. Do you think Jordon Maxwell is insane, or simply a conman? Are conspiracy theorists there purely to entertain people? Because some people really buy into what they're saying.
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He could be a con man. He could be insane. Or he maybe a very astute capitalist cashing in on a niche market.
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12-12-2006, 16:27 PM
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#49 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: 08-04-03
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Well, yall made me happy....I was reaching for the padlock when all of you came to your reasonable senses. I despise locking threads because it is such a waste of good convo.  *pats on the back to each of you*....please continue. 
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12-12-2006, 16:37 PM
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#50 (permalink)
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Staff Emeritus
Join Date: 09-10-03
Location: Florida
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
1)
9/11 seemed to have some unanswered questions, such as; why the buildings collapsed so quickly, I've seen documentaries claiming that after the aeroplanes hit the two buildings, a seperate set of explosions took place indicating that there was some sort of demolition took place. Like, this idea seemed fairly convincing because one of the buildings collapsed without impact from air-craft which seemed extremely strange to me. Can anybody explain this?
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Bunch of terrorists hijacked planes and crashed 'em into buildings. The demolitions crews were never spotted by anyone, and they would have been working on it for days drilling holes and setting charges, so the chances of that are slim to none.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
2)
Weapons of Mass Destruction was claimed to be the reason why we invaded Iraq. When they weren't found, the reason changed to 'give people of Iraq freedom and democracy'. It all just seems a bit messy, so I came to the conclusion (with the articles and documentaries that I have seen) that they were all excuses.
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WMD was the last reason given to the UN. The humanitarian reasoning, breaches in the Cease-Fire, as well as the attacks made against US and UK forces enforcing the no-fly zones were covered, as well as other causes, over the decade preceding the UN debates that actually made the news. Oh, the reason didn't change either, regime change in Iraq had been US policy since 1998 with the passing of the Iraqi Liberation Act.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
3)
Conspiracy theorists such as Jordon Maxwell have put forward some interesting cases stating the United States is actually an incorporated government. He claims that the United States is actually a corporation out of the United Kingdom. There are some documents that seem quite convincing that back this up. This led me to believe that the whole reason for this invasion was for money. That the war with Iraq is an investment and a very profitable one at that. That the US and UK are pretty deceiptful and want to impose a New World Order
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Flat out, I need proof. Most of these guys (Moore especially, heck F9/11 was debunked by a 13 y/o girl) spend a lot of time cherry picking data, and many even create their own, to "prove" their points. Don't believe anything fully until you have done your best to prove it yourself. And here is the big clencher as to why I do not believe most of these people: the conspiracys they suggest would be huge. Covering hundreds, if not thousands, of people, and every single one of them would have to keep quiet and nobody could ever release evidence. A group of 10 a-holes couldn't even put dog collars on prisoners without getting caught, what are the odds the slip shod government could do it when they can't even keep secret projects secret? I'd say you could win the lottery 3 times in a row and still not beat those odds...
__________________
No man is free until all men are free - John Hossack
I agree completely with this Administration’s goal of a regime change in Iraq-John Kerry
even if that enforcement is mostly at the hands of the United States, a right we retain even if the Security Council fails to act-John Kerry
He may even miscalculate and slide these weapons off to terrorist groups to invite them to be a surrogate to use them against the United States. It’s the miscalculation that poses the greatest threat-John Kerry
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12-12-2006, 17:38 PM
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#51 (permalink)
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 01-27-06
Location: DPRK, Democratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Julie
Well, yall made me happy....I was reaching for the padlock when all of you came to your reasonable senses. I despise locking threads because it is such a waste of good convo.  *pats on the back to each of you*....please continue. 
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See, we're reasonable when we want to be. 
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12-12-2006, 18:02 PM
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#52 (permalink)
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Contrary by nature.
Military Professional
Join Date: 10-22-06
Location: Arkansas
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
You are correct, it is difficult to admit that I am wrong. I do apologise to all of the people that I may have offended with some of my unfounded remarks, I guess I need to learn to think before I write, sometimes. I would appreciate your opinion on the three points below.
I'll explain the reasons I believe the things that I do.
1)
9/11 seemed to have some unanswered questions, such as; why the buildings collapsed so quickly, I've seen documentaries claiming that after the aeroplanes hit the two buildings, a seperate set of explosions took place indicating that there was some sort of demolition took place. Like, this idea seemed fairly convincing because one of the buildings collapsed without impact from air-craft which seemed extremely strange to me. Can anybody explain this?
2)
Weapons of Mass Destruction was claimed to be the reason why we invaded Iraq. When they weren't found, the reason changed to 'give people of Iraq freedom and democracy'. It all just seems a bit messy, so I came to the conclusion (with the articles and documentaries that I have seen) that they were all excuses.
3)
Conspiracy theorists such as Jordon Maxwell have put forward some interesting cases stating the United States is actually an incorporated government. He claims that the United States is actually a corporation out of the United Kingdom. There are some documents that seem quite convincing that back this up. This led me to believe that the whole reason for this invasion was for money. That the war with Iraq is an investment and a very profitable one at that. That the US and UK are pretty deceiptful and want to impose a New World Order
http://www.serendipity.li/jsmill/us_corporation.htm
http://theunjustmedia.com/Banking%20...0interests.htm
I simply put all of these things together and came to the conclusion that the US Government is totally corrupt and only interested in their own interests. I have got to admit that the information that I have received from you guys has blown me away and has been quite impressive. It has just shown me how many holes that need filling in my research.
So, please let me know what you think of the three points that I've made above. Do you think Jordon Maxwell is insane, or simply a conman? Are conspiracy theorists there purely to entertain people? Because some people really buy into what they're saying.
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1- A-The force of the impact stripped away the 70's era fire retardents and sheilding. B- ther eis always wind at that hieght creating a furnace effect C- Each floor weighs 3000 tons D- Steel lose sits streangth at around 1100 degrees E- if you watch the footag ethe center of each building gives way ahea dof the curtain wall (exterior). Together these add up to a catasphrophiuc failure. There is no honest simulation in the world that has those buildings staying up a slong as they. Those two ladies fought death it self to let people get out of them and they are a tribute to American engineering.
2- A-There are still some 1000 tons of declared chemical weapons by Iraq that has nver been found. B- The Aimes strain of anthrax use din the anthraxy attakc salso happens to be the same strain sold to Iraq C- Saddam engage din willful violations of the cease fir ein other areas. D- Saddam himself wanted the world to beleive he had WMD beucase it kept him in power E- Saddam's refusal to let his brain trust testify F- reports from defecotrs and Iraqi opposistion groups
All in all it is easy to see why the majority of the major intel services thought he still maintained a WMD program (US,UK, Israel, Aus and others)
3- is not even worth discussing. The US has thwarted british efforts in a number areas at a number of times. The two most fampous examples being cash and carry prior to lendlease which bankrupted Britian and doomed its colonial empire, and the US sacking British, French, and Israeli plans to take the Suez from Nasser. Chruchhill some it up best (paraphrasing) "No matter what else stay on the side of the Americans"
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12-12-2006, 19:54 PM
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#53 (permalink)
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Registered User
Join Date: 12-10-06
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Confed999,
Quote:
Originally Posted by Confed999
And here is the big clencher as to why I do not believe most of these people: the conspiracys they suggest would be huge. Covering hundreds, if not thousands, of people, and every single one of them would have to keep quiet and nobody could ever release evidence. A group of 10 a-holes couldn't even put dog collars on prisoners without getting caught, what are the odds the slip shod government could do it when they can't even keep secret projects secret? I'd say you could win the lottery 3 times in a row and still not beat those odds...
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I am questioning myself as to whether I actually 'want' a conspiracy to be present, just because it might be exciting. It's pretty hard to stop believing something that you have blindly believed for the past six months, I may have watched too many videos and articles regarding conspiracy theories with regards to 9/11 and Iraq.
I do however oppose your argument about the reason a conspiracy cannot be true. When you talk about people keeping quiet, do you think it might be possible that if a conspiracy is taking place, the government would be able to supress the information by controlling the media? Because ultimately, corporate media is what controls the perceptions of the mass population with regards to political affairs. If the government pays the media stations a huge sum of money to keep quiet, then surely they would do it. Or maybe pay the individuals huge sums of money to keep quiet. But then again, maybe this is a far fetched view.
I'd like to ask your opinion. Somebody asked a question on BBC Question Time a few weeks ago. A chap in the audience actually asked the members of the panel "Why did the US/British government put Sadam into power in the first place?", and the the camera quickly moved away and went on to the next question. I thought this was rather strange, like the BBC was hiding something, or maybe the accusation was too ridiculous to answer. I haven't actually researched this. Is this claim well founded?
Last edited by Pragnosis : 12-12-2006 at 20:00 PM.
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12-12-2006, 21:04 PM
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#54 (permalink)
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Registered User
Join Date: 12-10-06
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All conspiracy theories aside, according to George Galloway and documentaries that I've seen, the muslims in the middle east cannot find it within themselves to believe that the US / UK are concerned about the welfare of the Iraqi people, that they are only interested in their own National Security.
Is it fair to say that the US / UK are in it for their own interests (for future security and economics, trade etc) rather than being too worried about the people of Iraq? Or do you think the US / UK governments do care about the welfare of the people in Iraq? Or both?
Mr Galloway is completely convinced that the US / UK couldn't care less about the muslim population.
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12-12-2006, 21:09 PM
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#55 (permalink)
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Military Professional Moderator
Join Date: 02-23-05
Location: Krblachistan
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Pragnosis,
I will address a few of your questions:
1. Democracy and Iraq. This was a stated goal, although it wasn't done very forcefully. I think this was for two reasons - the short-term threat was the unaccounted for WMD, and I think we wanted some wiggle room to potentially install Chalabi as the head of some interim government. However, it is clear that democracy was on the mind of the administration and not some goal made up to distract the news on the WMD front. Here are some excerpts from a speech in Feb 2003 by President Bush (emphasis mine):
Quote:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/Iraq/Story/0,,904086,00.html
There was a time when many said that the cultures of Japan and Germany were incapable of sustaining democratic values. Well, they were wrong. Some say the same of Iraq today. They are mistaken. (Applause.) The nation of Iraq -- with its proud heritage, abundant resources and skilled and educated people -- is fully capable of moving toward democracy and living in freedom. (Applause.)
The world has a clear interest in the spread of democratic values, because stable and free nations do not breed the ideologies of murder. They encourage the peaceful pursuit of a better life. And there are hopeful signs of a desire for freedom in the Middle East. Arab intellectuals have called on Arab governments to address the "freedom gap" so their peoples can fully share in the progress of our times. Leaders in the region speak of a new Arab charter that champions internal reform, greater politics participation, economic openness, and free trade. And from Morocco to Bahrain and beyond, nations are taking genuine steps toward politics reform. A new regime in Iraq would serve as a dramatic and inspiring example of freedom for other nations in the region. (Applause.)
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Success in Iraq could also begin a new stage for Middle Eastern peace, and set in motion progress towards a truly democratic Palestinian state. (Applause.) The passing of Saddam Hussein's regime will deprive terrorist networks of a wealthy patron that pays for terrorist training, and offers rewards to families of suicide bombers. And other regimes will be given a clear warning that support for terror will not be tolerated. (Applause.)
Without this outside support for terrorism, Palestinians who are working for reform and long for democracy will be in a better position to choose new leaders. (Applause.) True leaders who strive for peace; true leaders who faithfully serve the people. A Palestinian state must be a reformed and peaceful state that abandons forever the use of terror. (Applause.)
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The roadmap to peace, with democracy for a Palestinian state was initially proposed by President Bush in June 2002:
Quote:
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/relea...0020624-3.html
I call on the Palestinian people to elect new leaders, leaders not compromised by terror. I call upon them to build a practicing democracy, based on tolerance and liberty. If the Palestinian people actively pursue these goals, America and the world will actively support their efforts. If the Palestinian people meet these goals, they will be able to reach agreement with Israel and Egypt and Jordan on security and other arrangements for independence.
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In the work ahead, we all have responsibilities. The Palestinian people are gifted and capable, and I am confident they can achieve a new birth for their nation. A Palestinian state will never be created by terror -- it will be built through reform. And reform must be more than cosmetic change, or veiled attempt to preserve the status quo. True reform will require entirely new political and economic institutions, based on democracy, market economics and action against terrorism.
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Israel also has a large stake in the success of a democratic Palestine. Permanent occupation threatens Israel's identity and democracy. A stable, peaceful Palestinian state is necessary to achieve the security that Israel longs for. So I challenge Israel to take concrete steps to support the emergence of a viable, credible Palestinian state.
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Hopefully, this gives you a flavor of the "democratic peace" strategy that the Bush Administration has embraced. It obviously hasn't borne much fruit to date, but it's ideological basis is clear, I believe.
2. The collapse of WTC 1 and WTC 2.
Here's the National Institute of Standards and Technology introduction report on their three year investigation into why the WTC towers collapsed.
http://wtc.nist.gov/NISTNCSTAR1CollapseofTowers.pdf
Go to pages 39 and 40, which provides the pertinent information from the Executive Summary. Bottomline, it was a structural failure due to the weakening of the steel trusses that carried the floor loads, shifting those loads to the point where the structure couldn't handle the load. The primary culprit for the weaking of the steel trusses was the dislodging of the fireproofing material from the trusses, which then exposed them to the heat of the fire from the burning jet fuel. It also states that it could find no evidence to support alternative hypotheses such as a controlled demolition.
I'm sure that you'll find the information that you need to satisfy your questions about why the controlled demolition theory doesn't fly. If it's not in the report linked above, here's the page that lists all the subreports:
http://wtc.nist.gov/reports_october05.htm
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12-12-2006, 21:28 PM
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#56 (permalink)
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Military Professional Moderator
Join Date: 02-23-05
Location: Krblachistan
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
All conspiracy theories aside, according to George Galloway and documentaries that I've seen, the muslims in the middle east cannot find it within themselves to believe that the US / UK are concerned about the welfare of the Iraqi people, that they are only interested in their own National Security.
Is it fair to say that the US / UK are in it for their own interests (for future security and economics, trade etc) rather than being too worried about the people of Iraq? Or do you think the US / UK governments do care about the welfare of the people in Iraq? Or both?
Mr Galloway is completely convinced that the US / UK couldn't care less about the muslim population.
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Pragnosis,
Both. Governments exist to look out for the self-interests of their people (although there certainly are governments who are more concerned for their own welfare rather than their people's welfare).
That being said, the people executing this mission in Iraq isn't just some faceless bureaucrat, but a human being in uniform, who has a conscious and while ready to kill bad guys, likes to be liked, just like most everyone on this planet. This doesn't mean that mistakes are made or that tragedies happen where non-combatants are accidentally killed, but it also means that except for few exceptions, these soldiers aren't looking to end the lives of those who aren't involved in the hostilities. Heck, if the killing stopped, that means that they would no longer have to be deployed and be away from their family.
Take a look at this blog, if you've got the time:
http://www.michaelyon-online.com/
Here are the actual dispatches written by the author.
http://michaelyon-online.com/wp/category/dispatches/
Here's a particularly moving dispatch. I think you'd find yourself hard pressed to think that other human beings, whether in uniform or not, would react any differently.
http://www.michaelyon-online.com/wp/little-girl.htm
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12-12-2006, 21:37 PM
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#57 (permalink)
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Registered User
Join Date: 12-10-06
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Shek,
Many thanks for the information. It is very informative and helpful in my quest to find the truth. It's a shame that I didn't read the 'official' version of events first. Now my perception of events is totally confused. I really don't know what to believe anymore. It would've been so much easier to believe the official story.
In my mind, I still wonder why 7-WTC collapsed although there wasn't any impact by an aircraft. Assuming that the conspiracy theories are totally false, all three buildings must have been extremely poor in terms of structural quality. I watched a documentary and showed other buildings across the globe that had experienced far worse attacks of fire and they didn't even come close to collapsing. The architects and construction workers of the WTC need shooting.
Once again, thanks for the information and links.
Last edited by Pragnosis : 12-12-2006 at 21:40 PM.
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12-12-2006, 21:58 PM
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#58 (permalink)
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 11-23-03
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See my post about George Galloway. He is so concerned about other people he spent 3 weeks on TV, amongst which he got to pretend to be a cat, whilst his constituents went without representation in parliament. As far as i am aware cats are not allowed to vote by SMS or otherwise.
What a lot of people forget about Manhatten is that the buildings have to come down at some point and therefore for quite some time they have been constructed so as to fall within themselves. Nothing sinister just an acknowledgment that at some point buildings get demolished. This does mean that should the building fail, for whatever reason,the idea is it will fall within its footprint.
But, i'll give you this, i personally want to find out more about WTC 7
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12-12-2006, 22:49 PM
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#59 (permalink)
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Military Professional Moderator
Join Date: 02-23-05
Location: Krblachistan
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pragnosis
Shek,
Many thanks for the information. It is very informative and helpful in my quest to find the truth. It's a shame that I didn't read the 'official' version of events first. Now my perception of events is totally confused. I really don't know what to believe anymore. It would've been so much easier to believe the official story.
In my mind, I still wonder why 7-WTC collapsed although there wasn't any impact by an aircraft. Assuming that the conspiracy theories are totally false, all three buildings must have been extremely poor in terms of structural quality. I watched a documentary and showed other buildings across the globe that had experienced far worse attacks of fire and they didn't even come close to collapsing. The architects and construction workers of the WTC need shooting.
Once again, thanks for the information and links.
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Pragnosis,
WTC 1 and WTC 2 were designed to withstand the impact of a plane that was half the size of those that ended up impacting into the building. However, you are only as strong as the weakest link, and the steel trusses were that weakest link. It's been several years since I read some of the initial theories on what caused the structural failure, and even then the steel trusses were the chief suspect. I believe that there was an alternative solution to the fireproofing that probably would have withstood the forces of the planes' impact, but that it was much more expensive. Instead, some spray on type, which was the industry standard (so it wasn't a cost cutting measure, just not an area where they went the extra mile for an unknown threat - having fuel laden jumbo jets crash into the building as a weapon) was used.
I don't have any answers to WTC 7, but I'm sure that the report addresses it since they were looking at the site.
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12-12-2006, 23:10 PM
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#60 (permalink)
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Military Professional Moderator
Join Date: 02-23-05
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Here's a presentation on WTC 7. However, don't ask me to explain the slides, as it's a bunch of structural engineering way beyond my competence.
http://wtc.nist.gov/pubs/WTC%20Part%...se%20Final.pdf
More info here as well:
Quote:
http://wtc.nist.gov/pubs/factsheets/faqs_8_2006.htm
14. Why is the NIST investigation of the collapse of WTC 7 (the 47-story office building that collapsed on Sept. 11, 2001, hours after the towers) taking so long to complete? Is a controlled demolition hypothesis being considered to explain the collapse?
When NIST initiated the WTC investigation, it made a decision not to hire new staff to support the investigation. After the June 2004 progress report on the WTC investigation was issued, the NIST investigation team stopped working on WTC 7 and was assigned full-time through the fall of 2005 to complete the investigation of the WTC towers. With the release and dissemination of the report on the WTC towers in October 2005, the investigation of the WTC 7 collapse resumed. Considerable progress has been made since that time, including the review of nearly 80 boxes of new documents related to WTC 7, the development of detailed technical approaches for modeling and analyzing various collapse hypotheses, and the selection of a contractor to assist NIST staff in carrying out the analyses. It is anticipated that a draft report will be released by early 2007.
The current NIST working collapse hypothesis for WTC 7 is described in the June 2004 Progress Report on the Federal Building and Fire Safety Investigation of the World Trade Center Disaster (Volume 1, page 17, as well as Appendix L), as follows:
An initial local failure occurred at the lower floors (below floor 13) of the building due to fire and/or debris-induced structural damage of a critical column (the initiating event) which supported a large-span floor bay with an area of about 2,000 square feet;
Vertical progression of the initial local failure occurred up to the east penthouse, and as the large floor bays became unable to redistribute the loads, it brought down the interior structure below the east penthouse; and
Triggered by damage due to the vertical failure, horizontal progression of the failure across the lower floors (in the region of floors 5 and 7 that were much thicker and more heavily reinforced than the rest of the floors) resulted in a disproportionate collapse of the entire structure.
This hypothesis may be supported or modified, or new hypotheses may be developed, through the course of the continuing investigation. NIST also is considering whether hypothetical blast events could have played a role in initiating the collapse. While NIST has found no evidence of a blast or controlled demolition event, NIST would like to determine the magnitude of hypothetical blast scenarios that could have led to the structural failure of one or more critical elements.
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