Excellent points made
The Post-Balakot challenge | IE | Mar 11 2019
Another
Interesting doctrinal observation.
It was thought the escalation ladder began the moment India reacted to a terrorist incident. So it was India that world counseled to exercise restraint. India must not respond kinetically. Dangerous.
After Balkote its becoming clear that the ladder begins the moment the terrorist incident occurs. The provocation. So it is Pakistan that the world counsels to exercise restraint. Don't provoke. India will respond. Now the onus of stopping the spiral lies with Pakistan as they began it.
See the switch
Complicates Pak planning. It has to.
We're also one step ahead.
The provocation begins not with the terrorist attack but with the preparations for that terrorist attack.
Meaning India will not only reply to a provocation but if India has to pre-empt a major attack they will strike too
The Post-Balakot challenge | IE | Mar 11 2019
There is a recognition that India’s strategic patience is over and that Pakistani terrorist adventurism should cease. India should emphasise this point. The international desire that hostilities should end is on a different footing as is the US’s intervention for this purpose. The question is if all this erodes India’s policy of no involvement of third parties in India-Pakistan relations. The fact is major powers take an interest in issues of war and peace — as does India in areas where its interests get involved.
Interesting doctrinal observation.
It was thought the escalation ladder began the moment India reacted to a terrorist incident. So it was India that world counseled to exercise restraint. India must not respond kinetically. Dangerous.
After Balkote its becoming clear that the ladder begins the moment the terrorist incident occurs. The provocation. So it is Pakistan that the world counsels to exercise restraint. Don't provoke. India will respond. Now the onus of stopping the spiral lies with Pakistan as they began it.
See the switch
Complicates Pak planning. It has to.
We're also one step ahead.
The provocation begins not with the terrorist attack but with the preparations for that terrorist attack.
Meaning India will not only reply to a provocation but if India has to pre-empt a major attack they will strike too
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