Originally posted by Pnoy
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First, the US isn't going to war with Indonesia on your behalf. Indonesia has been a firm US ally for 50 years and is both larger and more important in every way than your nation. So, no joy there.
Second, Indonesia isn't going to break up into 'tiny island statelets' any time soon. The only independence movement that has genuinely had a chance in the past 20 years was in Aceh, and that was never remotely close to winning and has been de-fanged with the granting of autonomy. Even if some of the outer islands broke away (and they can't) you would still have a core state on Java & Sumatra bigger than the Philippines and more important.
So, that leaves you fighting Indonesia by yourselves. Given that your nation has neither a Navy nor an Air force worth a pinch of shit and an Army with severe limitations it is going to be a very short war. You would get beaten up by Singapore or Malaysia.
Even when you finally take delivery of the combat ships you have on order Indonesia will still easily outclass you. They have more, they have better, they have decades of experience operating these types of equipment and they have submarines. Their Navy also has more armour attached to its Marines than your entire Army can deploy.
You have no combat air capability to speak of. Indonesia has close to 50 proper frontline fighters/multirole aircraft plus dozens of other aircraft capable of ground attack at a minimum and air to air at a pinch. The closest thing you have to a modern fighter is a Korean trainer - Indonesia even has more of these than the Philippines.
All of this means that moving military assets between islands is going to be difficult to impossible.
In the unlikely event your armies ever meet the TNI would wipe the floor with you. It would be really ugly - Nazi Germany vs Yugoslavia ugly. Best not contemplate that scenario. In fact, if your nation ever does anything to provoke Indonesia you'd best hope the US persuades them to settle peacefully.
I hope the rest of your ideas are better than this, though I'm not optimistic.
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