With another four years gone by, 61.7 million Germans vote again on September 27th. This includes 5.8 million first- or second-generation immigrants. Result of the election will either be a CDU-CSU-FDP alliance or a grand coalition. Looks like about even chances either way right now.
There are 34 parties on the ballot, some only in some states, about the usual amount. The 28 minor parties will probably score around 6-9 percent altogether, with between one third and half of that going to the Pirates. Neonazis remain splintered, but support seems to coalesce in the right-wing extremist corner towards the latest upstart, the "Alternative for Germany" party.
Parties in the ballots, major, probably in parliament, by likely voting share:
- Christian Democrat Union
- Social-Democrat Party of Germany
- Greens
- Left Party
- Christian Social Union
- Free Democratic Party
Minor (as in pretty much no chance of entering parliament):
- Pirates (center-left, sorta)
- Ecologic-Democrat Party (conservative version of Greens)
- Free Voters Union (localist conservatives)
- German Communist Party (should be obvious; Stalinists)
- Marxist-Leninist Party of Germany (that too; Leninists)
- Party of Social Justice (Trotzkists)
- Right Party (neonazis)
- Republicans (neonazis)
- National Democrats (neonazis)
- Federation for United Germany (neonazis, revanchist)
- Pro Germany (neonazis)
- Alternative for Germany (anti-Europeans, sort of neonazis)
- Civil Rights Movement Solidarity (LaRouche cultists, sort of neonazis)
- The Violets (esoteric cultists)
- Party of Bible-conforming Christians (christian cultists, pentecostal-protestant type)
- Referendum Party (single-issue party: direct democracy)
- Family Party (single-issue party: families)
- Women Party (single-issue party: feminists)
- Bavaria Party (single-issue party: secessionists)
- Party of Reason (economic single-issue party: libertarians)
- Alliance for Innovation and Justice (single-issue party: Turkish-Germans)
- Alliance 21 (single-issue party: Senior Citizens)
- Senior Citizen Party (single-issue party: Senior Citizens)
- Animal Protection Party (single-issue party: animals)
- Mountain Party (joke party)
- The Party (joke party)
- Party of Nonvoters (joke party)
- No! Idea Party (joke party)
Another five parties who applied successfully have not filed candidate lists and will therefore not take part:
- Christian Center Party (christian cultists, catholic type, national conservative)
- German National Assembly (neonazis)
- Communist Party of Germany (should be obvious)
- New Center (national conservatives, possibly neonazis)
- Party of Human Logic (single-issue party: parents)
19 further parties' applications were denied for formal reasons (e.g. late applications, not enough signatures by supporters etc), another 10 parties were decided by the federal election group not to be formal parties. Complaints against this were ruled over by the German Supreme Court, in one case successfully for the party (the above "German National Assembly"). About 40 further extant parties or political groups did not apply to take part in the election.
There are 34 parties on the ballot, some only in some states, about the usual amount. The 28 minor parties will probably score around 6-9 percent altogether, with between one third and half of that going to the Pirates. Neonazis remain splintered, but support seems to coalesce in the right-wing extremist corner towards the latest upstart, the "Alternative for Germany" party.
Parties in the ballots, major, probably in parliament, by likely voting share:
- Christian Democrat Union
- Social-Democrat Party of Germany
- Greens
- Left Party
- Christian Social Union
- Free Democratic Party
Minor (as in pretty much no chance of entering parliament):
- Pirates (center-left, sorta)
- Ecologic-Democrat Party (conservative version of Greens)
- Free Voters Union (localist conservatives)
- German Communist Party (should be obvious; Stalinists)
- Marxist-Leninist Party of Germany (that too; Leninists)
- Party of Social Justice (Trotzkists)
- Right Party (neonazis)
- Republicans (neonazis)
- National Democrats (neonazis)
- Federation for United Germany (neonazis, revanchist)
- Pro Germany (neonazis)
- Alternative for Germany (anti-Europeans, sort of neonazis)
- Civil Rights Movement Solidarity (LaRouche cultists, sort of neonazis)
- The Violets (esoteric cultists)
- Party of Bible-conforming Christians (christian cultists, pentecostal-protestant type)
- Referendum Party (single-issue party: direct democracy)
- Family Party (single-issue party: families)
- Women Party (single-issue party: feminists)
- Bavaria Party (single-issue party: secessionists)
- Party of Reason (economic single-issue party: libertarians)
- Alliance for Innovation and Justice (single-issue party: Turkish-Germans)
- Alliance 21 (single-issue party: Senior Citizens)
- Senior Citizen Party (single-issue party: Senior Citizens)
- Animal Protection Party (single-issue party: animals)
- Mountain Party (joke party)
- The Party (joke party)
- Party of Nonvoters (joke party)
- No! Idea Party (joke party)
Another five parties who applied successfully have not filed candidate lists and will therefore not take part:
- Christian Center Party (christian cultists, catholic type, national conservative)
- German National Assembly (neonazis)
- Communist Party of Germany (should be obvious)
- New Center (national conservatives, possibly neonazis)
- Party of Human Logic (single-issue party: parents)
19 further parties' applications were denied for formal reasons (e.g. late applications, not enough signatures by supporters etc), another 10 parties were decided by the federal election group not to be formal parties. Complaints against this were ruled over by the German Supreme Court, in one case successfully for the party (the above "German National Assembly"). About 40 further extant parties or political groups did not apply to take part in the election.
Comment