The US GDP growth rate of the past 5 years is as under:-
-2008 = 1.7%
- 2009 = -3.5%
- 2010 = 3%
- 2011 = 2.5%
- 2012 = 4.1%
Being the international mode of exchange, the high dollar rates bleed the emerging economies to remain a viable currency.
The only way this can happen is when a war histeria is created over oil producing countries.
There in no way that the US can prevent Iran from going nuclear, it could not do anything to North Korea and it can do very little to Iran. But the US can benifit from the oil "crisis" created as a result of the halabalo over the whole affair, the Sheiks in the gulf emirates are happy and the US dollar remains high and gives the US economy some breathing space to recover.
Cheers!...on the rocks!!
I am still convinced that the whole reason for the US not wanting Iran to get nukes, is to pre-empt the Arabs from getting an excuse to get their own nukes. It is a lot easier for the Arabs (especially SA) to get their hands on finished nukes from pakistan, so it might not be possible to stop them if they really want to get some. The Arabs are US allies as well, so bombing them is not an option. Bombing Iran is. And if that wasn't enough, the idiotic Iranian leadership painted a bullseye on themselves by threatening Israel.
Last edited by Firestorm; 25 Feb 13, at 12:18.
The Iranian leadership are playing what cards they have masterfully, and threatening Israel is more for domestic/proxi consumption then anything serious, in my opinion..
Edited for second answer and spelling
Last edited by Dante; 25 Feb 13, at 15:55.
A campaign like that might destroy the Iranian economy, and they might throw in the towel, but what if they don't? Explosives and people willing to use them will be plenty available, and so will the targets. A single year of constant threats and attacks on the oil route would harm the international economy to a depression level, at which point NATO either falls back, kills them in mas, or invades. Falling back or starving them won't be politically acceptable, so that leaves option three..
I hope I don't seem like defending Iranian actions or preaching here, but in regards to Iran I have never seen a realistic solution that doesn't center either around them quitting or invading and imposing a regime change. And I'm not betting they will quit..
Even Vietnam needed to buy time with the peace negotiation to rebuild her armies with Chinese rice and Soviet money. We're not going to give Iran that luxury.
Last edited by Dante; 25 Feb 13, at 19:03.
Terror attacks? We will have to absorb them just like we did with the Somali pirates. In the scheme of things though, it is an annoyance, not a threat.
You're not understanding. We must also destroy the nuclear forces' abilities to repair its own damages and rebuild its forces, ie new command posts and targeting procedures with whatever survives. Those are not secondary targets.
We may or may not take out the nuke but we sure as hell would make sure we take out the launch pad and anything that could repair the launch pad and also anything that could use that launch pad, including the C4 elements.
Last edited by Officer of Engineers; 26 Feb 13, at 00:31.
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