Originally posted by Gokul
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Elections 2009 in India
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When our perils are past, shall our gratitude sleep? - George Canning sigpic
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Originally posted by devgupt View PostSouth India will hold the key.
AIADMK,PMK,MDMK- this alliance looks formidable and though they are with left today we all know how strong their ideological commitment are.
The strength of TDP and PrajaRajyam will also be a deciding factor.When our perils are past, shall our gratitude sleep? - George Canning sigpic
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You are correct that UP alone has 80.
But I suggest you look at this statistic-for the last 2 elections-the party which has lost UP has formed the government at Center-1999- BJP had won 27 seats out of then 85 seats of united UP and in 2004 Congress has won mere 10.And when Left supported Congress it got majority even without Samajwadi's party's support.
On the contrary the party which has won Tamil Nadu has ruled India- this has been happening in every election since 1991.And PMK had been part of every government since 1998.u can check it.
Actaully there are 3 poles in country -NDA,UPA and the third front.
2 of them have to come together or one has to crack.which one has the possibility of cracking most-third front.And who are most likely to crack- the name of the parties I mentioned.And Prajarajyam in Andhra is a dark horse.
NDA needs to win around 250.the rest will be done by these partiesKeyboard is mightier than gun
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Originally posted by devgupt View PostYou are correct that UP alone has 80.
But I suggest you look at this statistic-for the last 2 elections-the party which has lost UP has formed the government at Center-1999- BJP had won 27 seats out of then 85 seats of united UP and in 2004 Congress has won mere 10.
And when Left supported Congress it got majority even without Samajwadi's party's support.
On the contrary the party which has won Tamil Nadu has ruled India- this has been happening in every election since 1991.And PMK had been part of every government since 1998.u can check it.
Actaully there are 3 poles in country -NDA,UPA and the third front.
2 of them have to come together or one has to crack.which one has the possibility of cracking most-third front.And who are most likely to crack- the name of the parties I mentioned.And Prajarajyam in Andhra is a dark horse.
NDA needs to win around 250.the rest will be done by these partiesWhen our perils are past, shall our gratitude sleep? - George Canning sigpic
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Originally posted by payeng View PostSo what about Madhya Pradesh who had got a strong hold this time?When our perils are past, shall our gratitude sleep? - George Canning sigpic
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Originally posted by Knaur Amarsh View PostBJP, Diggi Raja's days on top are over, Scindia doesnt have the ground level appeal of Chauhan, BJP swept most seats last time, and in the state elections they were elected for the second time last year winning with ease, so I don't see why it should be much different for LS this time. IMO Congress and others can barely get half a dozen seats at best.
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Originally posted by Knaur Amarsh View PostWhich state are you in at the moment? Whats the seat distribution looking like there mate?
In Assam Congress have got a strong hold, two major parties in Assam are the Congress(national) and the AGP(regional)-Assam Gana Parashad however AGP had split up in to two and AGP don't seems to have the strength it had possessed in the past, to over come this weakness AGP had made an alliance with BJP to fight elections, in some Constituencies AGP seat are projected while some with BJP seat.
Congress party have more popular leader/politicians while BJP have a few celebrity faces like Bhupen Hazarika. As a whole non congress political parties are loosing ground in Assam.
The present representation from these 14 Constituencies
are congress=9
BJP=2
AGP=2
Independent=1
I think there wouldn't be drastic change in the upcoming general election since AGP are no popular now-a-days and BJP have less influence in Assam.
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