I recently had an interesting talk with one Russian aviation industry analyst. His estimates are really SHOCKING. If he is correct than Russian air might may disappear by 2012
- RUSSIA DID NOT BUY NEW MILLITARY PLANES FOR ALMOST 12 YEARS!
- At the same rate of spendings Russia will have JUST SLIGHTLY MORE THAN 200 FIGHTERS by 2012!!!
- This was first year when Russia ordered fighters for RAF. However those 7 Su-35 are well bellow replacement rate (only these year 15 Su-27 would need to be replaced or upgraded/repaired profoundly).
Hence to maintain adequate might of RAF Russia will need to spend around US$15bn by 2015. However no sign of where this money will come from.
Fighters --------------1987-------2002------2012 (no spending)
MiG-21 Fishbed-------490-------0---------0-
Mig-23 Flogger -------1,990------0----------0
MiG-25 Foxbat -------410 -------48 -------0
MiG-31 Foxhound ---125 ------160 -------10
MiG-29 Fulcrum------275 -------334 ------120
Su-15 Flagon --------500 -------0---------0
Su-27 Flanker --------100 ------366 ------150
Tu-28/128 Fiddler----100 -------0---------0
Jak-28 Firebar---------85 --------0---------0
------------------------------------------------------
Total-----------------4,075 -----908 ------280
- RUSSIA DID NOT BUY NEW MILLITARY PLANES FOR ALMOST 12 YEARS!
- At the same rate of spendings Russia will have JUST SLIGHTLY MORE THAN 200 FIGHTERS by 2012!!!
- This was first year when Russia ordered fighters for RAF. However those 7 Su-35 are well bellow replacement rate (only these year 15 Su-27 would need to be replaced or upgraded/repaired profoundly).
Hence to maintain adequate might of RAF Russia will need to spend around US$15bn by 2015. However no sign of where this money will come from.
Fighters --------------1987-------2002------2012 (no spending)
MiG-21 Fishbed-------490-------0---------0-
Mig-23 Flogger -------1,990------0----------0
MiG-25 Foxbat -------410 -------48 -------0
MiG-31 Foxhound ---125 ------160 -------10
MiG-29 Fulcrum------275 -------334 ------120
Su-15 Flagon --------500 -------0---------0
Su-27 Flanker --------100 ------366 ------150
Tu-28/128 Fiddler----100 -------0---------0
Jak-28 Firebar---------85 --------0---------0
------------------------------------------------------
Total-----------------4,075 -----908 ------280
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