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Thread: Iran Research Library

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    Iran Research Library

    Here's a thread to post any pertinent reports on Iran (e.g. IAEA reports, CSIS analysis, reports on Iran's economy, etc.).
    "So little pains do the vulgar take in the investigation of truth, accepting readily the first story that comes to hand." Thucydides 1.20.3

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    This article predicts that Iran will no longer export oil by 2015. It is based off of increasing domestic consumption and decreasing output due to lack of maintaining capitalization of their oil fields.

    http://www.pnas.org/cgi/reprint/0603903104v1.pdf
    Last edited by Shek; 03 Apr 07, at 11:51.
    "So little pains do the vulgar take in the investigation of truth, accepting readily the first story that comes to hand." Thucydides 1.20.3

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    CSIS Report-Iran, Oil, and the Strait of Hormuz (Cordesman)

    http://www.csis.org/media/csis/pubs/...oil_hormuz.pdf

    Cordesman's contention that Iran could not close the straits for more than a couple of days to two weeks despite surging their forces and incurring massive attrition. Short and very good read. Five days old.

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    I did my MA thesis on Iranian capability to shut the hormuz. I came to the same conclusion as Cordesmann. Nothing has changed since I did the paper and would suggest that Iran has got nothing but relatively weaker in the mean time.
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    Quote Originally Posted by S-2 View Post
    http://www.csis.org/media/csis/pubs/...oil_hormuz.pdf

    Cordesman's contention that Iran could not close the straits for more than a couple of days to two weeks despite surging their forces and incurring massive attrition. Short and very good read. Five days old.
    Here's another article on the Iranian threat to the Strait of Hormuz:

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