Originally posted by zraver
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Long-term international GDP projections | The Treasury
Now mind you that this is all pre-plenum. In future, the family planning policies may be additionally tweaked, and the one child policy may be scrapped. China may have done its own projections and have decided to keep the one child policy in a neutered form as it is for its own purpose.
It has served the chinese well as you can imagine since the 1970's the overwhelming majority of chinese were poorer than your isolated hill billies. thats dirt poor. Look at them now.
However there will of course be a trade off in any economic policies, but its no different to say germany when it lost most of its young men to war. It bounced back with a vengance.
China has its "basic dictatorship" which allows it go implement reforms that is likely to have a quicker effect than most democracies.
There is also the possibility for china to introduce an immigration policy for skilled migrants. This is easy for china as all it has to do is attract the scientist of chinese decent scattered all around the world with the bulk of them in the US. This is already happening and will gather pace when china get richer.
China plans to attract more overseas Chinese scholars in next 5 years
I suppose new forecast will have to be made post plenum and I can bet that it will be more optimistic than the already optimistic outlook pre-plenum
Originally posted by zraver
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Originally posted by zraver
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Originally posted by zraver
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