citanon,
The graphs posted above start with the assumption that the kinds of trend analysis that has been useful in modern stock markets will also apply to those in China. I do not think this is a useful assumption, as China’s stock markets are closer to casinos than to well-regulated, Western-style markets.
As for nominal GDP growth, 2% inflation and 6% real growth would be 8% nominal, which is about the same (8.2%) as in 2014. Adding Rmb5 trillion to the economy in 2015 would be somewhat similar to the amount of nominal, renminbi increase of the past few years, and it would be more than the Rmb4.84 trillion added in 2015 I mean 2014. Whether they are accurate or not is an entirely different matter.
Finally, Forbes has never been exactly neutral on China (swinging from raging bull to bellowing bear), and zerohedge is just bad. Have a look at some of their comments from a couple of years back and you'll see what I mean.
The graphs posted above start with the assumption that the kinds of trend analysis that has been useful in modern stock markets will also apply to those in China. I do not think this is a useful assumption, as China’s stock markets are closer to casinos than to well-regulated, Western-style markets.
As for nominal GDP growth, 2% inflation and 6% real growth would be 8% nominal, which is about the same (8.2%) as in 2014. Adding Rmb5 trillion to the economy in 2015 would be somewhat similar to the amount of nominal, renminbi increase of the past few years, and it would be more than the Rmb4.84 trillion added in 2015 I mean 2014. Whether they are accurate or not is an entirely different matter.
Finally, Forbes has never been exactly neutral on China (swinging from raging bull to bellowing bear), and zerohedge is just bad. Have a look at some of their comments from a couple of years back and you'll see what I mean.
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