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  1. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/...

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/coronavirus-baby-death-connecticut-map-us-cases-newborn-a9441331.html
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    geezus, 6.6 million unemployment claims reported...

    geezus, 6.6 million unemployment claims reported this week; combined with the 3.3 million from last week, 10 million jobs lost in 2 weeks.

    6.6 million was -again- 50% above the HIGH range of...
  3. not any more, there's been documented deaths...

    not any more, there's been documented deaths among infants from COVID.

    but still a minuscule risk compared to the other age groups.
  4. yes, but this is Brazil we're talking about. the...

    yes, but this is Brazil we're talking about. the second-order effects are going to hit -a lot- harder than in the US.

    i expect to see a pretty big uptick in crime in the favelas spreading outwards...
  5. if there's a fight with China, things will likely...

    if there's a fight with China, things will likely be decided before heavy armor comes into play.
  6. joe, you in Jacksonville? if so, you're in...

    joe,



    you in Jacksonville? if so, you're in a relatively safe spot (for Florida). southern Florida is about to get slammed hard.

    i have a friend of mine working in Brazil right now. Brazil...
  7. Florida will almost certainly be the next...

    Florida will almost certainly be the next hotspot-- all the risk factors are there, compounded by the inept toadying leadership of Gov. DeSantis. that will be particularly gruesome given Florida's...
  8. that's actually pretty accurate, seeing as how...

    that's actually pretty accurate, seeing as how even when he -doesn't- shut his mouth, his approval rating goes up 5% due to the rally-around-the-flag effect.

    Cuomo's ratings are going through the...
  9. the level of lethality is different. the reports...

    the level of lethality is different. the reports coming from our hospitals as well as the international response have been significantly different. hell, the -morgues- have been saying different...
  10. DE, I just wanted to follow up on this. ...

    DE,



    I just wanted to follow up on this.

    at 9 PM EDT, the US is currently at ~142K. we'll likely hit 200K tomorrow or the day after tomorrow.
  11. frankly it's all been a big unknown. OTOH, we...

    frankly it's all been a big unknown. OTOH, we -did- have pictures of those trucks, and stories of the bodies waiting for cremation, in Italy -- even when their death toll was approximately that of...
  12. DOR, DE, ...

    DOR, DE,

    https://www.rfa.org/english/news/china/wuhan-deaths-03272020182846.html

    Estimates Show Wuhan Death Toll Far Higher Than Official Figure
    2020-03-27Email storyComment on this...
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    joe, well, well, will you look at this. ...

    joe,



    well, well, will you look at this.

    instead of concentrating on getting medical supplies to our governors, this is what Trump chooses to spend his attention on.
    ...
  14. not in the US...quite a few red states have yet...

    not in the US...quite a few red states have yet to take action.



    rural for the US. plus, it gets bad enough, even -those- places will get hit. most farmers, after all, buy their stuff from a...
  15. it's China and the CCP. they're almost certainly...

    it's China and the CCP. they're almost certainly lying, although it's not in the same league as Iran.
    ...
  16. America rural is not northern Saskatchewan rural....

    America rural is not northern Saskatchewan rural.

    there's enough medium-sized cities there, like Oklahoma City or Boise or Omaha, that there will still be significant spread.



    South Africa...
  17. high population density -- insanely high in the...

    high population density -- insanely high in the favelas--, poor healthcare system, and a President who's busy imitating Trump.

    Brazil's gonna get effed so hard in two weeks.
  18. correct, the re-infection threat will remain for...

    correct, the re-infection threat will remain for the foreseeable future.

    that doesn't prevent Xi Jinping from crowing about it, though.



    the rural areas are going to get devastated once it...
  19. snapper, boils down to more centralized...

    snapper,



    boils down to more centralized authority and willingness to put aside political/economic opposition.

    here, there's 50 states and each state governor determines the risk they are...
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    unemployment insurance claims shot up to 3.3...

    unemployment insurance claims shot up to 3.3 million this week...and it's only been a week since a number of states started doing shelter-in-place, let alone full lockdown. as context, Goldman Sachs...
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