ELECTION 2008 | The Pub | The Field Mess | The Staff College | Bookmark WAB



Go Back   World Affairs Board > General Forums > World Affairs Board Pub > Science & Tech
Register FAQ WAB RSS Feed Forum GuidelinesMembers List Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Greetings, and welcome to the World Affairs Board!

The World Affairs Board is one of the premier forums for the discussion of the pressing geopolitical issues of our time. Topics include foreign & defense policy, international security, military developments, weapons proliferation, terrorism, international strategic affairs, and politics. Our membership includes many from military, defense industry, and government backgrounds with expert knowledge on a wide range of topics. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free so why not register a World Affairs Board account and join our community today?
Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 02-15-2008, 00:34 AM   #16 (permalink)
Ironduke
Burgomaster
 
Join Date: 08-02-03
Location: Minneapolis
Posts: 6,847
Country:
Quote:
Originally Posted by gunnut
Not necessarily. We know we have oil in Alaska and under the gulf. We know we have oil underneath the east coast and the west coast. We never really had even a rough estimate of how much is under the 2 coasts. Some believe those reserves rival that of Saudi Arabia. Or we have nothing there. In that case, we'll have to get some nuclear plants up and running quick.
If we find ourselves in a real pinch, it would be an immense assert to be able to derive fuel oil from coal. Nuclear power does nothing to help with oil consumption directly, but it would preserve our coal resources so that they could be used as a source of fuel oil in an emergency.

Unlike these speculated, possible large reserves in Alaska and the Gulf, our coal supply is a sure thing, and a safe bet.
__________________
The Buck Stops Here
Ironduke is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-15-2008, 01:13 AM   #17 (permalink)
SteaminDemon
Patron
 
SteaminDemon's Avatar
 
Join Date: 01-18-08
Posts: 221
Country:
So would you propose just using some coal to make oil to transfer to our reserves for just in case instances? There I could agree, but as for wide spread use we should invest the money instead in exploration.

I do think once Iraq has a stable government and better control over their oil production, the only right thing to do is supply Iraq's allies with oil at the right price. Will Iraq be a part of OPEC? Who knows, they may just go at it alone. I think the outcome of future Iraq, will be a future supplier to the United States and Iraq's other Allies as well, and they may just bypass OPEC in the process. Only the future will tell.

About the "possible large reserves in Alaska and the Gulf" we need to turn 2 ,explore and make those possibilities a reality.
SteaminDemon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-15-2008, 01:42 AM   #18 (permalink)
Ironduke
Burgomaster
 
Join Date: 08-02-03
Location: Minneapolis
Posts: 6,847
Country:
I don't propose that we use coal for our entire oil consumption, just that we have the capability to do so if we have to, and begin to preserve our coal resources in the possibility we may desperately need it in the future. The plant in S. Africa is profitable, and I think such facilities would be profitable in the US. I think we should build a few installations capable of churning out gasoline and diesel, use them, with the ability to massive ramp up production for unforeseen events.

Who knows... we could even use such a capability to make threats to leverage the price of oil itself.

Hopefully the reserves in the Gulf and Alaska are a reality.
Ironduke is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-15-2008, 02:56 AM   #19 (permalink)
SteaminDemon
Patron
 
SteaminDemon's Avatar
 
Join Date: 01-18-08
Posts: 221
Country:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ironduke View Post
Hopefully the reserves in the Gulf and Alaska are a reality.
Damn Skippy. I hope so. We should take it and further increase our reserve oil, and utilize the rest for ourselves.
SteaminDemon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2008, 22:36 PM   #20 (permalink)
captain
Patron
 
captain's Avatar
 
Join Date: 06-19-07
Location: South Australia
Posts: 255
Country:
As the price of oil hits ever increasing highs, the coal to gas and gas to liquid industry seems to be getting their acts together and making big gains in efficiencies.

One such company that I have been watching for a year now is Linc Energy.

In 2007 Linc took a 60% interest in a coal to gas company in Uzbekistan that had been producing gas continually for close to 50 years.
Linc also has an agreement with Syntroleum Corp USA for tech transfer.

For those interested in the proceess and where the industry is headinding visit;
Coal to Liquids - Gas to Liquids - Linc Energy - Fueling Our Future

As coal is abundant in most parts of the world and the Middle East continues to be unstable, I think the coal to liquids technologies will improve at an exponential rate.

BTW, I don't own any shares in link,,,yet.

Cheers.
captain is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-16-2008, 00:32 AM   #21 (permalink)
Ironduke
Burgomaster
 
Join Date: 08-02-03
Location: Minneapolis
Posts: 6,847
Country:
Did a little number crunching.

The Sasol Plant processes 160,000 barrels of oil for every 120,000 tons of coal put in.

That's 1⅓ barrel of oil per ton.

American coal power plants consumed 1.05 billion tons of coal last year, enough to produce exact 1.4 billion barrels of oil a year, or 20% of our current oil consumption.

We have an estimated 264 billion tons of coal in recoverable reserves, and a total of 491 billion tons in reserves.

We consumed 7.55 billion barrels of oil last year, of which we produced 3.04 billion barrels.

Build nuke plants, take the coal plants offline, convert the coal currently being used to generate electricity into oil.

That makes 4.26 billion barrels of oil produced domestically, or 56.4% of total consumption.

We import 1.23 billion barrels of oil from Canada and Mexico a year.

Add this to the figure from domestic oil production and possible oil production from coal, and we arrive at 5.5 billion barrels a year produced in NAFTA countries, or 73% of total oil consumption.

If we add in the Virgin Islands, the UK, Brazil, Ecuador, and Colombia, friendly or nearby countries, from whom we import 400 million barrels a day, we come to 5.9 billion barrels of oil imported/produced in NAFTA and friendly countries, or 78% of total oil consumption.

Double coal production, convert it into oil (an additional 1.4 billion barrels), and we get 7.3 billion barrels, or 96.7% of total oil consumption.

An extra 190 million tons of coal would get us to 100%. Not a drop of oil from the Middle East, Africa, or Venezuela.
Ironduke is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-16-2008, 13:30 PM   #22 (permalink)
gunnut
Senior Contributor
 
gunnut's Avatar
 
Join Date: 01-27-06
Location: DPRK, Democratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
Posts: 9,796
Country:
And we should convert as much of our food supplies into ethanol as possible to jack up world food prices. Then pop some corn and watch the show.
__________________
"Only Nixon can go to China." -- Old Vulcan proverb.
gunnut is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 05-17-2008, 15:54 PM   #23 (permalink)
Ironduke
Burgomaster
 
Join Date: 08-02-03
Location: Minneapolis
Posts: 6,847
Country:
Quote:
Originally Posted by gunnut View Post
And we should convert as much of our food supplies into ethanol as possible to jack up world food prices. Then pop some corn and watch the show.
Uh, no.
Ironduke is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-18-2008, 19:05 PM   #24 (permalink)
Drake
New Member
 
Join Date: 12-10-07
Posts: 1
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ironduke View Post
Did a little number crunching.

The Sasol Plant processes 160,000 barrels of oil for every 120,000 tons of coal put in.

That's 1⅓ barrel of oil per ton.

American coal power plants consumed 1.05 billion tons of coal last year, enough to produce exact 1.4 billion barrels of oil a year, or 20% of our current oil consumption.

We have an estimated 264 billion tons of coal in recoverable reserves, and a total of 491 billion tons in reserves.

We consumed 7.55 billion barrels of oil last year, of which we produced 3.04 billion barrels.

Build nuke plants, take the coal plants offline, convert the coal currently being used to generate electricity into oil.

That makes 4.26 billion barrels of oil produced domestically, or 56.4% of total consumption.

We import 1.23 billion barrels of oil from Canada and Mexico a year.

Add this to the figure from domestic oil production and possible oil production from coal, and we arrive at 5.5 billion barrels a year produced in NAFTA countries, or 73% of total oil consumption.

If we add in the Virgin Islands, the UK, Brazil, Ecuador, and Colombia, friendly or nearby countries, from whom we import 400 million barrels a day, we come to 5.9 billion barrels of oil imported/produced in NAFTA and friendly countries, or 78% of total oil consumption.

Double coal production, convert it into oil (an additional 1.4 billion barrels), and we get 7.3 billion barrels, or 96.7% of total oil consumption.

An extra 190 million tons of coal would get us to 100%. Not a drop of oil from the Middle East, Africa, or Venezuela.
I think you kinda underestimate the sheer size of the infrastructure transformations required for your plan and the time it would require to build all the stuff. I'd say 3 decades would be a pretty optimistic figure, 5 decades more realistic. Germany produced a meagre 22 million tonnes of synthetic fuel during the entire ww2 (in 12 plants, each of which took 5 years and loads of money to build), the US today burns that amount of fuel in less than a week (20 million barrels ~ 3,4 tonnes a day). Sasol 2 produces 80000 barrel/day. You'd need to build 250 of these (pretty big) plants plus the additional 300 nuke plants to replace the coal plants just to meet the current consumption level (currently 104 nuke plants in the US). Not to mention, that US oil production, just as the oil production of mexico, the uk etc. are in terminal decline, so you'd have to make up for that as well.
Drake is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply




Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools
Display Modes


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Exporting Heat: A National Suicide Feanor Current Affairs 5 12-29-2007 08:35 AM
Pakistan: No nuclear, try wind, gas, coal Ray South Asian Defense Topics 4 03-15-2006 17:44 PM
Why use force when talk works so well? Leader International Defense Topics 54 12-05-2005 04:29 AM
More troops being pumped into Kashmir? Asim Aquil South Asian Defense Topics 21 11-29-2004 05:41 AM
Indian Oil clinches $3bn Iran gas deal Ray Current Affairs 1 11-03-2004 12:03 PM


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 21:50 PM.


Rochen is the business hosting sponsor of World Affairs Board and a provider of reseller web hosting services.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2008, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Search Engine Optimization by vBSEO 3.0.0 RC8