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Greetings, and welcome to the World Affairs Board! The World Affairs Board is one of the premier forums for the discussion of the pressing geopolitical issues of our time. Topics include foreign & defense policy, international security, military developments, weapons proliferation, terrorism, international strategic affairs, and politics. Our membership includes many from military, defense industry, and government backgrounds with expert knowledge on a wide range of topics. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free so why not register a World Affairs Board account and join our community today? |
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#46 (permalink) | |
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Lord High Hullabalooster
Senior Contributor
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-dale |
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#47 (permalink) | |
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Patron
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I HAVE provided evidence of man-made mechanisms that could be causing global warming. That you choose (as you climate sceptic religion compells you) not to believe this evidence than that is fine, but don't discount that the evidence is being provided.
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"Just go home rednecks!" Me, 28/03/2007 |
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#49 (permalink) |
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Devil's Advocate
Senior Contributor
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Yes, there is a mechanism. CO2+other supposed greenhouse gases that prevent radiation of infrared radiation from the earth's atmosphere. Does it actually work? I don't know. But it is a plausible mechanism. And until someone provides a more plausible mechanism (and solar cycles have not convinced me at all) I'm going to have to take anthro GW seriously.
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"Apocalyptic thought is curiously pleasurable." -Theodore Dalrymple |
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#50 (permalink) | |
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 01-27-06
Location: DPRK, Democratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
Posts: 9,377
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These are smaller than a hiccup for the sun yet they determine the earth's immediate weather pattern. I believe the sun ultimately has great influence over the earth's climate, more than anything that we can produce within a few hundred years.
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"Only Nixon can go to China." -- Old Vulcan proverb. |
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#51 (permalink) | |
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Devil's Advocate
Senior Contributor
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#52 (permalink) | |
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Lord High Hullabalooster
Senior Contributor
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Quote:
-dale |
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#53 (permalink) |
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Patron
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These are some of the main research articles atributing current global warming to humans.
1). In 1995, a team of researchers led by Dr. Benjamin Santer of the Lawrence Livermore Labs examined the pattern of heating in the atmosphere. That pattern of warming -- over land and water and warm and cold areas -- produced a very specific pattern. That pattern matches the pattern projected by computer models of "greenhouse gas" plus sulfate warming. When the vertical structure of the warming was examined, it was found to be graphically different from the structure produced by natural warming. "A search for human influences on the thermal structure of the atmosphere," Nature, Vol. 382, July 4, 1996, B.D. Santer, et al. 2). A team of scientists at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center verified an increase of extreme weather events in the US. They concluded the growing weather extremes are due, by a probability of 90 percent, to rising levels of greenhouse gases. Those extremes -- which reflect an intensification of the planet's hydrological cycle from atmospheric heating -- are not consistent with natural warming and, instead, resemble the changes that were projected for emissions from fossil fuels. The researchers declared the climate in the US is becoming more "greenhouse-like" -- with more intense rain and snowfalls, more winter precipitation, more droughts, floods and heat waves. It concluded: "[T]he late-century changes recorded in US climate are consistent with the general trends anticipated from a greenhouse-enhanced atmosphere." Trends in U.S. Climate during the Twentieth Century, Consequences, Spring, 1995, Vol. 1, No. 1, Thomas Karl et al. Also: "The Coming Climate," by Thomas R. Karl, Neville Nicholls and Jonathan Gregory, Scientific American, May, 1997. 3). David J. Thomson, a signals analyst at AT&T Bell Labs, evaluated a century of summer and winter temperature data. While some scientific skeptics had attributed this century’s atmospheric warming to solar variations, Thomson discovered the opposite: the accumulation of greenhouse gases had overwhelmed the relatively weak effects of solar cycles on the climate. He also discovered that since the beginning of World War II, when accelerating industrialization led to a skyrocketing of carbon dioxide emissions, the timing of the seasons began to shift. Since 1940, he wrote in the journal, Science, the seasonal patterns "of the previous 300 years began to change and now appear to be changing at an unprecedented rate." "The Seasons, Global Temperature and Precession," by David J. Thomson, Science, Vol. 268, April 7, 1995; also, "Dependence of global temperatures on Atmospheric CO2 and solar irradiance," David J. Thomson, 1997 4). A research team led by David Easterling of NOAA's National Climatic Data Center found the night-time and winter-time low temperatures are rising nearly twice as fast as the daytime and summer-time high temperatures. Easterling called the findings a "fingerprint" study of "greenhouse warming." The research was based on data from 5400 observing stations around the world. "The rise in [minimum-temperatures] is due to higher humidity and more water vapor, especially in the winter in northern latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. In an increasingly 'greenhouse' world this is the kind of rise you’d expect to see," Easterling said. He added that If the warming were natural, and not driven by fossil fuel emissions, the high and low temperatures would more or less rise and fall in parallel. "Temperature Range Narrows between Daytime Highs and Nighttime Lows," Science, July 18, 1997, David Easterling et al. 5). In 1998, researchers examining weather records for the previous 600 years declared that 1997 was the hottest year at least since the 1400s. Using written records and information gleaned from tree rings, ice cores and coral reefs, researchers reconstructed the world's climate record for the past 600 years. The record revealed that the warmest years in that span were 1997, 1995, and 1990. Michael Mann and Raymond Bradley, of the University of Massachusetts, and Malcolm Hughes, of the University of Arizona, examined the correlation between temperature changes and other factors such as volcanic activity and variations in the sun's brightness. Those other factors showed a strong relationship with temperatures in earlier centuries, 'but during the 20th century, with its abrupt warming, there is little relationship between any of the natural factors we looked at' and the rising temperatures, Mann said. In the past century, he said, 'we see a remarkable correlation with carbon dioxide emissions, which swamps these natural factors.' "Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries, Nature, April 23, 1998, No. 392 pp 779-787, Michael E. Mann, Raymond S. Bradley & Malcolm K. Hughes 6). Mann, Bradley and Hughes followed their Nature study with another climate reconstruction from the year 1000 AD to 1998. They found that the decade of the 1990s was the hottest in the last millennium. Strikingly, the team found that the planet had been undergoing a slight but steady cooling trend from 1000 to about 1880. That trend was abruptly reversed as temperatures began to rise rapidly in tandem with large-scale industrialization based on our use of coal and oil. "Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, and Limitations" Geophysical Research Letters, March 15, 1999, Volume 26 Issue #6 Pages 759-762 7). Researchers examined the planet's temperature record between 1900 and 1998. In particular, they assessed the relative roles of four "climate forcing" components -- solar irradiance and stratospheric volcanic aerosols (which occur naturally) and greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosols (which are generated by human fossil fuel combustion). The team, led by Simon Tett of the Hadley Centre in the U.K., found: "The temperature changes over the 20th century cannot be explained by any combination of natural internal variability and the response to natural forcings alone." A commentary in Nature concluded: "The researchers’ findings were unambiguous…All in all, it seems we can lay to rest the idea that recent climate warming is just a freak of nature." Nature, Vol. 399, pp 569-572 10 June 1999 8). An analysis of the climate of the last 1,000 year published in the July 14, 2000 issue of Science suggests that human activity is the dominant force behind the sharp global warming trend seen in the 20th century. The study, by Dr. Thomas J. Crowley, a geologist at Texas A&M University, found that natural factors, like fluctuations in sunshine or volcanic activity, were powerful influences on temperatures in past centuries. But he found that they account for only 25 percent of the warming since 1900. The lion's share, he said, can be attributed to human influences, particularly to rising levels of carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping "greenhouse gases" that come from the burning of fuels and forests. These twin lines of evidence provide further support for the idea that the greenhouse effect is already here," Dr. Crowley wrote in describing the work in today's issue of the journal Science. Several climate experts said his findings offer the most direct link yet between people and the 1.1 degree rise in average global temperature over the last 100 years. "Causes of Climate Change Over the Past 1000 Years," Dr. Thomas J. Crowley, Science, 14 July 2000, v. 289 9). In March, 2001, researchers found a significant increase between 1970 and 1997 in the amount of CO2 and Methane in space -- which had migrated out from earth's atmosphere. Nature, 15 March, 2001, v. 410, pp. 355-357 "Increases in greenhouse forcing inferred from the outgoing longwave radiation spectra of the Earth in 1970 and 1997" John E. Harries, Helen E. Brindley, Pretty J. Sagoo & Richard J. Bantges 10). In 2005, a team of researchers, lead by NASA's James Hansen, found that the earth had become a "net importer" of heat -- due to the build-up of human-generated carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. "Earth's Energy Imbalance: Confirmation and Implications," Science, Vol 308, Issue 5727, 1431-1435, 3 June 2005 |
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#54 (permalink) | ||||||||||
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Lord High Hullabalooster
Senior Contributor
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A computer model that gets matched back in 1995 does not constitute rigorous testing. Quote:
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And what is "rapidly" with respect to global temperature? Quote:
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Overall my Tombstone Theory is as scientifically rigorous as the anthro GW theory. The difference is that I know my theory sucks. ![]() -dale |
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#55 (permalink) | |
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Senior Contributor
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California oilfields....
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The California oilfields areas produced H2S Gas before oil was ever pumped from the ground. In fact the H2S gas oozes up from the ground naturally in most areas of the globe. H2S is a two part hydrogen and one part sulphur. Septic tanks in the Central Coast area of California trap this gas which emmenates upward from the Earth in large quanities to create sulphur crystals in unvented septic tanks. It is very corrossive to concrete and iron as I have witnessed with my own eyes upon having my septic system pumped from time to time. We actually stabilize some of these extremely harmful gases by burning them in refineries and converting some to usable pure sulphur products for medicines, agricultural, and industry. In the Gulf of Mexico the Earth releases large amounts of methane. In fact some scientist believe that large crystals of methalhydride that are collecting on the Gulf floor could break off and gas off as they leave the pressures of the deep and naturally gas people and animals ibn the Gulf area. Ivan
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"Evil opposes freedom and uses those who pervert it as pawns to destroy it." |
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#56 (permalink) |
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 01-27-06
Location: DPRK, Democratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
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Here's an easy way to prove "global warming" is a hoax.
If "global warming" were real and the debate is over and blah blah blah, why did the global warming cultists change their religion to "GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE?" Warming - temperature can only go up Climate Change - we have covered our asses no matter what happens |
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#57 (permalink) | |
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Lord High Hullabalooster
Senior Contributor
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Quote:
-dale |
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#58 (permalink) | |
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 01-27-06
Location: DPRK, Democratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
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This is the type of hypocrisy I hate. First Al Gore, now John Travolta... A Boeing 707 no less. With 4 engines, it's hardly the most fuel efficient plane.
http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/showbiz/article-23390848-details/Air+miles+Travolta+urges+fans+to+'do+their+bit'+fo r+the+environment/article.do Quote:
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#59 (permalink) |
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 01-27-06
Location: DPRK, Democratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
Posts: 9,377
Country:
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Travolta's 707 is a -138B formerly operated by Qantas Airline. Judging from this photo, the turbojet engines were never upgraded to turbofans, if such an upgrade was even available. These things guzzle quite a bit of fuel.
Image take from this site: John Travolta's B707-138B photo - Sunbird Photos by Don Boyd photos at pbase.com |
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