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#1 (permalink) | |
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WAB Bartender
Defense Professional
Military Professional |
Anybody want to talk about the US economy? Well, I do!
Herewith a great thumping of the New York Times and its absolute refusal to give any credit to this administration for what is obviously an excellent and well-managed economic policy that has led to terrific performance.
While I and most conservatives believe that the economy that is managed LESS performs BEST, we also believe that there are certain precepts that, if adhered to, will tend to increase wealth (such as low marginal rates and incentives on entrepreneurial risk-taking). These are things that the other side finds anathema, and consequently one can plausibly claim that NOT having a Five-Year Plan or a centrally-controlled economy and all the other CRAP that this administration's opponents favor is far better than some elaborate government intervention into what is properly private sector matters. Well, here's more proof, if one needed it, coming on top of decades of empirical data on economic performance. Quote:
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"The quickest way of ending a war is to lose it, and if one finds the prospect of a long war intolerable, it is natural to disbelieve in the possibility of victory." - George Orwell |
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#4 (permalink) | |
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WAB Bartender
Defense Professional
Military Professional |
Quote:
So, tell me, Master of Blades: is this economy going great, or is it not? |
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#5 (permalink) |
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Ubi dubium ibi libertas
Senior Contributor
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"Come and talk to me after the real estate market crashes."
Another oracle of doom.
__________________
"Above all, we must realize that no arsenal, or no weapon in the arsenals of the world, is so formidable as the will and moral courage of free men and women. It is a weapon our adversaries in today's world do not have."
"The nine most terrifying words in the English language are, 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help.'" ![]() NEVER FORGET |
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#6 (permalink) |
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Defense Professional
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The one area I disagreee with the administration, is on oil policy. Dubya has overseen a doubling of world oil prices, and he could have acted to check this.
In 1991, Bush Sr. announced a "test sale" of something like 10 million bbl. from the SPR at the oubreak of hostilities of GW1. The effect was calming on the oil markets, and sent the message to producers that the US would act if oil prices got out of control. As a result, prices remained stable, even when Kuwait's oil fields were burning. Dubya could have done the same thing, but instead has done nothing. Granted, the donks didn't help by blocking his energy policy for the last 5 years (effectively killing domestic exploration), but that is what adversary parties do. I know a lot of people will disagree with this- using the SPR as market moderator, but the high cost of oil is the #1 drag on the economy, not to mention the billions we have shelled out in airline subsidies due to high fuel costs. Also since we are still filling the SPR, any selloff would probably have been offset by the lower prices. As it stands, we are sitting at $62+/bbl, with virtually no chance of ever seeing $40 again. I believe this could have been prevented with some nominal symbolic selloffs from the SPR, just as we did in '91.
__________________
My baby called me up. She said- Why don't you ever take me out? Pick me up in your brand new car....You shake the short change from the old fruit jar... |
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#7 (permalink) | |
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WAB Bartender
Defense Professional
Military Professional |
Quote:
If oil remains at $60+/bbl, then that's a spur for further exploration, and that's WAY better in the long run than getting some kind of manipulated but unsustainable price trend. Furthermore, the real spur for alternative energy is the stark realization that we may be looking at a tight world market, where every single bbl is being chased by technology-poor/cash-rich countries (PRC comes instantly yo mind). Price will continue to climb far past the point that we can affect, and then, if we do not have alternative supplies, we're going to see some real scary problems: strategic AND economic. So, I think the Prez is right to leave price to market forces, leave the STRATEGIC Petroleum Reserves in reserve, and now he needs to floor the pedal on alternatives and exploration, conservation and technology. |
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#8 (permalink) | |
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Military Professional
Moderator |
Quote:
The world oil market has changed in the past decade now. You have much more demand thanks to China and its growth. |
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#9 (permalink) |
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Defense Professional
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I knew I would be popular for saying this...
The current price is due more to market fears than reality wrt supply/demand. In March 03, the price was $35/bbl, and that was an $8 jump in only 2 months, due to the strike in Venezuela and fears of the US going to war in Iraq. OPEC's target price was $28. A correction-Bush Sr. only released 4 million barrels in 1991. The effect on the market was a $10 drop overnite. The 4 million barrels made no impact on supply- it stabliized the market because it sent a message that the US would act if things got out of hand. It took away the fear. In 2003, when the price hit $38, the dems started calling for a release from the SPR. I was against it at the time, but last year when it hit $48, I changed my tune. Yes, demand has grown in the last decade, but the supply has kept up, and is keeping up now. There is no shortage, there is a fear of a shortage. Increased demand just can't account for the doubling in price in the last 2 1/2 years. Look what has been happening with the market- a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico- the price jumps a dollar. King Fahd dies- the price jumps a dollar. A pipeline in Iraq is targeted by terrorists- the price jumps two dollars. The standoff in Najaf last year caused a 3 dollar jump. This from a country that was only exporting 500,000 barrels a day! None of these things actually affects supply- it is the fear in the market future that is causing the instability. The SPR is a strategic reserve, I undersand that. But it is also 700 million barrels of oil, and it could have been used to stabilize the market before things got out of control. I think now it's too late. The US uses 20 million barrels a day. The difference between $40 oil and $60 dollar oil is $150 Billion a year. That would pay for the war in Iraq and Afghanistan all by itself. Think what the economic numbers would be like if we weren't spending an additional $150 Billion a year right now. I am not advocating a drawdown of the SPR, but a couple minor symbolic releases, strategically timed, would have prevented the runaway oil prices. I don't buy the argument about artificially controlling prices. They are already artificially controlled. That's like saying DeBeers doesn't control the price of diamonds. Like I said, it's to late now. Oil will never go back to 2003 prices. I doubt if it will ever drop below $50 again. It's a huge windfall for producers, and there is just no incentive for them to let it go back down. I think it is the biggest economic f*ckup of the Bush administration. JMHO |
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#10 (permalink) |
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Senior Contributor
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I somewhat agree with you Highsea. The price of oil could have been slowed in its upward spiral. The price was bound to go up, but a near doubling in a few years proves there is more than simple "supply and demand" going on here. The bottom line is that when you have someone tied to the oil industry in offfice, he is going to look out for his oil baron buddies. I don't hear the excecutives at Texaco whining about the cost of oil. They just pass on the increases, and a little extra, to the consumers while the executives laugh all the way to the bank. We need to put more of our resources into exploring alternative energy now.
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#11 (permalink) |
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Patron
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Bluesman,
This is clearly more right wing propaganda from this Administration. I read the NYT, the Washington Times and the Los Angeles Times daily and have never seen any of this information. If any of this was acutally true I'm sure one of these great bastions of the news media would have mentioned it by now. |
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#12 (permalink) | |
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Staff Emeritus
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Quote:
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__________________
No man is free until all men are free - John Hossack I agree completely with this Administration’s goal of a regime change in Iraq-John Kerry even if that enforcement is mostly at the hands of the United States, a right we retain even if the Security Council fails to act-John Kerry He may even miscalculate and slide these weapons off to terrorist groups to invite them to be a surrogate to use them against the United States. It’s the miscalculation that poses the greatest threat-John Kerry |
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#13 (permalink) | |||
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WAB Bartender
Defense Professional
Military Professional |
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But I'll give you this much: you've accurately described how a corporation works when faced with increased costs (pass on the increase to the consumer), though you've absolutely failed to grasp why that must be so, and for this reason I am assuming you've never run a business yourself. As for putting more of 'our' resources into exploring alternative energy sources, unless the collective noun you've used means that you're an investor of your own money in risky ventures that won't make a profit for years (if ever), I assume you mean public funds. And whatever progress has been made along those lines you may thank this president for, and I'd like to remind you we could have had an energy bill two years ago, but for the Democrats' opposition, and a better energy bill now, but for the very same reason. Your dogmatic distrust of this president and the oil industry has made you see demons that aren't there, and prevented you from identifying the enemies of what you claim to want. The Democrats are counting on people like you - ill-informed, reflexively anti-business, and hopelessly, pathologically unable to grasp that the only reason you are able to enjoy the lifestyle that you lead is because this country is founded on a more-or-less capitalist model. |
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#14 (permalink) | |
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WAB Bartender
Defense Professional
Military Professional |
Quote:
Okay, forget it. I WAS having some fun making sport of the lefty*, but he's like a bit of string to a cat: if it stops moving, I lose interest. Not YOU, mtnbiker; I know you were just bein' all ironical, an' ever'thang. ![]() |
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#15 (permalink) | |
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Senior Contributor
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Quote:
You conceded something to me so I will return the favor. Yes I do have a pessimistic view of big businness. I see the corruption from absolute power and greed and I think it should be checked as I see that there are some things that are more important money. I do grasp the importance of (more or less) capitalistic model, and I favor it. However, I do not approve of the stricly capitalistic model, nor do I want the communism model. Maybe your unabashed love for Bush has blinded you from his shortcomings. Bush is not a savior. He is a politician. If you think the democrats are counting on me, you have another thing coming. I had to vote for the LESSER of the two evils in the last two elections, (EEK.GASP) and that was Bush. I cared enough to vote and as an American citizen, I have a right to criticize the leader of my country, whomever it may be. |
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