"For S-2, sorry that I'm not able to provide more insight than to provide caution in how to potentially read the survey results, but I don't want to be pulling stuff out of my fourth point of contact":(
No cause for sorriness assuming that polling methodology was a relative constant through the years. If so, your cautionary note about the media reporting good results now might suggest the same about bad results in the past.
Elements which you've introduced that I'd not considered included the mood of those polled at any given time and some of the factors that might be attributed to such, i.e, economic windfalls or downturns, weather, accessibility, etc.
The poll has had a galivating effect upon some of our Indian neighbors based upon the reported results. I confess to a bit of the same for myself on other elements of the poll. Still, nobody should assume too much one way or the other given some of your cautionary notes coupled with the self-evident issues that stare at us like an elephant in a china shop.
Thanks for the thoughts.