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Old 10-22-2007, 19:16 PM   #1 (permalink)
TopHatter
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Air Force says F-16 crashes are up

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Air Force says F-16 crashes are up
By SCOTT LINDLAW, Associated Press Writer

The dreaded BANG! came from deep within the F-16's lone engine, shaking the warplane as it made passes over an Arizona bombing range last December. Then came the alarming loss of thrust.

Two attempts to restart the engine failed. Having exhausted their options, the pilot and his student bailed out, parachuting to safety before the plane slammed into the Sonoran Desert, a $21 million loss for taxpayers.

Not all F-16 pilots have been so lucky recently. The accident rate for this workhorse fighter has risen over the past few years, and two pilots have died in the past year, according to an Associated Press review of Air Force documents.

In the fiscal year that ended Sept. 30, there were 10 "Class A" F-16 accidents — crashes that resulted in death, loss of the aircraft or damage of more than $1 million. (An 11th F-16 crash was counted separately as a combat loss by the military because the pilot was strafing enemy trucks at the time.)

The total was up from nine the previous year, five the year before that and just two the year before that.

The number of crashes has gone up even though the total number of hours flown has dropped steadily over the past five years.

An Air Force official said that one factor appears to be human error, and that pilots and maintenance crews must stay on guard against complacency. Pilot error was blamed for three accidents and the Iraq combat crash last year.

"I liken the problem to a really good football team that drops its guard," said Col. Willie Brandt, the chief of the Aviation Safety Division at the Air Force Safety Center and an F-16 pilot now flying combat missions in Iraq. "We started well this year and were on track, but have slipped a little. If I have a concern it is in the trend I see there."

The rate of Class A accidents this year — 3.18 per 100,000 hours flown — was the highest since 2001, when it was 3.85 because of a rash of engine failures.

The Class A accidents last fiscal year include crashes that happened during training in the United States and Italy. The total also includes several crashes that happened during sorties in Iraq while the pilots were not engaging the enemy.

One expert said that it may be that as the Iraq war drags on, the stress of combat is taking a toll on the 1,300 F-16s in the U.S. fleet, and their pilots.

"That might be putting wear and tear on the planes," said John Pike, director of the Washington-based military think tank Globalsecurity.org. "It might be putting wear and tear on crews."

The F-16 is known in Air Force circles as the "lawn dart" for its tendency to plunge back to Earth when its single engine flames out, and in most years, engine failure causes more accidents than any other factor. But pilot error was responsible for about the same number of F-16 accidents as engine failure in the past year.

An Air Force-wide increase last fiscal year in destroyed aircraft has spurred the service to redouble its efforts to confront human error, Brandt said.

The Air Force Safety Center housed at Kirtland Air Force Base in New Mexico now has a full-time flight surgeon, an aviation physiologist, a life-support specialist and two aviation psychologists on the staff, Brandt said.

"They are constantly immersed in trying to find ways to improve the human side of aviation," he said.

One problem safety experts are on guard against is exhaustion amid the day-and-night sorties F-16 pilots are flying in Iraq.

Ohio Air National Guard Maj. Kevin Sonnenberg, 42, died in June when his F-16 crashed shortly after takeoff from an air base in Iraq. Investigators found he became disoriented while flying in a dust storm at night.

Before taking off at 12:25 a.m., Sonnenberg had complained to his roommate that he was having trouble sleeping, according to an investigation. His squadron mates also said Sonnenberg appeared "slightly fatigued," but investigators found no proof fatigue was responsible for his misjudgments.

Despite the heavy flying responsibilities in the war zone, pilot fatigue is not a widespread problem, Brandt said. The Air Force has strict guidelines governing rest for its pilots, he said.

Pilots must take at least 12 hours off before showing up for duty, and duty on a flying day is limited to 12 hours, or 10 hours at night.

The F-16s damaged or destroyed in fiscal 2006 were worth about $112 million altogether.

The current crash rate remains lower than that seen during the 1980s and 1990s. In the late 1990s and the early part of this decade, engine problems caused the number of F-16 Class A crashes to spike to as many as 18 in one year. Experts pinpointed the problem, fixed it and brought the accident rate down.

There is no indication of such a problem today, Brandt said.

"If I thought there was an issue with the age or safety of the aircraft, I wouldn't fly it, and neither would most of my friends," he said in an e-mail.

A constant challenge, Brandt said, is squeezing the human-error factor out of the crash equation.

"We have aircraft piloted by human beings, designed by human beings, and maintained by human beings," said Brandt. "We are the most combat-tested, combat-experienced force on the planet, and we learn more about ourselves and our business every day. But still we are human and make mistakes."
Regardless of the expense, how much safer is a twin-engine aircraft when you look at the various single-engine aircraft losses due to engine failure?
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Old 10-23-2007, 00:49 AM   #2 (permalink)
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ARe we counting enough extra thrust to make up the weight of the extra engine and control systems or are we just going for a basically comprable misison wise twin engine light fighter? I'd say on average you are looking at about 40% more over the life of the aircraft. thats a very dirty and rough estimate.
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Old 10-23-2007, 01:12 AM   #3 (permalink)
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Regardless of the expense, how much safer is a twin-engine aircraft when you look at the various single-engine aircraft losses due to engine failure?
That depends on what singles you count. For civilians, single engine aircraft are much safer because they are much easier to control after an engine failure. Among business operators, twins and tri-jets are much safer. That is due to two factors, more hours and more simulator training. Among airlines, it's a mixed bag. For Part 121 airlines, there is no question that twins, tri-jets and quads are safer. But, if you count in Part 135, it gets messier. Singles have a good safety reputation in Part 135, because of the large number of piston twins operated there. If I had to pick between a TBM700 and a Beech Baron both operating under Part 135 rules, I would probably side with the TBM700.

In the military, there is no doubt that the F-18 has been exceptionally safe. But, there are twin jets that have not been so. Singles like the F-16 and A-4 have had a rough history. Among the A-4 community it was not unrealistic to expect a fifty percent attrition over twenty years of service. The F-4 community saw some high attrition numbers. A lot of that is attributable to aerodynamics. The F-18 flies better with one engine failed than the F-4 does.

Sorry, no clear cut answer.
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Old 10-23-2007, 01:54 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Wab Not being an aerospace engineer I can't say for certain but judging from looks don't most things "fly" better than the F-4 did/does? It looks like it has very little when it comes to glide ratio and controlability without power.
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Old 10-23-2007, 06:47 AM   #5 (permalink)
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wabpilot's correct on both things: when I got my multi-engine ticket, just about 90% of the training was engine-out procedures. This is just common sense, because obviously, when your airplane has suddenly become 'asymmetrical' - one side thrusting, the other side dragging - you are going to have some SERIOUS controllability issues, quite apart from a massive loss of power.

Also, I back him up that a single motor on a 'good' design beats two on a 'bad' design.

But, all other factors being equal, and they never are , I'd rather have two engines than one.
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Old 10-23-2007, 07:05 AM   #6 (permalink)
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Wab Not being an aerospace engineer I can't say for certain but judging from looks don't most things "fly" better than the F-4 did/does? It looks like it has very little when it comes to glide ratio and controlability without power.
My next-door neighbor back in Tampa was a retired AF Lt Col fighter driver, and he did some flight-test on F-4Ds. He liked 'em, but said it WAS a challenge to fly it well, at least compared to his time in F-15s. (And note that he flew 'em in combat in Vietnam, AND flew F-104s, without a doubt the most challenging aircraft ever in widespread use in the inventory.)

He said it was never happy at low altitudes, and wanted to 'buck you off', while the F-15 was just so easy in almost any flight regime.

When he transitioned from Phantoms to Eagles, the thing he noticed immediately was the different response at low speeds and a high power setting: the F-4 would fly away from it as you'd expect: with the knots coming up, it would get easier and easier to fly, until it was back in the 'sweet spot' that it liked best, between 300 and 600 knots, and if there was little or no g on the airplane, GREAT, it liked it even better and took less time to get to the 'right' speed.

The F-15, on the other hand, would just pin your ears back when you slammed the throttles in, and unless you were REALLY slow, it didn't mind if you were in a high-g maneuver or not, you'd be getting your airspeed back without having to 'manage' the increasing speed.

Bottom line: if you were good in an F-4, you were the 'real deal', a fine fighter pilot.
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Old 10-23-2007, 10:35 AM   #7 (permalink)
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As a aircraft avionics systems (most electronics and navigations systems for those uncertain. Also includes RWR and any other EWS on the airplane) guy. I've done a number of phased repair cycles for both duel and single engined planes. That 40% more expensive number was base on based on about 22% more expensive on start-up purchase and 15% increased maintence hours on the dual engined aircraft and 3% Based on operating costs (two smaller engines in a heavier airplane still use more fuel it seems.) Used the numbers from export versions of the f-16 and the f-18 (original hornet) (the f-18L would have been better but numbers on it are scarce to find quickly on the internet). Does anyone have disagrements with this or would you care to look at two other similair aircraft from a different manufacturer to determine wether this holds true across the board or if its just this case?
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Old 10-23-2007, 22:40 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Wab Not being an aerospace engineer I can't say for certain but judging from looks don't most things "fly" better than the F-4 did/does? It looks like it has very little when it comes to glide ratio and controlability without power.
In slow flight, the F-4 is a challenge. Its stall characteristics are brutal and it will flat spin with minimal provocation. An engine out, is more than enough to provoke a flat spin. Thus, speed management is vital. That being said, I liked flying the F-4. It's slow speed control was better than the F-14. No PIO at all. I never was concerned about a ramp strike in the F-4, that was a constant concern in the F-14. At altitude, the F-4 had the power to explore parts of the envelope where test pilots should go on their own. The F-14 does not. Fortunately the overtemp sensor on the F-4's armored windscreen usually kept people out of trouble. (Certain maintenance test pilots, notwithstanding.)

I would call the F-14 more refined than the F-4. The F-18 is just in another league. It's got to be the best flying fighter ever. It is more than a refinement on the F-14. It was coming into the fleet as I was leaving. I never qualed, but I did make it to F-18 maintenance school. It's no wonder the thing is so great. It is built by people who want you to fix it and make it fly again real quick.
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