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#92 (permalink) |
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Regular
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Actually, Turkey is a Euro-Asian country. Thus, it is both European and Asia. In fact, Turkey is a partner in many Asian organisations as well. For Example, it is a Full member of the Asia-Pacific Space Cooperation Organization (APSCO)Turkey Signs Up For Asia-Pacific Space Program
Thus, Turkey is definately in this race and I would rank it as having the 3rd best Air Force in Asia. 240 F-16 CCIP, 170 F-4 Terminator 2020, 100 F-35 (Delivery commences in 2010), 150 Unknown 5th Generation Fighter approved (possibly Eurofighter consortium in Trache 3) 6 B737 MESA AWACS, 7 KC-135 Tankers This is just a summary, I posted a detailed link previously. Last edited by TUSAS1 : 04-28-2008 at 00:29 AM. |
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#93 (permalink) | |
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With 100 F-35 and 150 EF typhoon, F-16s, 737 MESA, 135 tankers turkey would certainly be a very capable AF, however will they be a EU/NATO force by the time all of this hardware is in?
__________________
cheers Last edited by kuku : 04-28-2008 at 00:48 AM. |
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#94 (permalink) | |||
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See this post Turkey to receive JSF much earlier than expected!
Furthermore, the 7 KC-135 Tankers, 240 F-16, 2 B737-MESA AWACS are already in the inventory. The 4 other MESA AWACS will enter into service before 2010, together with the F-35. Thus, the TuAF is already a very capable force. Its just that it will be much more capable post 2010. ![]() ![]() The Turkish Minister of Defence has announced that the F-35 will be flying in the Turkish Air Force by 2010. Turkish Aircraft Industries has already commenced production of the F-35. In fact, they are also producing 400 F-35 fuselages for the US Air Force. Turkey will be the second country to incorporate the JSF into its Air Force before 2011 after the US Quote:
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Last edited by TUSAS1 : 04-28-2008 at 01:03 AM. |
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#95 (permalink) |
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Thats Impressive. Good for Turkey.
Though I still have reservations on whether we can actually Count Turkey as amongst the Top-5 Airforce's in Asia[if we were to assume that Turkey is part of Asia]. I guess no. Yeah, you might field an F-35 a good 3-4 years before other Forces, however F-35 is not the end-all-be-all of everything. Qualitative Superiority is one thing and Numerical Superiority is other and both have their own pros and cons. How many F-35's are you going to fleld anyways. From how many Airfields are they going to operate. What Solid Air Defense have you in place? Besides Training is another aspect we cant forget. Also economically,how strong are you. Do you really think that Turkish AirForce would come as a winner when compared to China? I guess no. F-35 is not everything. In a real war like situation, probably Russia,China and India can quickly put a lot more 4.5 Gen A/C's in air than Turkey can field F-35's. Qualitative Superiority has advanages only in a Ratio of lets say 1:3 or at the max 1:5 and definitely not 1:20. 5-6 Jag's can easily take out an F-35. So again the Question "How many F-35's Turkey would field/make".How many BVR missiles you have. China has tons of them and so has Russia. Turkey's Air Force is Impressive and would give a clear shot over Iran, but still no place amongst Top-5 in Asia. |
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#96 (permalink) | |
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Mind you that its the money that is going to Modernize the Turkish Armed Forces, which means the defence budget would be extra. Make me wise if I am wrong. |
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#97 (permalink) | |
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Resident Curmudgeon
Military Professional
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#98 (permalink) | ||
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Total Overlay Number of Years Billions/Year 160 5 32.00 160 10 16.00 160 15 10.67 160 20 8.00 160 25 6.40 160 30 5.33 160 35 4.57 160 40 4.00 160 45 3.56 160 50 3.20 160 55 2.91 160 60 2.67 160 65 2.46 Note: If you have issues getting the table properly, then scroll down to see attached Image for better comprehension. Now look carefully under the Column Billions/Year. If they are spending $160Billions, then to be able to achive this they would need to invest something like $2.46Billion per year for 65 Years. If as you say they would want to do this in within lets say 10 years, then they would need to spend about $16Billions every year for next 10 years. Even China is not investing in Military at that pace. To me investing about $3Billion is quite possible but can hardly be called a Major Defense Preparedness exercise. And this is something outside of their Defence Budget. Now tell me which country other than US has that kind of Funds available? If the $160Billion is inclusive of their Defence Budget then this is an entirely a different story and is possible also but then this could hardly be called a Worthwhile exercise towards Major Defence Upgradation. For 10years,spending $16Billion Plus Defence Budget is also possible but then it would make then a very military society with practically nothing left to invest in Internal economy. And that also means that other countries of the region see what would be coming in 10 years and would also increase their defense budget and thereby making the whole region highly unstable.[Oil prices would then start to head south ].Either that or Turkey or talks about Turkey investing $160Billions on defense preparedness is a joke[I however am still to check the authenticity of the claims in Non-Turkey media]. Quote:
I might be wrong,please make me wise by putting even stronger argument based on Facts and not just assumptions. Note: For better representation, I have attached a file:Comparison Chart.jpg Last edited by Sumku : 04-28-2008 at 21:51 PM. |
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#99 (permalink) |
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Resident Curmudgeon
Military Professional
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During the 80s and 90s Turkeys defense budget hovered between 4-6% of their GDP.
The question that has to be asked is, How relevant do you want your military to be? If you really want the AF that Turkey plans on, or the US , then you make sacrifices in other places. From the USAF perspective. Want to pay for those extra F-22s that you want to buy? Might have to retire the 117s a little early and live with a small gap in your bag of tricks. And you cut people. You also get with the other services and see what programs they might be willing to sacrifice to be covered by an "A" team Air Force. Maybe Turkey puts the F-5s and F-4s in the bone yard, and cut the personnel that had F-4/5 skills and invest that money towards the goal that they have set. |
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#100 (permalink) | |||
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Heres what the US Central Intelligence Agency says about the Turkish Armed Forces Quote:
Turkey has allocated a budget of $150 billion for modernization. This sum will be spent over a period of 30 years (which commenced in 1997) and is to be used for acquisition of idegenous Frigates, Tanks, Missile Defence Systems etc only. This budget is exclusive of the yearly military budget which is officially stated as 5.7% of GDP. The following must also be taken into consideration: THIS BUDGET WAS CALCULATED AND ALOCATED DURING THE ECONOMIC CRISIS TURKEY FACED AND DURING WHEN THE GDP WAS AROUND $400 BILLION. TODAY, TURKEY IS A CANDIDATE COUNTRY FOR EU MEMBERSHIP AND ITS GDP (PPP) IS $980 BILLION. IT WILL EXCEED $ 1 TRILLION NEXT YEAR ACCORDING TO IMF AND WORLD BANK OFFICIALS. ADD TO THIS: The fact that the Turkish Armed forces also owns majority shares in several of Turkey's largest Corporations. These collectively bring an extra $10 billion of income per year to the Armed Forces. These companies include: ASELSAN, HAVELSAN, ROKETSAN, MKEK, several Turkish lottery companies and some oil exploration companies operating in Azerbeijan and Northern Iraq. For very detailed information about the Economics of the Turkish Armed Forces I draw your attention to the following documents from very reputable American sources: Quote:
Opinion Paper: "Turkey’s Quest to Modernize Remains on Track" Turkey Military You also mentioned that you would like to see non-Turkish sources. Well, please refer to my second post after this one. I have attached references from the US Navy, outlining some of the projects where the $160 billion is being spent on. I must inform you that after the new Economic situation, Turkey has added more National Frigates and MBT's to the list. TCG Heybeliada, a MILGEM corvette will be launched this September. __________________________________________________ ___________________________________ Regarding the Turkish Air Forces other Assets, viz Air Defence Systems You mentioned earlier in your post that Combat Aircraft are not the only determinant of Air power. Well you were right. Below is a non-exhaustive list of all the other Turkish Air Force Assets for your perusal. TRANSPORT FORCE 7 x C-130E Hercules (being extensively modernised with Full Glass Cockpits etc) 6 x C-130B Hercules (with ELINT/SIGINT equipment) 19 x C-160T Transall 50 x CN 235-100M 10 x Airbus A-400M (Firm Order) UNMANNED AERIAL INVENTORY 20 x TIHA MALE Attack/Surveillance (Indigenous UAV similar to US Predator, TIHA-B armed with 4 laser guided missiles) (800 km) 40 x Heron MALE Attack/Surveillance UAV (1000/3300 km) 107 x Harpy Attack UAV (500 km) 2 I x GNAT Surveillance UAV (500 km) HELICOPTER INVENTORY 20 x AS 532UL Cougar Mk1 (14 SAR + 6 CSAR) 81 x Bell UH-1H Iroquois (SAR/ECM/Utility)- To be modernized 45 x UNKNOWN HEAVY LIFT (Negotiations for the co-production of a heavy lift helicopter such as the Chinook still continuing). TRAINING AIRCRAFT INVENTORY 69 x T-38A Talon (received structural upgrade, to be modernized) 61 x Cessna T-37B/C (received structural upgrade) 38 x Aermacchi SF-260D 26 x T-41D Mescalero 0 x KAI KT-1 (40 on order to replace T-37s) Also, currently the development of both Turbo-prop and Turbo-fan engine trainer aircraft are continuing at Turkish Aerospace Industries. It is planned that they will enter service in 2012. TuAF Air Defense Force Long Range/High altitute 72 Nike Hercules(about to be retired Patriot/S-300/S-400- There is currently in negotiations with Russian and US companies for an anti-balistic missile defence shield (It will consist of a minimum of 4 systems). Russia is the favoured as they have offered co-production and tech-transfer. See Russia offers Turkey upgraded, longer-range S-300s Papandreou: Greece is ready to discuss everything with Turkey that doesn't affect its sovereignty P - Turkish Daily News Mar 04, 2000 After the off-the-shelf initial order of 4 systems, Turkey will then commence the development of an indegenous system in conjunction with a foreign partner. There is a requirement of an extra indegenous 8 systems. A next generation Very-High Altitude Anti-Balistic weapons system web- to be co-produced by the Boeing and Havelsan of Turkey team. It will be used by the US, Turkey and NATO. (see Boeing and Havelsan of Turkey join forces to develop new missile defence shield.... Medium Range/Altitute 24 I-HAWK-PIP3 launchers with MPQ-64 Sentinel Radars/Konsberg Fire Control Centers Indigenous system in development by ASELSAN of Turkey Low Altitute/Short Range 80 x Rapier Lauchers/37 Blindfire Fire Control radars upgraded to B1X version, new 800 Rapier Mk-2 missiles started to be assembled in Turkey. 32 x Aselsan of Turkey KMS, each carries 4 ready to fire Stingers-RPM and 12.7mm machine gun for close range... 35mm/40mm short range AA guns supported by D-XI Radar/FLIR weapon control platforms... Turkish Military Space Program I do not want to digress from the main topic, however Turkey also has a very active space program. The program includes but is not limited to, the acquisition of a 0.8cm resolution Recon. Satelite (Project Gokturk-1) for use by the Turkish Armed Forces and a 2m resolution Recon Satelite (Project Gokturk-2) for use by the Turkish National Intelligence Organisation. Gokturk-2 is currently being produced by Turkish Aerospace Industries. Gokturk-1 is in the tender stages. The electro optical parts required for the Gokturk-1 (0.8m resolution) are beyond the technological knowhow of Turkish Aerospace Industries, thus a foreign partner is being sought. The strongest contenders in the tender are EADS-Astrium and Elenia. For further information please refer to the following (some a Turkish Government sources): Turkey moves towards setting up costly sapece programs.** (Turkish Daily News* Gazetesi/30.05.2001) Turkish Satellite Project Attracts Global Interest TÜBİTAK UZAY Space Technologies Research Institute - Uzay Teknolojileri Araştırma Enstitüsü +90 312 210 1310 Turkey Signs Up For Asia-Pacific Space Program » Israel may sell Turkey an Ofek spy satellite in a $300m deal NoisyRoom.net: Courage is the price that Life exacts for granting peace. Amelia Earhart Israel's Barak visits Turkey to discuss spy satellite sales - Topix Last edited by TUSAS1 : 04-29-2008 at 06:08 AM. |
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#101 (permalink) | |
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Regular
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And heres what the US Navy says about the Turkish Armed Forces:
Quoted From Pages 113 to 140 (References are ommited) “TURKEY’S RESPONSE TO THREATS OF WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION” United States Navy NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California http://www.nps.edu/academics/sigs/ns...heses/Al01.pdf by Guray Al December 2001 Thesis Advisor: Peter R. Lavoy Second Reader: David S. Yost Quote:
It must be noted however: (1) Two B737 MESA AWACS have already been delivered and are in the Turkish Inventory (2) In 2006, some changes have been made to the above plans (positive changes). The F-15 purchase has been abandoned in favour of another batch of 150 unknown 5th Generation fighter jet. There is speculation that this will be the Eurofighter Typhoon, co-produced in Trache 3. (3) The arrow missile defence system has been abandoned in favour of a US or Russian system to be co-produced in Turkey. The Turkish Air Force is easily in the Top 5 Air Forces in Asia my friend. The Israeli and Turkish Military alliance is also noteworthy. See a summary of the relationship: JINSA Online -- A New Axis by Daniel Pipes Due to the fact that Turkey has a bad image in the western world (thanks to media) some individuals lack the knowledge about such country's Military power and political orientation. Despite propaganda to the contrary, Turkey is a western, democratic, staunchly secular, constitutional Republic. In addition, Turkey for a country with the following Military might keeps a modestly low profile in the International Arena. But this does not change the realities. It just proves that Turkey sticks to it National Moto: "PEACE AT HOME, PEACE IN THE WORLD". And Peace only comes with deterence! If you have any further questions please feel free to ask me and I shall try and answer. Last edited by TUSAS1 : 04-29-2008 at 06:04 AM. |
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#102 (permalink) |
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Good for Turkey. I must state that its impressive.
And I had stated earlier I guess I was quite close when I said that this $160Billion would be distributed over 40 years. Quite frankly, I have had no idea about Turkey's massive military buildup as I keep myself more focussed on threat perception coming from India's immediate neighbour, with whom we have a 90% chance of seeing a war within our lifetimes, and whenever this happens, it most likely would be India Vs (Pakistan+China). But still, even if I were to become PM of India, then despite the threat perception, and despite the perception of this threat turning real with India Vs (Pakistan+China), I still would not allocate 5-6% of GDP on Defense. I would rather Invest that money in Internal Economy, and then allow 2.5% or 3.0% of even greater economy to do its Job. 3.0% of $1.5Trillion economy is one thing and 3.0% of $3.0Trillion economy is quite another. I frankly dont know if that military buildup with that quantum of money is justified or not for Turkey and that's for something Turkey's people to decide. I guess I am not qualified to comment on the same. However, since Turkey is spending roughly $5Billion/year, so the threat perception to Turkey I guess would rather be very huge. All I understand is you are in close proximity to Iran and Syria. Its anyone's guess as to which countries are most likely to go on war with Iran and Syria as both Iran and Syria in their right frame of mind would not Initiate war on Turkey on its own, Turkey also I guess would not be country to Initiate war on Syria and Iran on its own. But still there are countries who would want to go on War with Syria and Iran. One is Israel and other is US, and when it comes to Iran, it would be US and not Israel. So what I am saying is that in any event of war against Iran, it would be Turkeys AirForce that would do most of the job against Iranian Airforce. So much for NATO membership and so much to desire for EU recognition, but as I said, I am not qualified enough to comment on matters concerning a country as faroff as Turkey. Moral of the Story: If every country is preparing for a WorldWarIII, chances are that the World will see another Genocide and Another WorldWarIII. |
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