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Thread: A-10 Successor

  1. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by dalem View Post
    That's why I said it's fast enough to avoid easy acquisition. Easy. EASY. E.A.S.Y. Get it? So a bunch of gomers can't just point rifles and MGs in the air and fire on cell phone command and riddle a flight of A-10s full of mission-kill like they were able to do against that Apache mission.
    It happened to the Su-25 in Chechnya. And the Su-25 is faster (and more agile) than the Hog...
    Last edited by Shipwreck; 10 Oct 06, at 15:33.

  2. #17
    Senior Contributor Versus's Avatar
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    It depends what kind of ground targets you want to engage. If you are in a full scale conflict and dealing with large number of land forces, with organized and mobile air defense, you will need more sophisticated aircraft to provide strike missions. But if you are fighting insurgents than pretty much anythin will do that can fly and fire something.
    Personaly, I think that whole system of warfare needs to be re-designed since warfare itself has changed. Need for highly integrated platforms is smaller nowdays than it was before. It's kind of funny with the economy calculations, chasing 3000$ worth of pickup van with 6 insurgents armed with 2000$ worth of weapons (ak47,rpg's), creates a need for a weapon system that costs arround 5000$. Using A-10, (it is effective, no doubt about that) for such targets is too expensive. So the best way to eliminate that truck,by my humble opinion, would be an turbo prop UCAV armed with 50 cal machine gun, since it is cost effective or airborne javelin missles if things get more serious. That 50 cal machine gun would need a superior optics so that can fire it's rounds in a populated areas and avoid unwanted deaths among civilians.
    Something like OV-10 bronco with 50.cal machine gun turret and few javelin missles, looks fine to me.
    Last edited by Versus; 10 Oct 06, at 10:50.

  3. #18
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    [QUOTE=starsiege;276875] it is obsolete cos helicopters have usurped the role of the A10. and modern anti aircraft defence aquisition is VERY fast indeed. a figther doing mach 1.5ish or more while doing its strike run would have a high chance of escaping..but a lumbering A10?..

    Even if Mach 1.5 were possible, down in the weeds (and it isn't, especially with underwing stores) it would simply be much too fast for the pilot to see and then react to the target of opportunity. I spent a long time as a Forward Air Controller) and it was found that the best speed for a ground attack aircraft aircraft (fighter bomber) was between 420 to 480 knots providing the pilots of both aircraft were not only skilled but current in their respective skills. It was up to the FAC 'Lingo Dog' to recce the area and find a good IP from which the attack aircraft could be guided to the target.

  4. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shipwreck View Post
    The Hog indeed didn't prove immune to IR SAMs, as shown by the A-10 losses during ODS :

    * 2 Feb 1991 : A-10A (SA-16)
    * 15 Feb 1991 : A-10A (SA-13)
    * 15 Feb 1991 : A-10A (SA-13)
    * 19 Feb 1991 : OA-10 (SA-9)
    * 22 Feb 1991 : A-10A (SA-16)
    * 27 Feb 1991 : OA-10A (SA-16)

    As noted in the CPGW report :

    1. "The A-10 is susceptible to threats due to the longer exposure time caused by insufficient engine thrust which limits rate-of-climb, acceleration and maneuver, and cruising speed."

    2. "While the survivability features of the A-10 are good, future aircraft should be designed with higher performance to reduce susceptibility to damage while maintaining low vulnerability."
    In response to A) Considering how many hundreds of MANPADS and other IR heaters were shot at the Hog, the few that were lost is not really indicitave of any inherent shortcoming, nor is the loss of so many Tornadoes so early in the war indicitave of any real shortcomings. The one jet that DOES have an inherent draw-back wrt IR heaters is the AV-8B.

    In retort to B) The F-16 is so fragile that even at 500kts it is at extreme risk in a low altitude environment.

    As far as increasing performance while maintaining protection, nothing comes for free. A jet as heavy as the A-10(with the wing configuration it has) would need a massive amount of power to have "F-16 like" performance. Indeed the never exceed speed of the A-10 is only about 450kts in any case. All that additional power would negatively affect range and loiter time....both bad things for a CAS bird. To me, the A-10 would be completely fine with an attack speed of around 400-425kts, which the newly planned engines should provide, and which CURRENT hogs can easily achieve in an attack dive anyway.
    Last edited by Bill; 10 Oct 06, at 21:49.

  5. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by Versus View Post
    It's kind of funny with the economy calculations, chasing 3000$ worth of pickup van with 6 insurgents armed with 2000$ worth of weapons (ak47,rpg's), creates a need for a weapon system that costs arround 5000$. Using A-10, (it is effective, no doubt about that) for such targets is too expensive.
    I think that is false accounting. Those $5000 equiped lads can do far more damage than that in human and material terms. My argument against using birds like the EF2000 and F35 in such a role is suitability and survivability, rather than just on cost (although cost-effective death is always preferable)

    So the best way to eliminate that truck,by my humble opinion, would be an turbo prop UCAV armed with 50 cal machine gun, since it is cost effective or airborne javelin missles if things get more serious. That 50 cal machine gun would need a superior optics so that can fire it's rounds in a populated areas and avoid unwanted deaths among civilians.
    Something like OV-10 bronco with 50.cal machine gun turret and few javelin missles, looks fine to me.
    Interesting idea on the UCAV front - but I would worry about the survivability of a UCAV operating like that. If a turbo-prop UCAV is loitering within effective .50 cal range, then it is loitering within MANPADs range. A true A-10 successor can dive to strafe and move its self out of dodge. I'm not sure how the MITL side of a turreted UCAV would work either. Launching an F&F Hellfire from a Predator is a different proposition to the realtime tracking and
    engaging of a target with a gun.
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  6. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by jgetti View Post
    I would think such an aircraft could be quite popular as well. However, I have a feeling that if we attempted to replace the A-10 with a new design, the pentagon would request an aircraft that had all sorts of high tech bells and whistles, and not nearly enough good old fashioned ruggedness and armor (though effective, this is part of the problem with the Apache). Then by the time the aircraft production is to begin, it will cost 20 times as much and will require another decade to complete (maybe that's a slight exaggeration). But maybe I'm just pessimistic,, hehe.
    lol.. it does seem that airforces find it very hard to produce simple, reliable designs anymore, without massive feature creep. It's a shame that NATO armies dont really seem to have an input into fixed wing-design. I've a feeling they would come up with something more like the A-10 than the EF2000 or F35 for this role.

    A private, modular design by one of the major air manufacturers might be the best way forward. The risks would be far less than for a new fighter, and if you take a purely off-the-shelf approach for weapons/avionics then you cut out a massive amount of the associated R&D costs. You could sell this sort of a/craft to a huge range of buyers - from NATO, to emerging powers like India, to developing nations who need a reliable COIN a/craft... I suspect a sort of snobbery about the plane would, unfortunately, keep it out of most developed a/forces. (Which is bloody stupid)
    Nemo Me Impune Lacessit - Scottish Motto

    "They that approve a private opinion, call it opinion; but they that dislike it, heresy; and yet heresy signifies no more than private opinion” Thomas Hobbes - Leviathan


  7. #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shipwreck View Post
    It happened to the Su-25 in Chechnya. And the Su-25 is faster (and more agile) than the Hog...
    Emphasis mine ... that is -definitely- untrue. The A-10 will out-turn just about anything that doesn't have thrust vectoring.

  8. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by PubFather View Post
    Interesting idea on the UCAV front - but I would worry about the survivability of a UCAV operating like that. If a turbo-prop UCAV is loitering within effective .50 cal range, then it is loitering within MANPADs range. A true A-10 successor can dive to strafe and move its self out of dodge. I'm not sure how the MITL side of a turreted UCAV would work either. Launching an F&F Hellfire from a Predator is a different proposition to the realtime tracking and
    engaging of a target with a gun.
    Rather than a turboprop, I've been thinking a gun-armed, STOVL/VTOL, jet-powered UCAV might be an interesting option. I'm not crazy about the .50cal, however.

    IMHO, the minimum should be a 30x113mm to have a useful HE content.

    The US Army was working on an upgraded 30x113mm round called the A30CR that would be a combo HEDP/airburst.

    Diving, a 30mm airburst round should produce a significantly larger casualty radius than a point-detonating one.

    Automating accurate strafing might be a challenge, but if we've been able to make a CIWS hit a high-subsonic AShM for decades, I'm confident it's a solvable problem now.

    I was wondering if you coupled it with, maybe, one of the Ka-band MFRF AESA radars being developed for the FCS program, you might be able to do simultaneous ground, projectile and target tracking. With enough CPU horsepower, it would seem to be fairly easy to generate an accurate solution.

    It may even be significantly more accurate than manual gunnery.

  9. #24
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    Given A-10 effect, relative to AH-64 Apache effect. Then factor in cost for each. And now the total fleet for which we are purchasing in the future. Even a fixed wing "P-51" type mentioned above, with a 30 mm like the A-10, might be preferable.
    It always boils down to economics. Cost -vs- benefit. For the next 20 years, the A-10 will win, even if we have to pay for airframe repairs and engine repairs not anticipated. There is just no alternative. We might be able to improve on the A-10, if we were to design it with the intention of buying them in large numbers.

  10. #25
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    The Apache is great n' all(when it works, which aint too often)....but i do not recall and entire Sqn of A-10s ever being shot to pieces in a single battle as happend to the 11th Aviation Bde(Apache) over Karballa.

  11. #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by GGTharos View Post
    The A-10 will out-turn just about anything that doesn't have thrust vectoring.
    Any factual evidence to back-up this specific claim perhaps ?

  12. #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by glyn View Post
    I spent a long time as a Forward Air Controller) and it was found that the best speed for a ground attack aircraft aircraft (fighter bomber) was between 420 to 480 knots providing the pilots of both aircraft were not only skilled but current in their respective skills.
    Glyn,

    When you say *it was found*, are you referring to your particular experience or to some specific study that the RAF would have done on the subject ?

    (in case it's the latter, I would very much appreciate the references of the study if you happen to have them handy).

    At the end of the series of detailed studies during 1966-70 that led to the A-X program, the USAF ended up with a *best* speed of 400 knots, while on the Soviet side, studies that led to the Su-25 determined a *best* speed comprised between 430 and 460 knots.

    Cheers.
    Last edited by Shipwreck; 11 Oct 06, at 08:57.

  13. #28
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    Quote Originally Posted by M21Sniper View Post
    In response to A) Considering how many hundreds of MANPADS and other IR heaters were shot at the Hog, the few that were lost is not really indicitave of any inherent shortcoming,
    Agreed.

    Nevertheless, considering that 6 of the nine A-10s that took IR SAMs during ODS were lost, it is tempting to assume that in such instances the Hog goes boom much like any other plane.

    That's unless some very detailed analysis (unknown to me) showed that it actually took more SAM hits to shoot down an A-10 during ODS.

    I'd also welcome a source for your statement regarding the number of IR SAMs shot at the Hog.


    Quote Originally Posted by M21Sniper View Post
    In retort to B) (snip) A jet as heavy as the A-10 (with the wing configuration it has) would need a massive amount of power to have "F-16 like" performance. Indeed the never exceed speed of the A-10 is only about 450kts in any case.
    When I read the quote from the CPGW report, I was under the impression that the emphasis was more on insufficient *agility* ("rate-of-climb, acceleration and maneuver") than insufficient speed.

    Which fits reasonably well with some more recent official statements on the desirability of providing the Hog with more engine thrust via the PUP (*on hold* at present).


    Quote Originally Posted by M21Sniper View Post
    All that additional power would negatively affect range and loiter time....both bad things for a CAS bird.
    The subject was raised during the 2005 GE brief I alluded to in the other thread, and GE's reply at the time was that the envisioned TF34-100B upgrade would not significantly affect range and loiter time.

    Is there more recent info on the subject that would indicate otherwise ?


    Quote Originally Posted by M21Sniper View Post
    To me, the A-10 would be completely fine with an attack speed of around 400-425kts, which the newly planned engines should provide
    May I ask whether you have a source that would confirm that combat speed after PUP would be around 400-425 knots ?

    My understanding is that the Hog's current combat speed at sea level is 330 knots, so a ~70-100 knots increase is not insignificant and sounds a bit surprising to me.

  14. #29
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shipwreck View Post
    Glyn,

    When you say *it was found*, are you referring to your particular experience or to some specific study that the RAF would have done on the subject ?

    (in case it's the latter, I would very much appreciate the references of the study if you happen to have them handy).

    At the end of the series of detailed studies during 1966-70 that led to the A-X program, the USAF ended up with a *best* speed of 400 knots, while on the Soviet side, studies that led to the Su-25 determined a *best* speed comprised between 430 and 460 knots.

    Cheers.
    Sorry, I should have made it understood that I was mainly referring to the RAFs Jaguars in 2ATAF. The attack pilot controls his speed, and of course its a compromise bearing in mind that exposure time is of more than passing interest, and the wish to clobber the target. The Jaguar had an amazing HUD NAVWASS that just about guaranteed accuracy. I had a number of trips in the 2 seat variant and was mightily envious of their kit. We RW Lingo Dogs had a chinagraph pencil, a wodge of maps and precious little else - not even a TANS in those days! I have FAC'd for other NATO forces and directed Mirages, Starfighters, Ginas etc. All seemed to be around the 400 kts mark on the run in.

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    Quote Originally Posted by glyn View Post
    Sorry, I should have made it understood that I was mainly referring to the RAFs Jaguars in 2ATAF. The attack pilot controls his speed, and of course its a compromise bearing in mind that exposure time is of more than passing interest, and the wish to clobber the target. The Jaguar had an amazing HUD NAVWASS that just about guaranteed accuracy. I had a number of trips in the 2 seat variant and was mightily envious of their kit. We RW Lingo Dogs had a chinagraph pencil, a wodge of maps and precious little else - not even a TANS in those days! I have FAC'd for other NATO forces and directed Mirages, Starfighters, Ginas etc. All seemed to be around the 400 kts mark on the run in.
    Thanks, Glyn.

    Would you hazard an educated opinion on the A-10 ? My understanding is that there was much scepticism about the rationale behind the Hog especially in Western Europe.

    Moreover, I seem to recall reading somewhere that said scepticism was particularly strong in the RAF, which makes your opinion even more interesting.

    Cheers.
    Last edited by Shipwreck; 11 Oct 06, at 10:13.

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