The Azeris, as I understand matters, will only get this deal if they count their losses in Norgorno Karabakh ie. recognise some semi autonomous Armenian rights there. It is a very complex situation in the region as a whole and one that needs 'delicate hands'. I was pleased to see Hillary Clinton visiting Yerevan but she visits Baku tomorrow, keeping things 'balanced'.
The problem is many layered as far all sides are concerned: Russia backs Armenia and has military bases there yet Armenia wishes to head west politicaly as the majority of Armianians live in the west; the diaspora amounts to 8 million Armenians and the population of Armenia is 3 million. They also have population on Iran, with whom they on good terms. The Turks, who arguably 'occupy' some Armenian lands and are guilty of an Armenian 'genocide' in the past according to some, including the French law, are allied to Azerbaijan and refuse to open the border until the peace is made regarding Norgorno Karabakh. Add to this the Iranians to the south who will not let the Turks expand for strategic reasons and are therefore pro Armenian and anti Azeri. If that is not enough you have Georgia who are ostensibly friends with both Armenia and Azerbaijan, their bread is buttered by the dispute between Armenia and Azerbaijan as the oil and gas etc must then flow through their land, whereas the 'direct route' would pass through Armenia. However Georgia is culturaly, and religiously, inclined/linked to Armenia. It's a 'Balkans plus' situation which I have been puzzling recently as I shall be there shortly for some time.
Of course the truth is that Norgorno Karabakh 'war' never realy ended, same as 'Kosovo conflict'. "BAKU — Armenian forces killed five Azerbaijani soldiers in a border clash Tuesday, in a new flaring of tensions as US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton visits the volatile Caucasus region." AFP: Armenians kill five Azeri troops in border clash Clinton nor anyone will be able 'solve' the problems and at some point in the future an escalation is inevitable. In my opinion alot of what happens in these possible scenarios is dependant on the decision that are made regarding Iran. For that final decision we must await the outcome of the US election.