I fully expect Iran to use every tool it can lay its hands on. However Iran is more than just export dependent, its also import dependent. Long term control of gasoline and food is a powerful tool as the Iraq sanctions showed. it can't topple a regime, but blockade can ruin ambitions.Iran may be a dependent on exports,and a war may ruin that,but a nation can take a lot before quitting.They aren't pantsies,you know.
Yup, they have made it very clear they they will. Hence the attack on their ability to use their tools in a concerted effort.They won't stand idle and they won't attack you in your strongest points either.
[quite]The world won't be better off with a nuclear Iran and that needs to be dealt with.But the world won't a be a better place with what could be the ''mother of asymmetric battles''.Iran's C2 can be damaged but not neutralized by air campaign.[/quote]
Here we have a bit of disagreement. I don't want to knock out 100%. Just enough to keep them from being able to do mass attacks on her neighbors and shipping.
Bombing or military and industrial sites, direct military defeats, failure of the much touted Iranian responses, shortages at the bazaars, hungry bellies, no gasoline, CNN and Al Jazerra reports beamed into Iranian TV's when there is power, the population living under air raid sirens....Iranian morale won't colapse because of bombings.The epidemics that are likely to start won't kill all of them and people can eat a lot of unlikely things to survive.You said there are no starving nationalists.You're correct,but a lot of time is needed to arrive to THAT kind of starvation that is bad enough.
I like short but very very brutal fro the air backed by good ol' fashioned blockade. Air power can win wars, just ask the Dutch. Combine death from above with blockade and you have a very serious threat. If you want to do a proper curb stumping on someone, find out what they hold most dear and destroy it. Iran takes great pride in its advancement since 1979. We (west) have not made it clear that when war comes all those factories, advances and accomplishments are going to be assigned to the scrap heap. The most wired population in the Mideast, the only (semi) industrial power in the Mideast besides Israel, world leader in things like cloning, their aerospace and electronics industries..... everything gone- reduced back to the level of simple oil merchants and rug weavers. The Iranian people and regime do not seem to understand this basic fact.Also the geopolitcs aren't as clear as you make them sound.So you either do it properly which will be relatively short and very brutal(which will require a significant effort),do it from air only,which will be a mess with unforseeable consequences or deal with nuclear Iran.Neither choice is easy.