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Thread: Bunker Busters shipped to Diego Garcia

  1. #151
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    JAD_333 Reply

    "My question, which I hope is not too naive is this: Could we not take a run at all their nuke facilities without at the same time destroying their air force, etc, and simply take out any forces they send at us as they come?"

    The nuclear-related target set is, as I understand it via OoE, extensive. We'll need a sustained air campaign to address all the targets. Doing so requires addressing the IADS and attacking all those means that can be mobilized to attack us during that sustained campaign.

    I don't see how we can attack a discrete facet (the nuke sub-set) of my overall target list without getting into the necessary peripherals. Their navy and air force, such as they are, have got to go.

    I'd leave the Iranian regular army untouched short of them becoming involved in the fight. Their choice.
    "This aggression will not stand, man!" Jeff Lebowski
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    Quote Originally Posted by Officer of Engineers View Post
    Kosovo II? I believe our immediate failure in Kosovo was that the Serbs did not believe we were serious. It took the Canadians and the British preparing for a ground penetration and the Russians advising Slobo to convince him that the real war was about to start that he caved in.

    In short, I believe no one other than the militaries on both sides know what the real war actually is. Not A-Jad and not Obama.
    Sir,a thing that troubles me about Kosovo.I had the opportunity to talk to a Serbian BatCom in the 3d Army.Although the 3d Army was spread all over Kosovo the guy was quite convinced they would have halted you,thanks to their extensive defensive preps and the terrain that channeled your offensive.I wasn't that sure,so asking someone elses opinion doesn't hurt.IIRC you were a BatCom there and then,albeit on the other side.

    IIRC,Chernomyrdin didn't want to extend Russian embarassement over the issue and pressured Milosevic to accept a situation where Russia would have had a degree of influence over the situation.Under the threat of withdrawal of Russian support.
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    Gentlemen,it seems the majority of you thinks you can handle an eventual Iranian escalation.You seem pretty sure it will offer you the opportunity to extend your own ops. Maybe you're right.Personally I'll believe it when I'll see it.No offense.
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  4. #154
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    Quote Originally Posted by S-2 View Post

    Then the targets. We'll progress from their obvious nuke sites to the not-so-obvious and all associated military targets that facilitate and defend such. Once gone, if Iran has not acceded to unilateral inspections by the IAEA, we'll progress to those ancillary targets like electrical grids. We'll likely have taken their comms networks down to a great extent although its possible that nodes may be left up to allow our info operations to work among the Iranian people. We may do our best to identify and attack their military-civil command and control. If that means dead mullahs, fine.

    If they STILL prove recalcitrant, we'll begin leaning on their societal support-water, sewage, and key industrial targets. I'd presume that we'll leave their oil/nat'l gas industry alone for the time being.
    S-2, while we didn't go after the electrical grid in Iraq the first night, we did hit it the very next day. Going after power grids is a great way to spread the pain among the population. When the AC/fans go and the food in the fridge starts to stink people get real uncomfortable. It adds to the stress of the air sirens, sounds of explosions and uncertainty.

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    Zraver Reply

    "Going after power grids is a great way to spread the pain among the population."

    No argument and I think my comment makes that clear regarding its value premised upon ratcheting the pain among their citizenry. I simply believe that we'll be busy the first couple of nights servicing those targets that will afford us unimpeded access to their skies to do whatever it is we intend doing.

    If we don't get satisfaction and access necessary to assure the compliance we seek, I see no reason not to take down their general grid. I've little doubt that specific nodes will go down near immediately if we believe it's the best means of rendering a specific nuclear-related facility inoperative. Putting the lights out in suburbs of Teheran may not be immediately necessary however.
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    To s2s above post,

    Imo quite a large percentage of the populace is disgruntled with the current regime, bombing the civilian power grid would give the Ayatollah and the populace reason to unite over a "foreign invader". Arming and aiding in forming a resistance should be looked into.

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    lonekommie Reply

    "bombing the civilian power grid would give the Ayatollah and the populace reason to unite over a 'foreign invader'."

    The ol' gang was chanting "Death To Obama" and "Death To America" yesterday. That's been the mantra since 1978. Most of those opposed to the present regime are, however, quite likely in favor Iran's "inalienable nuclear rights" in any case.

    Personally, I could give a sh!t if we turn their lights off because they weren't quicker to the draw on dumping their mullocracy and coming to their senses.

    "Arming and aiding in forming a resistance should be looked into."

    Quite likely it has and been rejected as pointless. The objective is to keep Iran from a nuclear weapon. That promises no speedy remedy.
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    "The only true currency in this bankrupt world is what you share with someone else when you're uncool." Lester Bangs

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    Quote Originally Posted by S-2 View Post
    "Going after power grids is a great way to spread the pain among the population."

    No argument and I think my comment makes that clear regarding its value premised upon ratcheting the pain among their citizenry. I simply believe that we'll be busy the first couple of nights servicing those targets that will afford us unimpeded access to their skies to do whatever it is we intend doing.

    If we don't get satisfaction and access necessary to assure the compliance we seek, I see no reason not to take down their general grid. I've little doubt that specific nodes will go down near immediately if we believe it's the best means of rendering a specific nuclear-related facility inoperative. Putting the lights out in suburbs of Teheran may not be immediately necessary however.
    Unlike Iraq where we had massive air bases and carriers in the gulf, access to Iran won't be so easy. Even our cruise missiles are mostly out of range. Hitting deep in Iran is going to be the work of B-1's and B-2's. The real fight will be along the coast near the Strait of Hormuz. The Tomahawks we can fire via B-52's coming in over Iraq would be best served going after softer targets since they are not bunker busters. Power grids and other duel use infrastructure sites are high payoff targets and they don't give the population time to adjust to the fact they are at war. They go strait from life is normal to this sucks.

    The kids stay home from school, they can't go outside and play because of the ordnance exploding overhead, the markets are closed, there is no fresh food, there is no water, no power to cook or cool the house with. Insta-seige and it forces the regime to devote resources to maintaining the social contract. The fact that 80% of Iran's population is in or near Tehran makes this job so much easier.

    If we really want to fvck with them, we leave the grid to the richest neighborhoods up. The richest of the university families living in among the clerics and guards will see this one way but the poor will see the clerics and guards having a special "bomb proof" access to basic services....

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    Quote Originally Posted by Mihais View Post
    Sir,a thing that troubles me about Kosovo.I had the opportunity to talk to a Serbian BatCom in the 3d Army.Although the 3d Army was spread all over Kosovo the guy was quite convinced they would have halted you,thanks to their extensive defensive preps and the terrain that channeled your offensive.I wasn't that sure,so asking someone elses opinion doesn't hurt.IIRC you were a BatCom there and then,albeit on the other side.
    I was with 1CMBG HQ at the time, not Battle Group CO. When we were ready to do a ground penetration, the war was called off.

    That being said, the penetration was going to be lasering targets, not a breaching operation though 3 RCR BG and LdSH (RC) BG was massing on the border. The actual penetration was going to be done by the 22SAS and JTF2. The massing of Canadian and British BGs were to force the 3JA to mass to oppose us and thus concentrating their assets for the 22SAS and JTF2 guys to laser.

    We were far from ready to do a full breach mainly the Americans got a late start to getting ready. We needed another month before the Americans would have been prepared.

    As for stopping us once we were prepared, I doubt it. The 3JA BN CO has a job to be confident but once the war was over, we've shown how we were going to advance and the fact was that we were going to use a verticle envelopment. A French BG was helo inserted in deep into Kosovo. Albeit they were trapped by a minefield, it never the less represented a force in the 3JA's rear while 3 RCR BG was already making its move forward. In other words, we had them surrounded.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Officer of Engineers View Post
    ASparr and the rest of you anti-military action people, I hope you get the sense of how truly ugly we see this situation. War is never a good option and I hope that we have painted how ugly that option is. However, war may be the lesser of two evils and that is saying something, especially in how we painted the picture.

    If given enough time, we can reverse the damage done by a broken water main. We cannot reverse the damage done by a mushroom cloud.
    Sir, I don't know if they can get it. I think a lot of them can't get past people will die and that we seem to be hawks who think it will be easy. I wish they understood that we don't think it will be easy. A lot of people are going to die if war comes and their deaths are going to wreck even more lives. One of the words oldest cultures is facing a wrath more terrible than the Mongol invasion. A proud people who have made so much progress and who are a testament to their nation stand to lose it all because of a cliche of rulers who is completely out of touch.

    I don't want war, Iran and the US should be natural allies. Iranian Americans thrive here and have contributed to American society. But if the choice is wrecking Iran or seeing the Mideast consumed in war and the global economy wrecked then its a triage situation and Iran isn't worth saving. 100,000 dead and 10 years of terror attacks with oil prices staying over $300 a barrel is preferable to a WMD exchange. The Tel Aviv metro area has a population of 3.15 million while the Tehran metro area is 13.41 million. Another 14.58 million live in the Damascus Syria metro area. The Mideast is not the land of pastoral existence. it is a highly urbanized region meaning it is highly vulnerable to nuclear or other WMD attacks.

    This is the threat a nuclear armed Iran presents.

  11. #161
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    OoE,Thanks for your answer,Sir.
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    Triage

    "I don't want war, Iran and the US should be natural allies. Iranian Americans thrive here and have contributed to American society. But if the choice is wrecking Iran or seeing the Mideast consumed in war and the global economy wrecked then its a triage situation and Iran isn't worth saving."

    That seems to sum matters nicely. It's been a long dance to reach the point where we're rapidly closing down upon. Too bad that rational heads couldn't prevail in Persia but they've annointed themselves with some perverse wisdom about what they're entitled and the manner in which they'll seek entitlement.

    Probably needs to stop before a whole bunch of people get seriously hurt.
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    Quote Originally Posted by zraver View Post
    Sir, I don't know if they can get it. I think a lot of them can't get past people will die and that we seem to be hawks who think it will be easy. I wish they understood that we don't think it will be easy. A lot of people are going to die if war comes and their deaths are going to wreck even more lives. One of the words oldest cultures is facing a wrath more terrible than the Mongol invasion. A proud people who have made so much progress and who are a testament to their nation stand to lose it all because of a cliche of rulers who is completely out of touch.

    The only problem,Z,is that peoples minds are a battlefield.As long as people don't see the business end of a barrel in their face they tend to ignore the threat.A too long history of human complacency makes me a pessimist about this whole endeavour.I'd like to be wrong.
    Quote Originally Posted by zraver View Post
    But if the choice is wrecking Iran or seeing the Mideast consumed in war and the global economy wrecked then its a triage situation and Iran isn't worth saving. 100,000 dead and 10 years of terror attacks with oil prices staying over $300 a barrel is preferable to a WMD exchange.
    I don't think there will be a choice between two evils.Iran will be wrecked and Mideast will be consumed in war.World economy will be a mess.No matter what Obama,A-jad or Bibi Netanyahu might plan,the current set of events can only lead there.Sooner or later,we'll arrive at a hellish moment,of one sort or another.What you Americans should do is plan for as many outcomes as possible.There is really no point debating how the air strikes will occur.What happens next with all that have a stake in Iran is important.
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    [QUOTE=Mihais;725154]


    I don't think there will be a choice between two evils.Iran will be wrecked and Mideast will be consumed in war.World economy will be a mess.No matter what Obama,A-jad or Bibi Netanyahu might plan,the current set of events can only lead there.Sooner or later,we'll arrive at a hellish moment,of one sort or another.[quote]

    The choice is what kind of hellish moment. Like I said, its a triage situation- Iran v the world.


    What you Americans should do is plan for as many outcomes as possible.There is really no point debating how the air strikes will occur.What happens next with all that have a stake in Iran is important.
    The best way to control the situation is to curb stomp them and keep curb stomping them until they are dead or you've beat the fight out of them.

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    Quote Originally Posted by JAD_333 View Post
    That seems reasonable. What limitations would you place on an initial attack?

    Off topic: This reminds me of a few White House sit room discussions I had the honor to attend during the Reagan administration when military action was being explored. Civilians such as myself were looking to understand how the military would achieve the objective, while the military guys were trying to understand what the policy objectives were. All in all, I think it's a good and necessary process.
    Interesting comments JAD 333.

    Not being a military professional or expert the present situation seems more dangerous than the two Gulf Wars. If this is the case, in your opinion is regime change prerequisite to a successful outcome of any military action?

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