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Thread: Endgame in Iran?

  1. #106
    Global Moderator Defense Professional JAD_333's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aryajet View Post
    Hi Y'all,
    Iran, historically ancient, culturally vibrant and geographically giant nation is divided today, so when you say "IRAN" plz let us (at least me) to know which 1 you are speaking of, and which faction you really wish to bomb so hard.
    How can there be any doubt in your mind what element in Iran we are talking about? It is certainly not the Iranian people, who are, in truth, the soul of the real Iran, but the regime, which has decided on their behalf that they would be better served if they were to possess the means to produce nuclear weapons.
    To be Truly ignorant, Man requires an Education - Plato

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    Quote Originally Posted by Officer of Engineers View Post

    The EASIEST method is to identify a bomb making factory location ... and then to destroy that location. However, failing that, we know how much electricity cascades need ... and that means destroying the electrical grid ... which also will result in the destruction of the water and sewage treatment plants.
    That's going to be a real blow to them as Tehran has just undertaken a Sewerage collection & infrastructure treatment program through a loan from the World Bank / IMF whatever (escaped me now) Prior to 2002 the cities effluent was just dumped into the ground I.E prior they did not have treatment. Back to 2002.
    Ego Numquam

  3. #108
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chunder View Post
    That's going to be a real blow to them as Tehran has just undertaken a Sewerage collection & infrastructure treatment program through a loan from the World Bank / IMF whatever (escaped me now) Prior to 2002 the cities effluent was just dumped into the ground I.E prior they did not have treatment. Back to 2002.
    Might surprise some but most of the worlds cities dumps their waste water directly into nearby river, even if a waste water treatment plant is installed the capacity it was built to handle is much smaller than the capacity required to treat the complete waste.
    Same goes for the water treatment plants.

    It is the sewage collection and disposal (into the river) network that is more important, as most cities over several years of not living with a water treatment and waste water treatment plant have found some solutions to address the problem in limited ways.
    cheers

  4. #109
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    Quote Originally Posted by kuku View Post
    Might surprise some but most of the worlds cities dumps their waste water directly into nearby river, even if a waste water treatment plant is installed the capacity it was built to handle is much smaller than the capacity required to treat the complete waste.
    Same goes for the water treatment plants.

    It is the sewage collection and disposal (into the river) network that is more important, as most cities over several years of not living with a water treatment and waste water treatment plant have found some solutions to address the problem in limited ways.
    Yes mate, I understand this but; it is from whoom Tehran got the money from to build the treatment system that indicates the inability of the state to finance it's own construction, and if, having financed from an international financier is an indication in it's own right, then one can gather that there was political pressure to some extent to build a system (whatever that may be). Destroying said system although on face value there are examples of reticulation systems that run naturally and are cleaned naturally (Tehran isn't one) returns it to the status quo. I.E the unpleasant system that existed before - except for much worse, it bottles it up, it can't run away. The same principles the English had that Bazeljet? had with the London sewer system, have to a major degree been made a considerable Achilles heel of any developed utility society. Even at the end of the system, Bazeljets required steam pumps to enter into the Thames. - BUT it did so as an entity unto itself, at considerable distance from London.

    It is worth noting, that Bazeljet went through considerable stress, accusations of mismanagement, et al, and that Parliament just did not want to do anything about the problem, until sewerage was at the foot of west minister on stinking hot summer days. Tehran is a damned hot place. A summer campaign would be absolutely devastating.
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  5. #110
    Senior Contributor kuku's Avatar
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    Most developing nations around the world are looking for financing of a project from world bank even if the resources are available they could be used elsewhere like a shiny new missile, new mosques, upgrading a state owened oil and gas infra, financing insurgents in near by nations etc. etc.

    Most of the treatment process are quite natural.

    If the electricity part in the system (required for pumps and in the treatment plat) is missing they can be substituted by electricity generators as the system is designed with them as back-up, although oil might be in shortage.
    cheers

  6. #111
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    Quote Originally Posted by kuku View Post
    Most developing nations around the world are looking for financing of a project from world bank even if the resources are available they could be used elsewhere like a shiny new missile, new mosques, upgrading a state owened oil and gas infra, financing insurgents in near by nations etc. etc.

    Most of the treatment process are quite natural.

    If the electricity part in the system (required for pumps and in the treatment plat) is missing they can be substituted by electricity generators as the system is designed with them as back-up, although oil might be in shortage.
    What about treating the clean water for use?

  7. #112
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    For 2010 my wish is that the green revolution will overthrow the bearded ones, restoring Iran to the international community, and putting an end to the nuke program.

    IF they succeed in overthrowing the regime, it is not such wishful thinking - it is a plausible political avenue for a triumphant revolution if you think about it. So good luck.

  8. #113
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    Castellano Reply

    My wish for 2010 is that America takes out Iran's nuclear capabilities regardless of what type of government the Iranian people finally decide to create. Time's up and there's little doubt as to what the Iranian government intends.

    That mustn't be allowed to occur and it's not up to Israel to resolve such either. All of us will have to accept a spike to energy prices and all that entails for the global economy's recovery. It was inevitable. If such accelerates the development of less vulnerable marketing channels or speeds along viable sources of alternative energy, all the better and necessary as an offset.

    Nonetheless, an Iranian nuclear weapon is unacceptable. It goes beyond non-proliferation as a concept and reaches right into our back yard with Venezuela.

    Time for this to be brought to a head and finished. Reasonable dialogue has proved fruitless and Iran must hear the message in an unmistakable language which it can easily understand.
    Last edited by S2; 31 Dec 09, at 13:15.
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  9. #114
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    Quote Originally Posted by Castellano View Post
    For 2010 my wish is that the green revolution will overthrow the bearded ones, restoring Iran to the international community, and putting an end to the nuke program.

    IF they succeed in overthrowing the regime, it is not such wishful thinking - it is a plausible political avenue for a triumphant revolution if you think about it. So good luck.
    Israel prefers A-Jad in command than the "reformists" who may invariably support their proxies. And there is a reason for that. Any regime "adjustment" without removal of the ideological underpinnings would only give ammunition to wild-eyed lefties. These lefties can be counted on to do maximum damage by letting an Iran still arming its proxies acquire nukes.

    Personally I see these wild-eyed lefties with their "I don't agree with the mullahs but you know they have a point when they ...... " BS are about in the same plane as the "silent" muslims who don't come out on the streets to unconditionally condemn the jihadis and would rather parrot the line "I abhor suicide bombers but you know they....". I used to think that by themselves they are not dangerous but now I am not so sure.

    I wish those brave souls in the streets of Teheran every success. I also hope they succeed in installing a regime more representative of themselves for anything short of that is unacceptable.

  10. #115
    Senior Contributor Castellano's Avatar
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    S-2, I agree that Iranian nukes are totally unacceptable regardless of who´s in power.

    However a regime change, which is not impossible in the next very few months, could conceivably imply that a new regime would come clean, immediately granting unlimited access for inspections or abandoning the program altogether, a Deus Ex Machina that will take out this nightmare in the best possible way - thus is my wish, if I could choose, like everyone else.

    And I have serious doubts that any other course of action is politically realistic, with the current leadership.
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  11. #116
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    Castellano Reply

    The army, en toto, has to throw its weight behind the movement for success to happen rapidly. And it must be rapid.

    I don't see it myself.

    Finally, we have no idea that a democratic revolution wouldn't just as eagerly embrace some symbol of Iranian defiance and might.

    We either act soon or acquiesce to a new and very unforgiving reality.
    "This aggression will not stand, man!"
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  12. #117
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    Quote Originally Posted by pChan View Post
    Israel prefers A-Jad in command than the "reformists" who may invariably support their proxies. And there is a reason for that. Any regime "adjustment" without removal of the ideological underpinnings would only give ammunition to wild-eyed lefties. These lefties can be counted on to do maximum damage by letting an Iran still arming its proxies acquire nukes.

    Personally I see these wild-eyed lefties with their "I don't agree with the mullahs but you know they have a point when they ...... " BS are about in the same plane as the "silent" muslims who don't come out on the streets to unconditionally condemn the jihadis and would rather parrot the line "I abhor suicide bombers but you know they....". I used to think that by themselves they are not dangerous but now I am not so sure.

    I wish those brave souls in the streets of Teheran every success. I also hope they succeed in installing a regime more representative of themselves for anything short of that is unacceptable.

    I agree with everything you said.

    However, I wonder how realistic is not a mere readjustment, but a complete and thorough overthrow. There are some in Iran sick to death of terrorists and wanting to engage the West in general and America in particular, and this makes me think that they would trade what we want for the engagement: both the nukes and their terrorist proxies, in other words the famous grand bargain.

    But I don´t know if this constituency has the slightest chance.
    L'essentiel est invisible pour les yeux

  13. #118
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    Quote Originally Posted by S-2 View Post
    We either act soon or acquiesce to a new and very unforgiving reality.

    I think that other than a totally outrageous, in your face, provocation, nobody is going to act. Perhaps the Israelis.
    L'essentiel est invisible pour les yeux

  14. #119
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    Quote Originally Posted by citanon View Post
    What about treating the clean water for use?
    filter with cloth and boil over fire, if you have more money use domestic water treatment units, they are quite popular.
    cheers

  15. #120
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    Quote Originally Posted by kuku View Post
    Might surprise some but most of the worlds cities dumps their waste water directly into nearby river, even if a waste water treatment plant is installed the capacity it was built to handle is much smaller than the capacity required to treat the complete waste.
    Same goes for the water treatment plants.

    It is the sewage collection and disposal (into the river) network that is more important, as most cities over several years of not living with a water treatment and waste water treatment plant have found some solutions to address the problem in limited ways.
    Still requires a flow of water to get the waste into the river. Blow the river intake and the sewage stays right where it is. That's why cholera happens fast after an earthquake.
    Chimo

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