Iran Research Library

**Shek** · 02 Apr 07,, 20:38

Here's a thread to post any pertinent reports on Iran (e.g. IAEA reports, CSIS analysis, reports on Iran's economy, etc.).

**Shek** · 02 Apr 07,, 20:38

This article predicts that Iran will no longer export oil by 2015. It is based off of increasing domestic consumption and decreasing output due to lack of maintaining capitalization of their oil fields.

http://www.pnas.org/cgi/reprint/0603903104v1.pdf

S2 · 03 Apr 07,, 11:14

http://www.csis.org/media/csis/pubs/...oil_hormuz.pdf

Cordesman's contention that Iran could not close the straits for more than a couple of days to two weeks despite surging their forces and incurring massive attrition. Short and very good read. Five days old.

**Mowers** · 29 Jul 07,, 10:45

I did my MA thesis on Iranian capability to shut the hormuz. I came to the same conclusion as Cordesmann. Nothing has changed since I did the paper and would suggest that Iran has got nothing but relatively weaker in the mean time.

**Arnold123** · 03 Sep 07,, 09:17

Good intel at this locstat.

Nuclear proliferation | The riddle of Iran | Economist.com

**Ironduke** · 28 Oct 08,, 19:49

Originally Posted by S-2

http://www.csis.org/media/csis/pubs/...oil_hormuz.pdf

Cordesman's contention that Iran could not close the straits for more than a couple of days to two weeks despite surging their forces and incurring massive attrition. Short and very good read. Five days old.

Here's another article on the Iranian threat to the Strait of Hormuz: