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Old 05-31-2008, 16:00 PM   #181 (permalink)
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I think you have a lot to learn about nuclear weapons. The Hiroshima bomb destroyed only 10 square city blocks. Most of the dead came from the firestorm that was the result of wood and paper construction.

Concrete construction would've reduced the effects. Also, the kind of bombs you're talking about - the mulit-megaton city busters are no longer in existence. The largest size is 200kt and even that is a rarity.
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Old 05-31-2008, 16:07 PM   #182 (permalink)
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I refer to this again

Nuclear Warfare 102
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Old 05-31-2008, 16:33 PM   #183 (permalink)
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Why are multi megaton bombs no longer in existence? What caused their demise?
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Old 05-31-2008, 16:52 PM   #184 (permalink)
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The Hiroshima bomb destroyed only 10 square city blocks
But it still was the Single thing that caused Japan's Surrender[and hadn't that happenned, I would have been writing in Japanse instead ].

Taken that now most of the Building are concrete based, meaning high survival. But concrete buildings with Lots of Glass. Guess what that glass will do those inside or those near by. Also, these sky scrappers use a lot of electrical appliances. Will these work post Nuke Strike - Post EM Pulse? No, they wont.And all of these electrical appliances is then Junk anyways.

Again how many people would be dead in first 24 hours after a single 50Kt were to detonate in the heart of Beijing?

Would 3-Gorges be able to withstand 10 50Kt? Guess Not

How many people down river would then be dead then as a result of flooding?. A lot Many

How many cities[read critical infrastructure in those cities down river] would still work? Very Very Very few

How many Civil defence personnels stationed in those cities survive to help Search and Rescue in their areas? Not sufficient enough to do any effective and meaningfull search and rescue on their own

Now we have a lot of Concrete Building. How many would be able to withstand a firestorm and shock waves, lets say in 10 miles area of Impact of a single 50 kt Nuke Bomb? Not many. Most will be gone.

As concerns Multi-Megaton, I guess instead of having 1 Megaton, its better to have 10 with 100kt each. Quality in Numbers.

True that only 10 City Blocks were destroyed in Hiroshima,but how many city blocks are there in Beijing. I previously stated about 25 50Kt per target[only if target is city and not Tactical or Military one]. Now to survive that Beijing and Peiking would require each having more than 250 City blocks. So how many City blocks are there in Beijing/Peiking?

Frankly speaking if India didnt had the capability to inflict some real and long term damage to China, then China would have wiped off India by now with those Megatons that it has. And India's capability would only improve over time.Chinese also know this anyways.

If 123 is signed it would happen fast, else may be over time, but capability would definitely improve.
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Old 05-31-2008, 16:54 PM   #185 (permalink)
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Why are multi megaton bombs no longer in existence? What caused their demise?
You got it wrong. Not that Megatons are history, OoE means that India does not yet have them. Frankly speaking I would want to go after them only once India has may be 1000 bombs each with 100Kt.
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Old 05-31-2008, 17:13 PM   #186 (permalink)
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Mainly because you don't get the bang for the buck. A lot of fissile materials consumed only literally to make hot air. While a big mushroom cloud is an impressive sight, it does little to actual damage on the ground from 10 miles out from ground zero.

As Stuart Slade pointed out. Drop a one megaton bomb on the centre of London. 80% of the city and 90% of the population will survive. So, it would be better to have 5 100kt bombs each aiming for an infrastructure collapse - water, electricity, sewer, hospital, and city hall.
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Old 05-31-2008, 17:23 PM   #187 (permalink)
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Rather try to deliver, 10-100Kt over a single City. Idea should be to evaporate the City. If technology permits, atleast 2 exploding slightly off ground, lets say 5 meters from the ground in a populated area.

And when aiming utilities,go very severe on Water, Food Silos, Fuel Dump, and Industrial areas and then follow 3 Golden Rules of War[Chinese Strategy]
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Old 05-31-2008, 17:31 PM   #188 (permalink)
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Taken that now most of the Building are concrete based, meaning high survival. But concrete buildings with Lots of Glass. Guess what that glass will do those inside or those near by.
You're limited to a 10 mile radius no matter what.

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Also, these sky scrappers use a lot of electrical appliances. Will these work post Nuke Strike - Post EM Pulse? No, they wont.And all of these electrical appliances is then Junk anyways.
EM pulse and the Sichuan earthquake produced the same results. Down powerlines meant no electricity whatsoever.

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Again how many people would be dead in first 24 hours after a single 50Kt were to detonate in the heart of Beijing?
According to Stuart Slade, at least 90% of the population and 80% of the city.

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Would 3-Gorges be able to withstand 10 50Kt? Guess Not
Ok, are you talking 10 bombs of 50kt each? A single 50kt blast would do nothing.

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How many people down river would then be dead then as a result of flooding?. A lot Many
General Cao had made a presentation that flood channels have already been dug in case of the damn failure. What that means I have no idea but at least it showed that they have thought about it.

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How many cities[read critical infrastructure in those cities down river] would still work? Very Very Very few
There isn't any city down river. They've all been flooded.

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How many Civil defence personnels stationed in those cities survive to help Search and Rescue in their areas? Not sufficient enough to do any effective and meaningfull search and rescue on their own
Again, there are not any. They've been flooded because of the damn.

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Now we have a lot of Concrete Building. How many would be able to withstand a firestorm and shock waves, lets say in 10 miles area of Impact of a single 50 kt Nuke Bomb? Not many. Most will be gone.
Again 10 miles is the magical number. A city is a lot bigger than 10 mile radius.

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As concerns Multi-Megaton, I guess instead of having 1 Megaton, its better to have 10 with 100kt each. Quality in Numbers.
Requiring more delivery vehicles.

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True that only 10 City Blocks were destroyed in Hiroshima,but how many city blocks are there in Beijing. I previously stated about 25 50Kt per target[only if target is city and not Tactical or Military one]. Now to survive that Beijing and Peiking would require each having more than 250 City blocks. So how many City blocks are there in Beijing/Peiking?

Frankly speaking if India didnt had the capability to inflict some real and long term damage to China, then China would have wiped off India by now with those Megatons that it has. And India's capability would only improve over time.Chinese also know this anyways.

If 123 is signed it would happen fast, else may be over time, but capability would definitely improve.
I really suggest you read over Stuart Slade's articles. You have so many misconceptions that I don't know where to begin.
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Old 05-31-2008, 18:42 PM   #189 (permalink)
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You got it wrong. Not that Megatons are history, OoE means that India does not yet have them. Frankly speaking I would want to go after them only once India has may be 1000 bombs each with 100Kt.
No, I do mean the multi-megaton bombs are history.
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Old 05-31-2008, 20:15 PM   #190 (permalink)
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Again how many people would be dead in first 24 hours after a single 50Kt were to detonate in the heart of Beijing?
According to Stuart Slade, at least 90% of the population and 80% of the city.
I thought you meant that 90% would survive and the 80% would survive as you said in your previous post.
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Old 05-31-2008, 20:30 PM   #191 (permalink)
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Actually I got it wrong. Here's what Stuart said in Nuke War 102

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So lets look at a typical targeting problem in an average sort of strike. We are going to give the capital of Outer Loonyistan a really thorough seeing-to. Now we don't just explode a bomb in the center of the city and say bye-bye. Believe it or not that won't do any real good. Initiate a 1 megaton device over the center of London and 95 percent of the cities assets and 80 percent of the population will survive (this means that, proportionally speaking, Londoners will be better off after a nuclear attack than they were before it took place. This was the basis of at least one Get Rich Quick scheme proposed in The Business).
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Old 05-31-2008, 20:32 PM   #192 (permalink)
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I really find that hard to believe that the Londoners would be better off after a nuclear attack than they were before the nuclear attack.

Radiation, hello anyone?
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Old 05-31-2008, 20:33 PM   #193 (permalink)
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Water. Clean water. In fact a good rain will reduce 95% of the radiation hazards.

What Stuart also mean is that there will be more for the survivors.
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Old 05-31-2008, 20:36 PM   #194 (permalink)
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Hitesh, here's what Stuart says in Nuke War 103

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So how does a nuclear device destroy things? The primary effects that result from the initiation of a device are (in no particular order) a light flash, a heat flash a blast concussion wave and a sleet of direct radiation. In fact, of these the last is of relatively little significance. The range of the radiation is very short and is further attenuated by the inverse square law. Its only significant within the areas where blast and heat are already lethal. If thermal blast and concussion have already reduced you to the size, shape and color of a McDonalds hamburger, irradiating you as well is incredibly superfluous. Thus the direct effects we are interested in are light, heat and blast and they do arrive in that order. The further an observer is from the point of initiation, the greater the gap between them. This is very important. The flash of light that will blind a victim close in serves to warn a potential victim further out. Once a few miles out from ground zero, the light flash tells the population that a device has gone off and its shadows show them sheltered areas from the next effects to arrive. If an area is shadowed from light, its shadowed from radiant heat as well. The heat flash is the first really destructive effect to hit. This is direct radiated thermal energy; like light it travels in straight lines. It will set anything inflammable on fire to a considerable distance from ground zero. Interestingly, it won't set non-flammable things on fire and, for example, must enter a house via windows etc before setting that house on fire. If the windows are masked (for example painted white), the heat flash is unlikely to set a brick-built house on fire (US-style frame houses are a different matter which is why it makes me uneasy living in one).
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Old 05-31-2008, 20:38 PM   #195 (permalink)
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I refer to this again

Nuclear Warfare 102
Why does Stuart Slade's article give me the warm and fuzzy feeling that nuclear weapons are not what it cracks up to be and certainly won't be a human race killer, hell even a nation killer.

As you say, if we can survive multiple 8.0 Richter scale earthquakes without destroying the economy, then by golly we can withstand a nuclear attack of 200 warheads.
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