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Old 12-31-2007, 04:46 AM   #151 (permalink)
troung
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I remember a statement by ISI's former chief Hameed Gul that ISI has had secret dealing with taliban (not Al Quaida) in order to keep the tri-nation dialogue open between Kabul, Islamabad and Riyadh at all times.

My own source in Pakistan told me that ISI only has interest in Taliban to counter RAW activities near Pakistan border.

Our presence there is to make sure who ever seizes power remain friendly to us.
Pakistan supports the Taliban because they saw them as a force able to rule Afghanistan and being reliant on Pakistan at the same time (no grass roots support). The HIA was supported by Pakistan for the same reason.

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Out of curiosity, why is there such a lack of opinion and discussion in the West on the idea of dividing Afghanistan up? A nation that has suffered through years of endless tribal, ethnic and sectarian turmoil and bloodshed. If ever there was an example of a nation whose communities hated each other, Afghanistan is one. Why not carve it up and merge the communities with the Uzbeks, Tajiks, Iran and Pakistan. Makes more sense then breaking up far more stable countries, whose people actually have a sense of nationalism and unity, and economies that do not have drugs contributing to 54 percent of GDP.
And the Shiite Hazaras go where?
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Just to point one thing. US does not have one thing that she crucially needs which India has: staying power. Look at the geography and the proximity of India.
Sri Lanka.


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Reading my own post, I came to the realization that Musrraf is the wrong horse. He blames everybody but himself. He accepts no responsibility. It was Sharrif's fault for Kragil. It was Washington's fault for the War on Terror. It was the Supreme Court's fault that he cannot wear the uniform. It was the media's fault that they did not report the right message. I knew since Kragil that he was no military man. This, however, meant that he is not also a leader of men.
I agree. He is a man who will say whatever to keep himself in power.
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Last edited by troung : 12-31-2007 at 04:54 AM.
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Old 12-31-2007, 04:57 AM   #152 (permalink)
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Sri Lanka.
huh? What was that?
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Old 12-31-2007, 05:03 AM   #153 (permalink)
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Indian Army teach Royal Marines how to fight in Afghanistan

UNITED NEWS OF INDIA


New Delhi, Sept 17: In a unique opportunity to share best practices between the elite soldiers of the Indian and British Armed Forces, ‘Himalayan Warrior’ — a joint Indo-UK exercise comprising specialist high altitude training — got underway Monday in the Ladakh region of the Kashmir Himalayas.
According to an official spokesperson here, the 25-day exercise lasting till October 11, is the culmination of three years of intense interaction between the Royal Marines (RM) mountain leaders and the Indian Army’s Gulmarg-based High Altitude Warfare School
(HAWS).
During the exercise — which includes a period of acclimatization — emphasis will be given to survival and basic infantry skills in order to improve the ability to operate above 5,000 metres.
The manoeuvres, involving around 100 British soldiers, would include mock strikes on ‘enemy’ hide-outs and hit-and-run raids by troops operating in small groups at extreme heights of more than 3,500 metres.
The exercises would also involve heliborne operations with small units of troops being dropped at extreme heights and then going through survival endurance tests chased by well-armed pursuers.
The Royal Marines welcome the opportunity to train alongside the Indian Army in one of the most challenging environments in the world that will test their specialist high altitude and mountain leadership skills, the spokesperson observed.
The Royal Marines are the amphibious infantry of the British Armed Forces and, along with the Royal Navy and Royal Fleet Auxiliary, form the Naval Service. They are also the UK’s amphibious force and specialists in mountain and Arctic warfare.
A core component of the India’s Rapid Deployment Force, the Corps is able to operate independently in all types of terrain and is highly-trained as a commando force designed for quick deployment and combat in any terrain in the world.
The Indian airborne forces taking part in ‘Exercise Himalayan Warrior’ are specially-trained high altitude warfare troops capable of operating independently in varied snow-bound mountainous regions.
They are well-equipped and experienced for conduct of all types of operations in all environments.
“Reflecting the growing cooperation in the global war against terror, the thrust of the exercise would be to fine-tune tactics against terrorists,” the spokesperson said.
It was on British request that the Ladakh region was selected for the joint manoeuvres as the terrain has an uncanny resemblance to the rugged highlands in Afghanistan where US-led coalition forces are combating Taliban militia.
Most of the participating Royal Marines, including 10 officers, have been drawn from contingents that have had an operational stint in Afghanistan.
The ongoing exercise will be only the second such joint manoeuvres held in the frontier region. Indian and US Special Forces held mountain warfare exercises last year in the same region — close to the heavily-militarised borders which India shares with Pakistan and China — raising eyebrows in Beijing.
Indian Army teach Royal Marines how to fight in Afghanistan (GreaterKashmir.com) 9/18/2007
BM, I suppose your argument is true and vindicated...geographical proximity apart...the terrain is also very well known to us.
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Old 12-31-2007, 06:57 AM   #154 (permalink)
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When analyzing the Pashtun in Pakistan, you need to differentiate between those in the Pakistan proper and those in the Tribal Belt.

30 percent of the Pakistan Army is Pashtun, that does not mean they all hail from FATA, there is also the NWFP, and the Pashtun from Baluchistan. With respect to "Punjabis controlling Islamabad", you are ignoring how many Pashtun rulers Pakistan has had - Liaqat Ali Khan, Ayub Khan, Yahya Khan, Ghulam Ishaq Khan. That particular premise is baseless, and hence so are the conclusions drawn from it.
Yes those leaders may be Pashtun but the source of the power comes from the Punjabi base, the wealthy landowners class, the middle class, etc. which all comes from the Punjabi base. Ergo, you may have Pashtuns at the very top rungs of the ladder but the next ten lower rungs are Punjabi.
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Old 12-31-2007, 09:59 AM   #155 (permalink)
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AM,

There was no problems between the Pathans and the Gangetic Indians.

In fact, you should read Nobel Laureate Rabindranath Tagore's "Kabuliwala" to understand the symbiotic relationship.

Further, you could also check how many Pathans have come to India for higher education and in colleges in Gangetic India.
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Old 12-31-2007, 13:54 PM   #156 (permalink)
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huh? What was that?
He was referring to the pullout of the troops by GoI in Sri Lanka. A rebuttal to our assertion of "staying power" by means of geographical proximity.

A good rebuttal but still at anytime, we can go back in and stay there indefinitely as long as it suits our interests. It will not be that expensive or hard as the Americans are having in Afghanistan or in Iraq.
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Old 12-31-2007, 13:54 PM   #157 (permalink)
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AM,

There was no problems between the Pathans and the Gangetic Indians.

In fact, you should read Nobel Laureate Rabindranath Tagore's "Kabuliwala" to understand the symbiotic relationship.

Further, you could also check how many Pathans have come to India for higher education and in colleges in Gangetic India.
Then why did Nehru reject the Pathans' offer to join India as opposed to Pakistan right after Independence.
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Old 01-01-2008, 10:13 AM   #158 (permalink)
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AM,

There was no problems between the Pathans and the Gangetic Indians.

In fact, you should read Nobel Laureate Rabindranath Tagore's "Kabuliwala" to understand the symbiotic relationship.

Further, you could also check how many Pathans have come to India for higher education and in colleges in Gangetic India.
Was that directed at Blademaster? I don't recall getting into "Pathan and Gangetic Indian" relations.
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Old 01-01-2008, 10:31 AM   #159 (permalink)
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Yes those leaders may be Pashtun but the source of the power comes from the Punjabi base, the wealthy landowners class, the middle class, etc. which all comes from the Punjabi base. Ergo, you may have Pashtuns at the very top rungs of the ladder but the next ten lower rungs are Punjabi.
So you are suggesting, based on your earlier comment, that the federal bureaucracy is almost entirely dominated by Punjabis. Punjab makes up almost half the population of Pakistan, Baluchistan is probably underrepresented - can you illustrate what percentage of the Federal bureaucracy is Punjabi, and whether Punjabis constitute an abnormally larger share than their population size allows? How the selection process works - i.e quotas and then merit, or merit alone? What influence and power the bureaucracy actually has, i.e Prime ministers (or presidents) and their cabinets determine what projects are adopted and executed, so what effect does the Federal bureaucracy actually have on the populations of the provinces who have their own bureaucracies that the residents have to deal with?
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Old 01-01-2008, 13:43 PM   #160 (permalink)
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We entered Iraq through Kuwait. Been there now for fourteen years. That would seem to be "staying power". Europe? South Korea? Great distances. A long time.

I'm uncertain why you'd think our re-entry to Afghanistan would pose an unusual challenge to our forces. In any case, I don't envision leaving Iraq anytime soon. Nor Afghanistan.

Do you?
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Old 01-01-2008, 14:10 PM   #161 (permalink)
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In Europe and South Korea, you had an "enabler" for your staying power, i.e., the support of the local populace. A good example would be South Vietnam. Even though you had the support of the government of South Vietnam, your presence was never really popular with the local populace and they didn't do enough to "enable" your staying power, i.e., supporting the government officials that pushed for your presence, not hiding and giving material support to insurgents, providing valuable HUMINT on the ground, etc. In South Korea, you had all three. Yeah you had student protests but that was largely confined to few areas within Seoul and never widespread. You really had the support of the local populace so if the North Koreans tried any attempts of insurgency, they would fail because the local populace would aid you in putting down the insurgency. Same thing with Western Europe. If you hadn't had the support of the local populace, you would have a very hard time staying that long in Western Europe. But the Marshall plan and the Red Menace "enabled" your staying power in Europe by influencing the local populace to support your presence.

Now, IMHO, if you don't have the local populace but you have the geographical proximity, you can overcome the obstacle of the lack of the support from the local populace because your own population will help you to do the job, i.e., they would move into those areas and settle down and put down roots and establish areas of control where you can safely put down local factories that would provide food, war supplies, etc. You get the idea. It becomes much harder as the distance increases.

In Iraq and Afghanistan, I just don't see the support of the local populace because they are doing two things: They are giving material support and aiding & abetting the enemy/insurgents, they provide intelligence to the enemy/insurgents. Essentially, you haven't won the battle for the hearts and minds. Winning the battle of hearts and minds means that you have "been enabled" to use your staying power. The British Raj failed because they really never had their own support of the population in India and to do so would require very costly funding which the British masters were loathe to do so. The USSR failed because their central Asia regions were largely apathic to the Red Army's efforts in Afghanistan, such as moving into Afghanistan, building permanent enclaves with self sustained economies and local manufacturings that would provide the necessary material support and manpower for the Red Army thereby "enabling" the Red Army's staying power. A good example of using your population to "enable" your staying power would be in the Wild West frontier against the Indians. Your own population moved in, established local enclaves, provided material support, "enabled" your Federal Army's staying power and essentially crushed the Indians. Another example would be the PLA in Xinjiang and in Tibet. Look at Japan's failure in China during WWII. Look at Australia's success against the Aborogines. Look at the Boers/white people's success in South Africa, Zimbabwe before the 80s.
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Old 01-01-2008, 14:27 PM   #162 (permalink)
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"In Iraq and Afghanistan, I just don't see the support of the local populace because they are doing two things: They are giving material support and aiding & abetting the enemy/insurgents, they provide intelligence to the enemy/insurgents."

I absolutely can't agree about Iraq. Not at all. One-third of the nation is solid in our presence and the sunni support has dramatically increased this year. You know that, I'm sure.

"Essentially, you haven't won the battle for the hearts and minds."

Let's talk about that. We haven't lost them either. Further, Afghanistan entails far more nations than ourselves so you need to account for that- good, bad, or indifferent.

Neither are lost by any stretch. Our stamina is fine. Afghanistan, in particular, is something I can't imagine being abandoned anytime soon. Should Iraq continue to display the very visible improvement thus seen (and which you've ignored, seemingly) we'll likely see U.S. forces increase in Afghanistan.

Now, an interesting question might entail the determination and stamina of our allies. Should they falter, though, I know India will happily provide the necessary forces to see Afghanistan join the family of nations.

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Old 01-01-2008, 14:30 PM   #163 (permalink)
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Indian Army teach Royal Marines how to fight in Afghanistan (GreaterKashmir.com) 9/18/2007
BM, I suppose your argument is true and vindicated...geographical proximity apart...the terrain is also very well known to us.
Ironical thing about these COIN exercises we are conducting with the US and UK is that, the tactics which we share with them may now be shared with Pakistan. So technically, we may just be passing down our COIN tactics to Pakistan.

U.S. Special Forces To Expand Presence, Train in Pakistan | India Defence
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Old 01-01-2008, 14:34 PM   #164 (permalink)
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Then why did Nehru reject the Pathans' offer to join India as opposed to Pakistan right after Independence.
I wasn't aware he did that, but then again, its Nehru, he lacked common sense. Thats why he was asking for a fight with China and at the same time disbanding the Indian army under Indo-Chin bhai bhai (India-China brotherhood).
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Old 01-01-2008, 14:45 PM   #165 (permalink)
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"...the tactics which we share with them may now be shared with Pakistan."

We'll try to pass along instruction packets with U.S. Army letterhead. Can't speak for those perfidious albions though.
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