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#46 (permalink) | |
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New Member
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#48 (permalink) | |
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Patron
Join Date: 02-24-05
Location: Indiana by a beach on Lake Michigan where you can see Chicago skyline.
Posts: 154
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#50 (permalink) |
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Patron
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Wow, what do they put in your water. Granted I agree the probability of a hot war is slim. But China cannot think becasue they produce alot fo the worlds goods they are powerful, not when most of the factories are not owned by Chinese or jointed owned with foreigners. IF the People's Republic of China starts to play games with the Republic of China, RoC business will simply abandon thier factories and tell me Mr. Mainland, who who oh dear who will pay those laborers.
If the PRC wants genuine unification, that is no competing claims to who is the true soverign of China, they must negotiate with the RoC in such a way that the RoC gets broad based autonomy and protections. In exchange the RoC extinguishes all legal claims as the true soverign of China. |
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#52 (permalink) | |
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New Member
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The US will do more harm to china if we stop the trading. Thousands of chinese people will lose there jobs from American companies stationed in China. The chinese government will go poor. |
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#53 (permalink) |
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Senior Contributor
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correct me if i am wrong please
But isn the Chinese economy based on cheap manufacturing and textile jobs, stolen from western countries? So if China cuts off trade, those jobs would just go to the next lowest bidder would they not? perhaps India? or perhaps Western companies would bite the bullet and bring those jobs back to the west, crippling China's economy? im not an economist so i am not 100%, just a thought is all. |
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#54 (permalink) | |
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Foreign Service
Moderator Lei Feng Protege |
canmoore,
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regarding your view of the chinese economy, it's about 10-15 years outdated. the chinese have been making slow but steady inroads into the information economy and high-skill level manufacturing. |
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#55 (permalink) | ||
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 01-27-06
Location: DPRK, Democratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
Posts: 9,378
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Impossible on a large scale. Companies would lose money and cease operation.
__________________
"Only Nixon can go to China." -- Old Vulcan proverb. |
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#56 (permalink) |
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Senior Contributor
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ahh thanks guys
I have another question, something that i have always thought, as China's economy grows and better high tech jobs are landed, the chinese would demand higher wages and a better standard of living. China being a communist regime, would not allow a free market society, and would try to squash the middle class. This would cause a large uprise in China's emerging middle class, perhaps large enough to attempt to overthrow the communist government. Is this possible? |
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#57 (permalink) | |
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Foreign Service
Moderator Lei Feng Protege |
canmoore,
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the CCP has given greater civil freedoms and almost untrammeled market freedoms, while giving little to political freedom. this will become a problem when the middle class grows and starts demanding political power, but there are indications that the CCP has very slowly put into motion a system that can work with this desire. (they're looking at singaporean-style democracy far down the line. very far.) right now, the middle-class doesn't mind the CCP, and actually likes it, to some degree. it keeps the boat from rocking while they make money. and the CCP at least makes noises about stopping what the middle-class truly hates, the ubiquitous corrupt local bureaucrat. |
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#58 (permalink) |
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 01-27-06
Location: DPRK, Democratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
Posts: 9,378
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Chinese have learned a great deal from Russia and Germany. Those 2 nations changed too quickly overnight, from centralized economy to a free market economy. CCP allowed market reforms in limited areas and very slowly eased the transition in the more populated coastal areas. This transition will slowly work its way into the interior of the nation.
Too much change too quickly will send any system into shock. Chinese have done a remarkable job at managing an economy in transition. |
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#60 (permalink) |
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 01-27-06
Location: DPRK, Democratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
Posts: 9,378
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I see the ChiComs relinquish their hold slowly but surely. After enough time, they will allow opposition parties to form and compete with them for power. They will become just another major political party in China. And of course, the all mighty buck will drive this reform.
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