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| View Poll Results: Do you expect nuclear weapons to be employed sometime in the next 30 years? | |||
| Yes |
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36 | 75.00% |
| No |
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12 | 25.00% |
| Voters: 48. You may not vote on this poll | |||
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#16 (permalink) |
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Senior Contributor
Join Date: 01-27-06
Location: DPRK, Democratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
Posts: 9,143
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I do not expect nuclear weapons to be used by a nation state. There's too much at stake for a nation state to use this type of weapon.
I do not expect the US to use nuclear weapons unless we feel our very own survival depends on it. And that better be a hell of a threat. However, a terrorist organization, just might use such a weapon if it can pull it off.
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"Only Nixon can go to China." -- Old Vulcan proverb. |
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#18 (permalink) |
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Contributor
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China promised "No First Use under any circumstance" nuke policy from the first day it tested Nuke. Although there were arguments in China whether we should give up this promise, it is still the Chinese government nuclear weapon policy.
I think that China is the only nuclear country that made such promise and hope that other countries can make the same promise.
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I am here for exchanging opinions. |
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#19 (permalink) | |
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WAB Bartender
Defense Professional
Military Professional |
Quote:
Well, I guess we're all set, then. No offense, brother, but we've all seen what the word of a communist government is worth.
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"The quickest way of ending a war is to lose it, and if one finds the prospect of a long war intolerable, it is natural to disbelieve in the possibility of victory." - George Orwell |
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#20 (permalink) | |
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Regular
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Quote:
![]() No first use - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia |
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#21 (permalink) |
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Patron
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Eventually, some terrorist organization is going to be smart(or lucky) enough to acquire WMDs and stupid enough to use it against one of the major powers.
I'd be willing to bet the response would be nuclear.
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"The great questions of the day will not be settled by means of speeches and majority decisions but by iron and blood"-Otto Von Bismarck |
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#26 (permalink) | |
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Senior Contributor
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#27 (permalink) |
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Contributor
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Pakistan is the one most likely to use it first either itself or through a terrorist organization. No civilian democratic government will do this unless it's a question of the nation's survival.
Pakistan may hypothetically come under US attack in future because of it's duplicious role in the WOT and may try to take it out on India/Israel. Would be a big mistake though. |
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#29 (permalink) | |
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Senior Contributor
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None of the above have as extensive ISR capability as USA. While US may be able to detect preparation for pre-emptive strike by any of the above countries, it's capability to influence the events is limited at best. (If we assume Nukes are last resort weapons, and not some nut case deciding that he can win a Nuke war). While I do not think Chinese leadership is that Irresponsible, I can not say the same for Pakistani Leadership. |
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