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View Poll Results: Do you expect nuclear weapons to be employed sometime in the next 30 years?
Yes 36 75.00%
No 12 25.00%
Voters: 48. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 02-07-2007, 03:19 AM   #16 (permalink)
gunnut
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I do not expect nuclear weapons to be used by a nation state. There's too much at stake for a nation state to use this type of weapon.

I do not expect the US to use nuclear weapons unless we feel our very own survival depends on it. And that better be a hell of a threat.

However, a terrorist organization, just might use such a weapon if it can pull it off.
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Old 02-12-2007, 04:33 AM   #17 (permalink)
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Let's face the reality that at of this time we cannot stop the nuclear countries to suspend the development of their nuclear weapons especially US, China, Russia, India, etc...let's hope that no one will push the trigger...
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Old 02-12-2007, 23:26 PM   #18 (permalink)
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China promised "No First Use under any circumstance" nuke policy from the first day it tested Nuke. Although there were arguments in China whether we should give up this promise, it is still the Chinese government nuclear weapon policy.

I think that China is the only nuclear country that made such promise and hope that other countries can make the same promise.
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Old 02-18-2007, 23:17 PM   #19 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeng_xinren View Post
China promised "No First Use under any circumstance" nuke policy from the first day it tested Nuke. Although there were arguments in China whether we should give up this promise, it is still the Chinese government nuclear weapon policy.

I think that China is the only nuclear country that made such promise and hope that other countries can make the same promise.
O)h, swell - a commie promise in regards to weapons usage.

Well, I guess we're all set, then.

No offense, brother, but we've all seen what the word of a communist government is worth.
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Old 02-28-2007, 09:11 AM   #20 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeng_xinren View Post
China promised "No First Use under any circumstance" nuke policy from the first day it tested Nuke. Although there were arguments in China whether we should give up this promise, it is still the Chinese government nuclear weapon policy.

I think that China is the only nuclear country that made such promise and hope that other countries can make the same promise.
India has.

No first use - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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Old 02-28-2007, 14:20 PM   #21 (permalink)
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Eventually, some terrorist organization is going to be smart(or lucky) enough to acquire WMDs and stupid enough to use it against one of the major powers.
I'd be willing to bet the response would be nuclear.
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Old 02-28-2007, 15:45 PM   #22 (permalink)
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Eventually, some terrorist organization is going to be smart(or lucky) enough to acquire WMDs and stupid enough to use it against one of the major powers.
I'd be willing to bet the response would be nuclear.
Response against whom?
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Old 02-28-2007, 21:04 PM   #23 (permalink)
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I stand corrected.
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Old 02-28-2007, 22:48 PM   #24 (permalink)
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Response against whom?
Whatever poor third world nation has the misfortune of being hated by the nuclear superpower.
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Old 03-01-2007, 09:37 AM   #25 (permalink)
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Whatever poor third world nation has the misfortune of being hated by the nuclear superpower.
Champion sir, i am sure you put a lot of thought into posting that..
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Old 03-01-2007, 09:49 AM   #26 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Zeng_xinren View Post
China promised "No First Use under any circumstance" nuke policy from the first day it tested Nuke. Although there were arguments in China whether we should give up this promise, it is still the Chinese government nuclear weapon policy.

I think that China is the only nuclear country that made such promise and hope that other countries can make the same promise.
China has not extended its No first use policy to India.
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Old 03-01-2007, 10:48 AM   #27 (permalink)
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Pakistan is the one most likely to use it first either itself or through a terrorist organization. No civilian democratic government will do this unless it's a question of the nation's survival.

Pakistan may hypothetically come under US attack in future because of it's duplicious role in the WOT and may try to take it out on India/Israel. Would be a big mistake though.
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Old 03-01-2007, 12:04 PM   #28 (permalink)
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China has not extended its No first use policy to India.

Neither China, India, nor Pakistan is capable of a 1st strike, at least a counter-force 1st strike. All their nukes are stored away from their delivery vehicles and moving them would be very, very noticeable.
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Old 03-01-2007, 13:29 PM   #29 (permalink)
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Neither China, India, nor Pakistan is capable of a 1st strike, at least a counter-force 1st strike. All their nukes are stored away from their delivery vehicles and moving them would be very, very noticeable.
Sir,
None of the above have as extensive ISR capability as USA. While US may be able to detect preparation for pre-emptive strike by any of the above countries, it's capability to influence the events is limited at best. (If we assume Nukes are last resort weapons, and not some nut case deciding that he can win a Nuke war). While I do not think Chinese leadership is that Irresponsible, I can not say the same for Pakistani Leadership.
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Old 03-01-2007, 15:42 PM   #30 (permalink)
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The question is still can a Chinese 1st strike neutralize an Indian response. I would say no. And there is no way that a Pak 1st strike could even come close.
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