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Thread: Proof..the truth starts to come about

  1. #241
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    Pakistan's official expenditures on health, education, housing and the environment are miniscule relative to defense. There's some justification given the security crisis they are experiencing until you realize how much these elements contribute to a nation's overall security in the near and (especially) long term.

    Worse, these expenditures don't differ markedly from prior to 2001.
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    Quote Originally Posted by S2 View Post
    [B]I believe India's rather late to the party...by choice. Your level of engagement has been restricted...by choice. To date, India's interests have been served admirably by ISAF/America without great incurred expense.

    India will have to pay its own price to the party and hasn't displayed the requisite determination (blood) and ducats to ante up.

    That trust isn't complete yet. Judging by those at this board there's no end to self-serving motivation and a very quick limit to Afghan altruism. TRUST, IMV, would necessitate an Indian governmental policy that sees a self-sustaining, self-defended Afghanistan as a good neighbor to all-including Pakistan. Being a good neighbor would entail serving as a common gateway to CAR resources while protecting the territorial integrity of its eastern neighbor.

    Of course it's a two-way street but to what end is India prepared to support that end-goal for Afghanistan? To what extent would India endeavor to make transparent to Pakistan the activities she conducts in Afghanistan? Or, heaven forbid, even invite Pakistan as a joint partner?

    I read a lot here and elsewhere about Indian regional and global aspirations. When will those nat'l interests be reflected and manifested by a broader vision for regional and global development?
    I see you - and America - still do not get it. You cannot be in bed with Pakistan and India at the same time. Cosy delusions of CENTCOM and PACOM AOR notwithstanding. The trust you speak of is a two way street sir. And will come when you finally see the light. America may have its own agenda in Afghanistan. That does not have to be reciprocated in toto by India, who have their own interests to protect and further. After all, you have the luxury of moving back to your home base thousands of miles away, when you choose to do so. We do not. You seem to imply that we are riding piggy-back on your presence in the area. And allude to not paying our way - in cash or boots. Well, India will pay what it can, towards what it wants to, and what the Afghans want. Speaking of ducats, or tattas as we like to call them out here(?), we have learned from our Sri Lankan experience. I had friends die there. For a war that was not ours to fight. We will use our ducats for our homeland sir - when the time comes. As we have in the past. Till then - there seem to be enough ducats on hire floating around to get the job done - or not. Bottom line - if Afghanistan could have been won by money or ducats, first the Brits, then Soviets, and finally America and its allies would have done so. I am not saying India will come up with the elusive answer. All I am saying is that India is not stupid to know quicksand when it sees it, and still proceed to knowingly walk into it. Not via the same path definitely. And definitely not on its own coin and boots.

    P.S. If CAR access is all that is at stake here, then that goal for India is more profitably and way less painfully served by our continuing trade relations with Iran. Both geographically and strategically. And it does not have to be a zero-sum game at the cost of our relationship with Israel either, as has been demonstrated in the recent past.
    Last edited by vsdoc; 14 May 11, at 17:04.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Double Edge View Post
    It says 7.8% on Education for Pakistan.

    Health is lower because taxes do not go into it like in the west.
    Sorry, working from memory. Still too low given military expenditure. health spending is also criminally low.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kasrkin View Post
    Well, I don't think western historians generally look at the history of Indo-Pak rivalry ..... the Pakistan Army is the very least likely way to do that.
    Kasrkin, we can go on and on like this. But to what avail? Some of my compatriots have already replied to you, and I do find fragmented point by point inline exchanges so tedious for readers online. I am more into the broad holistic concepts myself and consciously shy away from what I referred to earlier as ghisa pita India Pakistan tu tu main main. I however do believe that I was less than fair to your compatriot Notorious Eagle in a previous reply, and the intervening time has afforded me the opportunity to think and ruminate on the issues at hand still further, so seeing as how much of that is also linked to what you have to say to my post, allow me to combine my responses here.

    We have fought many wars against each other. But except for 1971, we have never moved towards consolidating on battlefield gains and pressing home the advantage to take care of you once and for all. There is more than enough angst within the forces on our side on that score, because for us ever 100 meters of enemy territory won has been paid for in the lives of our jawans. But we are a professional fauj. We fight when we are ordered to. And we move back when ordered to as well – even when the red mist is very much there forcing us to do what all victorious forces do once victory has been achieved, the citadel stormed. We also recognize that that our fathers and mothers and wives and sisters and kids would not enjoy the same luxuries were we once to fail in protecting them from you. And that ensures that we never do and never will. Ever.

    1971 was us righting the balance. Plain and simple. And it was done by a lady with more balls than any man. Post that, we should have pressed on to wrest Kashmir back. But we did not. The chance was lost and the nuclear tests changed the equation forever. Let me tell you candidly here. From childhood we grow up studying history and geography with maps showing Kashmir proudly on top as our nation’s crown – hamara mukut! Like learning the truth about Santa Claus finally is the end of childhood for most westerners, so too learning about the sad reality of the truncated mukut is the end of childhood for all Indian kids. But we learn to live with that. We do not covet what you have anymore. And seeing what your countrymen are doing to one another, we do not want you back either. No fairytale dreams of re-unification here. We are happy where we are with what we have.

    As new generations grow up, there is also a slow but inexorable moving away from what in concept was looked at by the earlier generations as estranged brothers. The generation of my kids today does not have much time for you. All they see on TV or read in the papers is about a series of bomb blasts - in markets, in mosques, in villages, in cities. You have for all intents and purposes coalesced along with Afghanistan into one homogeneous lump of Islamic terrorism and violence and radicalism in the eyes of present day Indians. The lines are blurred, if not totally non-existent, and Pakistan is coming apart at its seams.

    The reason is not difficult to fathom. There is simply no glue holding you together anymore. Pakistan was created on the plinth of the two-nation theory and rallying cry of Islam in Peril. The first blow to that theory was when it was delivered still-born as half the Muslims decided to stay with secular India. The shaky edifice crumbled further with Muslim on Muslim genocide leading to your dissection in 1971. What we are seeing today is natural balance asserting itself. With the Hindu angle slowly but surely becoming more and more distant to your masses as they helplessly see India moving away and upward, the glue of Islam that held truncated Pakistan together has lost its remaining stickiness. Now it is increasingly Sunni or Shia. Sunni and Shia on Ahmediya and Sufi. Punjabi on Sindhi. Punjabi and Sindhi on Balochi. Punjabi on Pushtun. Pushtun and Balochi on each other as well as against the rest as it suits them.

    As Notorious Eagle said, whether its Balochi, Sindhi, Seraiki, Hazaras, Punjabi or Pushtuns, we are all part of Pakistan. What he omitted to say however was that Pakistan only ever comes together as a unit when it faces India. And that all these factions see themselves in that identity first, as Muslims then, and finally, any loyalty remaining, as Pakistani. A union of convenience that has long since lost its raison d’être. Now take the increasingly tenuous unifying Muslim card away, as fundamentalists start imposing degrees of “true” Islam, and you are left with strong sectarian and ethnic polarizations. The true face of "Pakistan" artificially glued together by Jinnah in 1947, and gone along with grudgingly at best by many of the same factions bearing their autonomous teeth today. And these polarizations have traditionally huge overlaps with geographical areas and populations of both Afghanistan as well as Iran.

    So the battle moves away from our doorstep, and onto your West, as you fight to hold on to what you still hold, and slowly forget about clamoring for what you never did. Pakistan in effect long de-hyphenated from India, now finds itself increasingly hyphenated with Afghanistan, but as an increasingly strong Iran makes sure that the mess does not spill over on to its side. Once these polarizations play themselves out, you will find that Pakistan, and the Pakistan army, missed the forest for the trees, having always aimed for the unattainable, and doomed the nation to its slide down a very slippery slope. Pakistan will increasingly in the days to come find itself being hemmed in between a rock and a hard place.

    If you drop a frog suddenly into a pan of boiling water, it will get scalded but jump out. Much better to cook him on a slow flame instead.

    Cheers, Doc
    Last edited by vsdoc; 14 May 11, at 16:49.
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    Quote Originally Posted by nvishal View Post
    S2, the PA and its associates own and run unimaginable number of non-military business ventures. They declare profits and losses as per their discretion which they feed back into the economy. These figures are all wrong. Technically, the budget is un-audited.


    That's all pakjabi
    All these organizations you are talking about are part of the Army Welfare Trust. They create thousands of jobs for both civilians/retired military and pay billions of rupees in taxes to the State. Whatever profits these companies generate; they expense it on the welfare projects by running schools, colleges, hospitals and scholarships for students to go and study abroad. These organizations are public companies, their financial statements are published and they pay taxes to the State. These organizations are not a burden on the economy, budget or the government. Take a look at the books of Fauji Foundation, see how much taxes they paid:

    Fauji Foundation

    I dont know how can you possibly claim that these companies tamper with their financial statements, they are publicly traded companies and their financial statements are audited by neutral sources. Compare that to the companies owned by Pakistan Government; Pakistan Railways, Pakistan International Airways, Pakistan Steel Mills etc whom run looses in billions of dollars and have to be subsidized by the State which is more than the aid Pakistan receives from US.
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    Seems many Pakistanis have realized the emptiness of the PA "military might" rhetoric.

    Its a butt of jokes, many SMS jokes seem to be floating around about its incompetence and cowardice.
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    Arzi Hukumat-e-Azad Hind Senior Contributor Tronic's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by vsdoc View Post
    Is that all you got?!

    Speaking of d1ck measuring, my relative outranks yours - and his Pakistani cronies. So snap to it - or not.
    Who do you infer to? FM Sam Manekshaw?

    If so, than with that attitude I highly doubt you are related to someone as great as him. He was a man of a much higher character and thoughts. A brilliant man! I'm not competing here, General Harbaksh and Field Marshal Manekshaw were both the right men at the right time for India. Its stupid if you think I'm indulging in some sort of my relative is better than yours; they both fought for India, and they both have my highest respects.

    Oh, and FM Manekshaw himself had a lot of high ranking friends in the Pak military, his previous regiment, before the country was partitioned, was the Frontier Force Regiment, which now is part of the Pak army.
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    vsdoc Reply

    "I see you - and America - still do not get it. You cannot be in bed with Pakistan and India at the same time."

    I see us in bed with neither, sir. We serve the interests of the mission to which we're committed-one in which Pakistan plays a reluctant role and India a peripheral one that's largely self-serving.

    "The trust you speak of is a two way street sir. And will come when you finally see the light."

    Ah, but that's YOU suggesting we must find a regional and global partner of trusting merit and military and financial strength in "somebody else" (i.e., India)-

    "...Someone they could trust, regionally and globally.

    Someone militarily strong and financially sound..."


    "America may have its own agenda in Afghanistan. That does not have to be reciprocated in toto by India, who have their own interests to protect and further."

    America serves the interests of the internat'l community as those interests are in alignment with ours. India? That's for your government to answer but, to date, their response hasn't been sufficient in my view to become that "regional and global partner" to whom you allude.

    "...After all, you have the luxury of moving back to your home base thousands of miles away, when you choose to do so. We do not. You seem to imply that we are riding piggy-back on your presence in the area..."

    Conversely we also have the burden of fighting an enemy while building a community thousands of miles from our home. It is from Afghanistan that we were attacked so nowhere is too far for our obligation of self-defense.

    "...Imply..."? I thought I was more direct than that. You ARE riding piggy-back on our presence there...and the presence of many others who've shed a great deal of blood and money for the same objectives as America and the U.N.

    "Well, India will pay what it can, towards what it wants to, and what the Afghans want."

    I'm only interested in "...what the Afghans want..." and how India might serve that role as a trustworthy "...regional and global partner...".

    "...We will use our ducats for our homeland sir - when the time comes. As we have in the past. Till then - there seem to be enough ducats on hire floating around to get the job done - or not. Bottom line - if Afghanistan could have been won by money or ducats, first the Brits, then Soviets, and finally America and its allies would have done so. I am not saying India will come up with the elusive answer. All I am saying is that India is not stupid to know quicksand when it sees it, and still proceed to knowingly walk into it. Not via the same path definitely. And definitely not on its own coin and boots..."

    So much for your role as a trusting regional and global partner both militarily strong and financially sound. Thus, vsdoc (if you're any indication), India may not be ready to assume any burden of regional much less global leadership. That takes sacrifice in all its forms at a scale you've made clear is too costly for too little apparent immediate gain.

    "...P.S. If CAR access is all that is at stake here, then that goal for India is more profitably and way less painfully served by our continuing trade relations with Iran..."

    Self-serving myopia. My reference was to an Afghanistan serving a community of nations towards such. It is land-locked, if you haven't noticed, and will require connection to both Iran (remember your Zaranj-Delaram road project) AND Pakistan.

    "...And it does not have to be a zero-sum game at the cost of our relationship with Israel either, as has been demonstrated in the recent past..."

    That's for Iran, Israel and India to determine.

    America won't be the chief beneficiary of CAR resources. Far from it. America won't be the chief beneficiary of Afghanistan's development either. Yet it's America, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Europe that have assumed the U.N.'s mandate while India, China, Japan and others count their looming advantages from such and carp on the sidelines.

    In sum, vsdoc, your response has largely validated my suggestion that India is hardly prepared to look beyond narrow self-interests in regional development for the global community's greater good. I'll not draw any inference to your government from it, however. That would be unfair.
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    Arzi Hukumat-e-Azad Hind Senior Contributor Tronic's Avatar
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    Talk about hurt egos.



    And on the topic of comparing the budgets, even Pakistani masses feel having a large defence budget is the main requirement, not education or health. They are conditioned to think that way.
    Last edited by Tronic; 14 May 11, at 22:36.
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    Tronic Reply

    Sure that isn't a photo from a Pakistani Army veterans convention?
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    Meanwhile



    Pakistan may cut Nato's Afghan supply line after Osama bin Laden killing


    The security of Nato's main supply line into Afghanistan came under threat on Saturday as Pakistani parliamentarians voted to review all aspects of their relationship with the US amid worsening political fallout from the raid that killed Osama bin Laden.

    The unanimous motion was passed in the early hours of Saturday morning at the conclusion of an extraordinary 10-hour parliamentary session when the military's top brass offered apologies and admissions of failure, and the country's spy chief offered to resign.

    Condemning the 2 May raid on bin Laden's house in Abbottabad, 35 miles northeast of Islamabad, as a "violation of Pakistan's sovereignty", parliament voted unanimously to review the country's terms of engagement with Washington.

    In feisty speeches lawmakers warned against further "unilateral action", including CIA drone strikes, and urged the government to consider cutting the Nato supply line that runs from Karachi to Afghanistan through the Khyber Pass and Balochistan.

    Suspicious of Pakistan's failure to capture bin Laden but recognising the importance of the supply line and pursuing other al-Qaida fugitives, the Obama administration is dispatching Senator John Kerry – the "good cop" of US diplomacy with Pakistan – to Islamabad on Sunday.

    "We're not trying to find a way to break the relationship apart, we're trying to find a way to build it," he told reporters in Kabul on Saturday.

    Kerry arrives in Pakistan at a time of unprecedented criticism of the powerful military. On Friday night top generals were submitted to harsh questioning from parliamentarians during a marathon session that stretched late into the night.

    The inter-services intelligence (ISI) chief General Shuja Pasha, one of the most powerful figures in the country, admitted to an "intelligence failure" on Bin Laden, insisting that the ISI had been kept in the "complete dark" by the US over the raid, and tendered his resignation to prime minister Yousaf Raza Gilani. It was not accepted – a sign that the government, led by Asif Ali Zardari, has decided to support the weakened military.

    The fragile civilian government is gambling that its pro-army stance will guarantee it a full term in office. "It was politically a very astute move," said Talat Masood, a retired general and political analyst.

    Another striking revelation came from the deputy air force chief, who admitted that CIA drones take off from Shamsi airbase in Balochistan province. But he insisted that the drones were unarmed – those carrying missiles came from Afghanistan, he said – and that Shamsi was actually under the authority of the United Arab Emirates, which built the remote airstrip in the 1990s for rich sheikhs on bird-hunting expeditions.

    Despite having been technically held in camera, details of the parliamentary session leaked out to the media. One MP told the news website Dawn that the air force chief claimed to have ordered his jet fighters to shoot down US helicopters with Bin Laden's body on board when they were leaving Pakistan, but they were too slow.

    Although generally apologetic, in some instances the generals struck back at their critics. When an MP from a religious party attacked Pasha, the spy chief told the mullah that was in no position to talk because he had received funds from Libya and Saudi Arabia.

    The parliamentary motion appeared intended to deflect attention from uncomfortable questions about Bin Laden's Pakistan sanctuary onto complaints about US breaches of sovereignty. But the opposition leader, Nawaz Sharif, who was ousted from power in a 1999 military coup, said he was determined to seek greater accountability of army power. "The elected government should formulate foreign policy. A parallel policy or parallel government should not be allowed to work," he told a news conference yesterday.

    Deteriorating relations with the US are further complicated by a bitter row between spies on both sides. The fact that the CIA could run such a massive operation to capture Bin Laden had deeply embarrassed the ISI, said Vali Nasr, a former Obama administration advisor. "It's not just a diplomatic embarrassment, it's a counter-espionage failure," he said. "Suddenly the ISI is scared of what the CIA is capable of doing."

    In a further sign of cooling relations General Khalid Wynne, chairman of Pakistan's joint chiefs of staff committee, has cancelled a five-day visit to the United States due to start on 22 May.

    The US has begun to look to central Asian countries to reduce its reliance on Pakistan for military supplies to Afghanistan. The cricketer-turned-politician Imran Khan has already threatened to have his supporters block military trucks passing through Peshawar.

    But outside parliament, the gap between political rhetoric and ground realities is as stark as ever in Pakistan. On Friday a CIA drone fired missiles that killed five people in the tribal belt, the fourth such attack since 2 May.

    Yesterday the death toll from Friday's Taliban suicide attack on a paramilitary training centre climbed to 89; a Taliban spokesman said the vicious bombing was to avenge the al-Qaida leader's death and warned of more to come.
    Firstly I can think of no better job for John Kerry than to be yelled at by Pakistanis and secondly the ISI should be scared of the CIA: very scared indeed.
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    Chicago Trial May Unmask Pakistan’s Links to Militants


    WASHINGTON — Two years before terrorists struck the Indian port city of Mumbai, a Pakistani-American man named David Coleman Headley began laying the groundwork for the attack, financed, he claims, by $25,000 from an officer in Pakistan’s powerful intelligence service.


    Mr. Headley told Indian investigators that the officer, known only as Major Iqbal, “listened to my entire plan to attack India.” Another officer with the intelligence service, the Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate, “assured me of the financial help,” Mr. Headley said.

    As the United States presses Pakistan for answers about whether the ISI played a role in harboring Osama bin Laden, Mr. Headley is set to recount his story of the Mumbai attack in a federal courthouse in Chicago. What he discloses could deepen suspicions that Pakistani spies are connected to terrorists and could potentially worsen relations between Washington and Islamabad.

    India, the site of the November 2008 attacks, will be closely monitoring the trial for evidence of the ISI’s duplicity. Pakistan will also be listening to — and is likely to deny — Mr. Headley’s every word. So far, Islamabad has dismissed Mr. Headley’s accusations against the ISI as little more than a desperate performance by a man hoping to avoid the death penalty.

    An American official who spoke on the condition of anonymity said that the United States government’s view of Mr. Headley — like so much else surrounding the ISI — was murky. No agreement exists in Washington on whether the ISI guided Mr. Headley and the attacks on Mumbai.

    “It’s not very clear,” the official said. “A lot of this is going to come out of the trial. His claim could just be his claim.”

    Still, the very fact that the government is presenting Mr. Headley as a prosecution witness suggests that at least some in the government believe he is telling the truth. And the authorities said they expected the government to present e-mails and tapes of telephone conversations to support his story.

    Any new evidence of ISI malfeasance that emerges from the trial will reverberate in Washington, with the relationship between the United States and Pakistan at its most tenuous in years.

    A growing chorus on Capitol Hill argues that the discovery of Bin Laden’s hideout and the evidence in Mr. Headley’s case leave no doubt that the ISI and its Pakistani military overseers have played a cynical double game with the United States. Pakistan has received $20 billion in military and development assistance since 2001, and its military, they say, has sheltered Bin Laden, supported Afghan Taliban who kill American troops and guided the militants who attacked Mumbai.

    Mr. Headley himself is not on trial. But he will be the main witness against Tahawwur Hussain Rana, a Chicago businessman who is accused of providing financial and logistical support for the 2008 siege in Mumbai. The attack, a barrage of gunfire and grenades, killed at least 163 people, including six Americans. Mr. Rana’s defense is that he agreed to support Mr. Headley’s activities in India because he was led to believe he was working for the ISI, and therefore the Pakistani government.

    Bruce O. Riedel, a terrorism expert at the Brookings Institution, a former Central Intelligence Agency officer and a critic of the ISI, predicted that the trial would be “the next nail in the coffin of U.S.-Pakistan relations, as the ISI’s role in the murder of six Americans is revealed in graphic detail.”

    With precisely that possibility in mind, the American authorities have kept much of the evidence secret. Citing national security concerns, they have successfully moved to quash the defense lawyers’ subpoenas for State Department cables and records held by the F.B.I. that discuss Pakistan’s links with militants.

    And though the government has charged four other men with aiding and abetting the murder of American citizens, including the officer known as Major Iqbal, the indictment refers to them either as commanders or associates of the militant group Lashkar-e-Taiba, not as having links to the ISI.

    In interviews in recent days, American military and intelligence officials who have served in Pakistan argued that the ISI’s story is complex. Some of them portray it as an unwieldy third-world bureaucracy that even Pakistani generals struggle to control. The United States should try to reform the ISI, they argue, not abandon it.

    “I think we’re at an extremely critical juncture,” said James Helmly, a retired general who served as the senior American military representative in Pakistan from 2006-8. “We need to mature the relationship.”

    Arguably the most feared institution in Pakistan, the ISI has a mythic reputation among Pakistanis as a shadow government with a hand in virtually every major development in the country. Human rights and democracy activists say the agency is out of control and accuse it of carrying out hundreds of disappearances, systematically rigging elections and harassing civilians who support peace with India.

    They say the American raid that killed Bin Laden has created a rare moment when the ISI’s judgment and effectiveness is being challenged. Whether the ISI was sheltering Bin Laden or was unaware of his presence, the agency must be revamped, they say.

    In a series of unusual developments in a country long dominated by its powerful military, the ISI chief twice offered to resign last week. News commentators are criticizing the agency, and political parties are demanding that the ISI be reined in.

    “It depends on the caliber and the grit of the political leadership,” Rasul Baksh Rais, a leading Pakistani political scientist, said in an interview. “How they can use this opportunity to restructure the civilian-military relationship and bring the military under civilian control.”

    American and Pakistani officials said the ISI was still dominated by military officers wedded to an outdated, paranoid and dangerous mindset that the C.I.A. helped create during the 1980s anti-Soviet conflict in Afghanistan. More ultranationalists than jihadists, the ISI’s officers consider themselves to be Pakistan’s true guardians. They see the United States as a feckless and immoral power that is in deep decline, India as Pakistan’s main threat, and militants as proxies they can control.

    A former American intelligence official said the C.I.A. funneled vast amounts of covert aid to more cooperative sections of the ISI in an effort to strengthen them. Former American officials said they did the same with the Pakistani Army. But progress has been slow.

    American critics of the ISI say it will never be reformed or weakened by Pakistan’s civilian leadership. They say that proponents of continued American aid to the ISI are naive and “apologists” for an agency that has repeatedly double-crossed the United States.

    The man who is suddenly an important figure in the relationship between Pakistan and the United States, Mr. Headley, may not be the most reliable witness, despite evidence that he has worked closely with intelligence and drug agencies here and abroad. His adult life is a blur of deceit, involving multiple marriages, illegal business deals and numerous turns in and out of jail.

    Mr. Rana’s defense will succeed or fail on his lawyers’ ability to discredit Mr. Headley, who, according to court records, has a history of alcohol and drug abuse. Under threat of prosecution for drug trafficking, he became an informant in Pakistan for the Drug Enforcement Agency.

    The defense lawyers are expected to show that Mr. Headley has a long history of deceiving American law enforcement authorities. One anticipated piece of evidence is an informant agreement that would provide the most conclusive evidence yet that Mr. Headley was under contract with the D.E.A. when he began training with terrorists.

    Authorities with knowledge of the case say the lawyers are also considering summoning one of Mr. Headley’s ex-wives, a New York woman who works at a department store make-up counter. The lawyers may want the woman to describe how she warned the F.B.I. that her husband was plotting with terrorists, and how the government failed to thoroughly investigate her accusations because Mr. Headley persuaded them that she was lying.

    The case is a microcosm of the missteps, distrust and confusion that has marked the American efforts in Pakistan since 2001, according to current and former American officials. But whatever evidence the trial produces, current and former American officials said, it would be a mistake to cut off all American aid to the ISI or the Pakistani military.

    Marty Martin, a retired C.I.A. official who oversaw the hunt for Bin Laden from 2002 to 2004, said cutting assistance would further isolate Pakistani officers who cooperated with the United States and embolden the powerful militant groups that span Pakistan.

    “There is no option except to continue working with them,” Mr. Martin said. “Why? This is not over.”
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    The pre-dominant Muslim Kashmir valley which seeks secession... They have nothing in similar with the people of Pakistani "Azad Kashmir", let alone Punjabis.
    Thats an interesting assertion, its certainly contrary to what I've read, and contrary to logic too to think that the people of Azad Kashmir and the Valley have absolutely no ethnic, political or linguistic links.

  14. #254
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    Hasn't breached the treaty though. I've watched debates where your ppl were saying those terms need to be renegotiated and the orginal was done from a position of weakness etc. But thats just cover for present bad management isn't it. We can't stop or adversely affect the water coming through. period. it would be an act of war.
    Well, its down to perspective isn't it? Pakistanis do consider it a potential breach of the treaty. You're right, it would be an act of war, thats the whole point. Water cannot be discounted as a flash point.

    It's not a question of hypocrisy. There has to be a stronger tangible reason to push for it for as long. Something that is critical to Pakistan's interest. Ppl to ppl ties seems somehwat less in that regard. Besides you have a lot more muslims elsehwhere in India, what about them. Why do Kashmiri's have more merit here.
    Good question. Well, Kashmir has history that marks it as Disputed Territory. There are a host of factors and motivators that cause the end result: the messy, bloody and inconclusive way the state was divided, the Kashmiris themselves wanting to secede, Delhi's handing and treatment of the Kashmiris, demographic and geographic feasibility. But largely cultural, political and social links as I've said.

    Now, showing Kashmiri's being persecuted will make great PR for the cause, and there's plenty of things you can do to ensure that. But thats after the fact. For lack of better reasons Kashmir appears to be a pretext, a useful one no doubt.
    I know Kashmir has a genuine place in Pakistani psychology. For reasons I've stated and more. Pakistan, and Pakistanis, don't want a pretext for endless hostility with India but they can't ignore Kashmir. I think your theory is far fetched, it attributes too much malicious intent to the Pakistani side alone.

    What were his downsides here ? He wasn't elected to begin with.
    He wasn't elected, but his popularity was OBVIOUSLY relevant to his political fortunes, as was proved beyond a doubt by the nature of his ousting. Besides, the point I made is that the army was largely the source of his power so why would he push for peace with India if that would undermine said power?

    The first two were not unilateral actions and came to nought. Massing those soldiers did not stop mumbai. After mumbai we did nothing, lets see what effect that has.
    Came to nothing because of Pakistani counter-deployments and Pakistani war-fighting abilities, there is serious evidence of this. These occasions aren't a source of comfort, but insightfully dangerous precedents.

    CSD, i'm not sure even exists other than on the internet
    Oh trust me it is, there is all kinds of evidence of it in strategy and policy circles. The Indian government's attempts to deny its existence may have been politically convenient, but they're easily countered.

    But their reaction seems a great deal muted in comparison wouldn't you say. Why ?
    Perhaps relatively yes. But that could be explained by a host of reasons. India is Pakistan's primarily antagonistic neighbor as well after all.

    What i'm saying is the winner here by far from this situation is your military.
    Well, you're making many inherently flawed assumptions. Firstly, that the Pakistani military sees confrontation with India as beneficial to its interests. Secondly, that the Pakistan army needs India's hostility to maintain some political leverage. Third, that they WANT to maintain said leverage at the cost of long term stable democracy. Fourth, that a decreased budget is seen as a threat to the Pakistan military's structure or personal benefits for its servicemen or even to its political influence. And many more.
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    Yes, but it still disproves your claim that this claim of PA benefiting as an institution from the "India as a mortal enemy" is an exclusively Indian one.
    Well, not necessarily. This is largely a narrative about how the threat from India over time became institutionally ingrained, may be even convenient. It is no where near the assertion made previously over here that Indo-Pak hostility is being driven by the Pakistan military alone through such singular, dedicated self-interest. Because of lack of corresponding self-criticism within India (any that I'm aware of anyway) it may be convenient to presume that these tendencies are not reflected in an Indian context. I wouldn't be so sure of that, and neither are these commentators by the sounds of it.
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