Thread: How would Russia react to a Israeli-USA preemptive strike on Iran??

Originally Posted by Commando

Ariel Sharon's reelection is on the 29th of January 2006. There are querries that he will launch a pre emptive strike on Iran's nuclear facilities for two reasons:

1 To protect the national security of Israel.
2 To gain internal supports from his own party. In the past Sharon has struggled with this and a pre emptive strike may be the only way to gather their confidence. It is highly likely that Israel will rally behind Sharon with the Iranian issue and therefore be reelected.

Over the past few weeks i have read numerous news reels that Russia has apparently warned against military intervention in Iran. Since Russia is Iran's leading military supplier, what would Russia's response be to an Israeli-US lead pre emptive strike on the countries nuclear facilities.

Im predicting just fundind Iran with massive amounts of weapons if a time like this comes. any theories?

Also would the Islamic world jump behind and support Iran or is it all just hype. If yes/ could all the Islamic states that would support Iran form together a large enough alliance to drive the USA back out of the country?

Where do I start! I shall attempt to confine myself to the issue of nukes.

"Since Russia is etc." Nope.

Pakistan, yes. China, yes (via Pakistan) but in delicate balance due to a new pipeline.

The south of Iran is on the edge of active rebelion.

The Iranian Gov. is desperately unstable.

The "rest of the Islamic World" is an issue that at least (God help) Fox News brings up: Sunni vs. Shia. Let alone Wahabbi or other sects.

Russia? Well, let us see. Ooops! They have made their cash. Do they want China to make an oil deal with Iran or them? China needs power. China buys toys from Russ.

Do the sums.

Russian government: "Oh wow. Guess Iran should have made a different play. Oh well, put it on the agenda to complain about that at the next UN meeting..."

They'd sit back and watch to see how well their missile defence systems worked.

Originally Posted by parihaka

They'd sit back and watch to see how well their missile defence systems worked.

As they always have with any system. Or us Brits (big surge for us post Falk. and Gulf !) Let alone Yank global orders!

And why not?

Originally Posted by The Chap

As they always have with any system. Or us Brits (big surge for us post Falk. and Gulf !) Let alone Yank global orders!

And why not?

Why not indeed

Originally Posted by parihaka

They'd sit back and watch to see how well their missile defence systems worked.

So would the PLA, since they have the S-300 series.

Oil prices would skyrocket for a time, putting loads of additional money in Russian pockets (thanks to Russian oil sales) in return for zero expenditure of money or effort.

Originally Posted by Zhang Fei

Oil prices would skyrocket for a time

I'm doubtful of a "skyrocket", as it is unlikely the Iranians would stop selling their oil because a nuke plant disappeared. They would still need the money.

Question...Who cares how they react, they sell Iran its weapons while Iran hides their ambitions over a nuclear arsenal from the rest of the world while they threaten their neighbors namely Israel. After the threats were made to Israel that alone should have given them a green light to launch their own offensive. If the U.S. were threatened in a simular fashion Iran wouldnt have much of anything left by now.

If we really wanted to change the price of oil then the President should ask the population not to buy gas but once a week and use other modes of transportation instead such as public trans etc. That over time would certainly drive down the price per barrel. Once these other sources of fuel become more available I think you will see oil plummet farther then it has in the last 15 years. but that just my opinion.

Heres an idea....invest heavily in the Alberta Oil Sands...the Canadian Gov allows tens of thousands of immigrants into Alberta (a massive shortage of workers in alberta is delaying progress)+

Then OPEC wont have as much power, and dictate global prices like they do.

Originally Posted by Canmoore

Heres an idea....invest heavily in the Alberta Oil Sands...the Canadian Gov allows tens of thousands of immigrants into Alberta (a massive shortage of workers in alberta is delaying progress)+

Then OPEC wont have as much power, and dictate global prices like they do.

But we might jeopardize the migratory route of the endangered Mexican Staring Frog from Southern Sri Lanka...

Originally Posted by Dreadnought

If we really wanted to change the price of oil then the President should ask the population not to buy gas but once a week and use other modes of transportation instead such as public trans etc. That over time would certainly drive down the price per barrel. Once these other sources of fuel become more available I think you will see oil plummet farther then it has in the last 15 years. but that just my opinion.

China would buy what we don't so the price of oil on the open market would not change much.

Originally Posted by gunnut

But we might jeopardize the migratory route of the endangered Mexican Staring Frog from Southern Sri Lanka...

Haha I love those little buggers...wait you made that up!!!