Ukraine will cease to exist in 2012 anyway, with Nord Stream online. Nobody will remeber about this failed state ever after.
But with a current policy of Ukraine's president it might happen much faster.
The Ukrainian demand of €6.30 per 1000mģ/100km is rather impertinent, even in a European price spectrum. Turkey is calculating in the region of €2.20 to €2.30 per 1000mģ/100km from the planned Nabucco pipeline (and Nabucco is of similar scale to the Ukrainian and Belarussian transit pipelines).
Ukraine will cease to exist in 2012 anyway, with Nord Stream online. Nobody will remeber about this failed state ever after.
But with a current policy of Ukraine's president it might happen much faster.
I don't think it'll remain a failed state forever. Either some bright politician will straighten it out, or Russia will annex it in the name of helping the poor, neglected citizens. There won't be such a failed state between so many wealthy states.
40 million people is quite a catch.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7814743.stmGas stopped for swathe of states
Seven European and Balkan countries have reported a complete halt in Russian gas supplies via Ukraine as the two countries' energy dispute worsens.
They join countries as far west as Italy and Austria suffering supply shortages since Russia halted its exports to Ukraine in a prices row.
Russia's Gazprom says Ukraine has been stealing gas in transit to Europe.
The EU depends on Russia for about a quarter of its total gas supplies, some 80% of which is pumped through Ukraine.
Bosnia-Hercegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Hungary, Macedonia and Serbia have now reported a total stoppage of gas deliveries from Russia.
Italy and Austria say they have received only 10% of their expected supply.
The row comes amid a cold snap across Europe that is likely to push up demand for gas.
Serbia says it is in a "critical" situation, while Slovakia says it will declare a state of emergency over the shortages.
Bulgaria says it has sufficient supplies for just a few more days. President Georgi Purvanov said the situation was grounds for restarting a nuclear reactor, shut as part of Bulgaria's accession to the EU in 2007.
Many other countries are now tapping strategic reserves, built up to cope with just such a development, says the BBC's Europe correspondent Nick Thorpe.
'Theft increasing'
Russia and Ukraine have been blaming each other for the disruption to Europe's energy supplies.
Gazprom has accused Ukraine of an "unprecedented" shutdown of transit pipelines. It says only 40m cubic metres of gas is getting through to Europe, instead of 225m cu m.
The chief executive of Gazprom, Alexei Miller, said Ukraine was stealing 15% of gas delivered across its borders and that theft was "increasing by the hour".
He said Russia would consider cutting gas supplied through Ukraine completely if none was getting through to central and western Europe.
Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said the gas had been stolen "not from Russia but from western consumers because they have bought this commodity and paid for it".
Ukraine's Naftogaz said Russia had cut gas transit supplies by more than two-thirds and listed nine countries, including Germany, Poland, and Hungary, which would receive reduced supplies as a result.
Talks between Naftogaz and Gazprom aimed at resolving the crisis are due to resume in Moscow on Thursday - after the Christmas public holiday on Wednesday in Russia and Ukraine.
Gazprom has said it is surprised Ukraine is prepared to wait so long.
"Considering the crisis situation, we are ready to renew negotiations at any minute. Gazprom has been and will be a reliable gas supplier," said spokesman Sergei Kupriyanov.
Gazprom will also discuss the matter with the EU on the same day.
The European Commission has demanded that gas supplies to the EU are immediately restored.
'Gas stolen'
Russia stopped supplying gas to Ukraine on New Year's Day in a row about unpaid bills and the failure to agree a new pricing contract.
On Monday, Gazprom decided to cut exports through Ukrainian pipelines by a fifth to compensate for the amount it said Ukraine was siphoning off supplies intended for Europe for its own use.
Ukraine has denied stealing gas, saying technical problems are disrupting the onward flow of gas to Europe.
The new EU member states in central and eastern Europe are heavily - and in some cases entirely - dependent on Russian gas imports. Yet Germany and Italy together account for nearly half of the Russian gas consumed in the EU.
Gazprom has promised to pump extra supplies through other pipelines - the Yamal from Arctic Russia through Belarus to Germany, and the Blue Stream to Turkey under the Black Sea.
A similar row between Gazprom and Ukraine at the beginning of 2006 led to gas shortages in several EU countries.
Its obvious that Ukraine is the one cutting off the gas in order to make its point. Russia would not bite off its nose to spite its face regadless of what people think of them. Maybe its time the EU and Russia decided to annex their respective halves of Ukraine (remember Poland 1939 anyone) and just be done with it.
Its obvious that Ukraine is the one cutting off the gas in order to make its point.
where does Ukraine put all this gas?
Seven European and Balkan countries worth of gas ? Do they just vent it ? Or every citizen fills containers at home at presidential order ?
kato - if Russia is free to use itīs position as supplier to demand what price it wantīs, then Ukr. has just the same right to use itīs geographic position to demand their price. Capitalism at work.
If i only was so smart yesterday as my wife is today
Minding your own biz is great virtue, but situation awareness saves lives - Dok
And Russia has every right to send in the tanks to secure the transit lanes for its biggest export... Capitalism AND Realpolitik at work.
All Ukraine is doing is alienating Europe and pissing off the Russians even further. Its giving Russia the perfect opportunity to send in the tanks and then claim to the EU that it was merelly acting in the best interests of both the CIS and the EU in securing energy transit lanes.
The Americans wont be happy but they will get over it. The Europeans deep down wont be too fussed because Ukraine is fast turning out to be a liability and the Russians would be stoked that they are getting some of their long lost sattelite states back. I see it as a win win situation for all parties really (except the US and Ukraine but its not an American issue to begin with and the Ukranians are self inflicting the situation onto themselves).
There is 40 million residents in Ukraine and there is winter in North Hemisphere, in case you can't look at the window.
Also, there is such thing as gas storehouses. And i suspect Ushenko wanted to steal as much gas as he could until Gazprom stoped him. It's not like Ukraine have money to pay for gas.
Ushenko is a land version of Somali pirates. Only difference is - Somali pirates are not controlled from Washington (but i might be wrong here).![]()
Russians have been talking about the price of gas with Ukraine for a while now , they offered them a LOT LOWER PRICE than most Europe country's are paying and they refuse it and want to pay much lower , so not being bias here if Russians cut supply's of Ukraine gas and send lets say for the sake of argument 300mil/m3 gas trough to Europe and on the other side of Ukraine only 200mil/m3 gas comes trough then its very obvious what is happening with the rest of the 100mil/m3 of gas, Ukraine needs to stop living in the past , its very simple if you don't pay you don't get it.
As i previously wrote - i have no idea who is to blame here.
But if Ukr. canīt pay for the gas (which is possible), OTOH Rus. is in dire need of cash too. So with a crisis like this the EU will feel their dependence of Rus. gas, price of gas will go up, ensuring some much-needed revenue for Rus.
If i only was so smart yesterday as my wife is today
Minding your own biz is great virtue, but situation awareness saves lives - Dok
something from end of last year price negotiations
Last year (2008) price 179,5USD for 1000m3
According to Miller (CEO Gazprom) - īmarket priceī for Ukr. 418USD for 1000m3
then:
according to Ukr. parliament member - Putin offered to Jushtshenko on telephone conversation 2 possible prices . 1. 250USD for 1000m3. In case if Rus. makes a deposit for transit of 2009, from which Naftogaz pays the debt (But according to Naftogaz this is Rus. way of sneaking by of new, higher transit tax). The other price was around 450USD
If i only was so smart yesterday as my wife is today
Minding your own biz is great virtue, but situation awareness saves lives - Dok
Exports of Russian gas to Europe via Ukraine appear to have completely stopped amid a dispute over gas supplies between the two countries.
Heating systems shut down in some parts of central Europe, as outdoor temperatures plunged to -10C or lower.
Russia and Ukraine have blamed each other, and the EU says it wants its own monitors to check the flow of gas.
The EU depends on Russia for about a quarter of its total gas supplies, some 80% of which is pumped through Ukraine.
The list of countries that have reported a total halt of Russian supplies via Ukraine includes Romania, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Bosnia-Hercegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Hungary, Macedonia, Serbia, and Austria.
Italy said it had received only 10% of its expected supply.
The row comes amid a cold snap across Europe that is likely to push up demand for gas.
Bulgaria says it has sufficient supplies for just a few more days.
Many other countries are now tapping strategic reserves, built up to cope with just such a development, says the BBC's central Europe correspondent Nick Thorpe.
Power stations have been told to switch to fuel oil where possible, while big industrial users have been told to prepare to limit or halt use.
Some 12,000 households in the eastern Bulgarian city of Varna had been left without central heating, authorities said. Nearby Dobrich was also affected.
In many former Soviet bloc countries whole towns and areas rely on a single centralised heating system, so that when that shuts down, every household is affected.
Venting anger
Russia and Ukraine have been blaming each other for the disruption to Europe's energy supplies.
Russia's gas company Gazprom has accused Ukraine of shutting off the final pipeline carrying gas to Europe, but Ukraine's Naftogaz said that would be impossible, since the taps are in Russia.
Correspondents say the differing versions offered by the two countries show how far apart they are, and that the row is rapidly becoming a means for venting anger caused by poor political relations.
European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso accused the two countries of taking the EU's gas supply "hostage" and urged them to resume supplies immediately.
He said the EU was ready to send monitors to the Russian-Ukrainian border, and at Ukrainian exit points, to determine where the shortfalls originated.
Russia has called for such monitors and Ukraine's prime minister said they could start work "immediately", according to the AFP news agency.
Talks between Naftogaz and Gazprom aimed at resolving the crisis are due to resume in Moscow on Thursday - after the Christmas public holiday on Wednesday in Russia and Ukraine.
Gazprom will also discuss the matter with the EU on the same day.
I hope this Ukraine thing ends quickly. Getting annoying. Ukraine's economy is in a rut, it's political system is in a rut, and it should just stop being a state. Give the pro-NATO portion to Germany or something, the Crimea and other pro-Russian portions to Russia. All win. Except US, but no one cares anymore.
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