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Thread: Saakashvili interview

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    Dirty Kiwi Parihaka's Avatar
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    Saakashvili interview

    ‘They Want the Whole of Georgia’

    Even as Russian President Dmitry Medvedev ordered a halt to military activities in Georgia, Georgian officials reported continuing air and land attacks Tuesday. Since the conflict began last week, about 2,000 deaths have been reported, many of them civilians.

    The escalating battle, which began last Thursday when Georgian troops and separatists in South Ossetia exchanged fire, has been a major test for Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili. He came to power in 2003 after the Rose Revolution, which ended the rule of former Soviet foreign minister Eduard Shevardnadze. Saakashvili has closely allied himself with the United States, often irritating Russia. Critics say Saakashvili pushed the Russians too far when he made aggressive moves in South Ossetia, a separatist enclave.

    American-educated, Saakashvili has been a constant in Western media this week, making his case that Russia is to blame for the current conflict. On Monday, while touring a damaged building in Gori, the sound of a Russian jet led Saakashvili's bodyguards to push him to the ground and cover him with flak jackets, but no one was injured. NEWSWEEK's Anna Nemtsova caught up with the beleaguered president in Tbilisi on Monday. Excerpts:

    NEWSWEEK: How did this all begin?
    Mikheil Saakashvili: First of all, the Russian troops in North Ossetia [part of the Russian Federation] were massing for the last four months. They called it "exercises." But every time I would hear about these exercises, the Russians would say that they were preparing for military actions inside Georgia. They would say it publicly. President Putin would always hint at that. He said, "We need different ways to get to Georgia." So we knew Russia was preparing. We were worried about it. But there wasn't much we could do about it.

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    Now, in South Ossetia, there had been tensions for years. That's nothing new. So when the latest round of confrontations had started we didn't take it too seriously. I mean, they tried to blow up houses and opened fire on [a Georgian] police convoy. We returned fire and killed five or six of them. I thought this would end there. But then they started to bombard villages we controlled with mortar fire. But even these kind of things had happened in the past, so initially we didn't think it was serious. But sometime late on the afternoon it all started, I started to smell something bad. So I began, frantically, to call the Russians. They wouldn't respond. I called the secretary-general of NATO. I called [European Union High Representative for the Common Foreign and Security Policy] Javier Solana. I called several other European presidents, like [Lithuanian President] Valdas Adamkus. I said we are coming under an extensive barrage, and nothing like this has ever happened before. Something is wrong here.

    Then we contacted the local Russian peacekeepers in Ossetia. The head of the local peacekeepers and Ambassador Yuri Popov [Russian co-chair of the Joint Control Commission for Georgian-Ossetian Conflict Resolution]. Both said they no longer had control over the Ossetian separatists. They told us that the [separatists] are out of their minds. That they don't pick up their phones and can't be reached. But the whole point is that this whole thing started immediately after [Ossetian separatist leader Eduard] Kokoity came back from Moscow. We asked the Russians, "What's going on?" I believe that there are different factions in Russia fighting each other. One faction has become nasty, and the other doesn't know what they are up to.

    From our point of view, it all sounded very confused. The acting Russian foreign minister said that the separatists opened fire first and promised us that they were trying to calm the situation down. We told the Russians that we would declare a unilateral ceasefire, and maybe they could do something about this. I went on TV and announced a unilateral ceasefire.

    My minister of defense called to say that he had two soldiers killed, and the ministry of interior had some men wounded. All this time we were still holding off from responding to any of these provocations. Then we started to get reports that Russian tanks, Russian APCs [armored personnel carriers], were coming through the tunnel [linking South Ossetia to Russia on Aug. 8].

    Finally we said, "OK, the only way to stop this convoy was to open artillery fire." We did not have enough military on the ground to start a ground assault. So we did fire at that convoy, and we fired at Tskhinvali [which South Ossetian separatists recognize as their capital]. But before that, and every international observer saw that, there were several hours of barrage, to which we didn't respond. And in the meantime, we were trying to get international involvement.

    Was this planned by the Russians?
    When I called the secretary-general of NATO [Jaap de Hoop Scheffer], I said, "Look, this is happening. Conditions are nasty." I said the Russians are being helpful. They are trying to stop the separatists. And you know what he told me? He said, "I don't think so. I think this is a Russian game."

    [A NATO spokesperson said Tuesday that de Hoop Scheffer would not comment on a private conversation with Saakashvili.]

    He was right and I was wrong. Because as soon as the whole thing erupted, the Russians responded immediately. Tanks began moving. They started to make statements. Moscow claimed that [Russian] peacekeepers were killed. Well, remember that there were 500 local people serving as peacekeepers. I believe that every separatist who got killed or wounded would get a paper saying that they were Russian peacekeepers. Everybody [in Ossetia] is a Russian citizen. Everybody was eligible to be a Russian peacekeeper. So then Russia started to say, "Our peacekeepers are under attack and we are there to protect our peacekeepers." I always said this would be the scenario for the start of hostilities with Russia, except that all the time we were expecting it in Abkhazia. In fact, we thought that South Ossetia had calmed down because the Russians were too much focused on Abkhazia. But Russian troops were massed in North Ossetia, which is not near Abkhazia.

    One senior U.S. diplomat, who is a good friend of mine, had lunch with [Russian Foreign Minister Sergei] Lavrov, and he said to Lavrov that he was planning to go to Georgia in September. And Lavrov replied, "Too late, there will be a war before then." Then we had information from friendly country intelligence, from Central and Eastern European countries, that something was coming. Brilliant timing. The Olympic Games. All the decision makers are on holidays. And everybody was telling us, if you survive until late fall, then the Russians will calm down.

    What did President Bush tell you?
    Bush told me he was in contact with [Russian President Dmitry] Medvedev. And that he's trying to calm [the Russians] down. He expressed his full support for us. Basically, that's it. He understands that this is not so much about Georgia, but that this is in a sense aggression against Americans.

    He said that?
    We had a kind of understanding.

    Do you feel you will have support from him?
    We have mobilized a lot of support in Western Europe. I had a long conversation with [German] Chancellor [Angela] Merkel. The Germans are in close touch with the Russians.

    Are you anticipating further attacks?
    Yesterday [Sunday] night, strategic bombers bombed specifically civilian installations, some of them close to pipelines. And the [separatists] in Abkhazia warned U.N. [observers] to move away from the upper Kodori gorge.

    Could you explain what has been happening on the ground?
    There was massive bombardment of civilian parts of [the Central Georgian town of] Gori. There has been bombardment of Poti port. Their planes went to the port of Batumi, and I immediately ordered to switch off the lights in Batumi, and they missed and hit the sea. And they went to the pipelines. They dropped bombs in places near pipelines in eastern Georgia. They bombed several railway stations that have no military significance whatsoever. And they bombed military bases. Three Russian pilots have been captured alive. One of them was burned and taken to the hospital in Tbilisi. And two more we found dead. The other five pilots of planes [we shot down] ejected into territory controlled by Russia.

    Why attack Gori?
    Because it's between Tskhinvali and Tbilisi. Actually, I myself witnessed how a Russian plane came very low over a marketplace in Gori and specifically targeted this market. They want to sow panic around the whole area.

    What will happen next?
    I think they want the whole of Georgia. They have clearly said through different diplomats at different levels that they want the annihilation of Georgia.

    Is it your sense that most European leaders view this as a completely Russian-orchestrated event?
    Oh yes, clearly. Chancellor Merkel told me yesterday that the Russians bear full responsibility for what is going on.
    Full responsibility?
    Well, do not quote me quoting here. They certainly bear responsibility. Nobody has ever blamed this on us. Anybody who has knowledge--the Americans, for instance, who have been monitoring this all the time, said that it was clearly started by South Ossetia. We responded to a land invasion of our territory.

    You suggest that the aggression is not against Georgia but against NATO?
    That's what Putin clearly told me in February. That in response to Kosovo's independence and NATO expansion, he would have to take measures. And Putin said that I shouldn't worry, it's not against us, it's against them, but the measures could be taken against us. Something like that.

    What obligations does NATO or the United States have in assisting you now?
    I think they have primarily moral obligation, and they have obligation to speak with a united voice to stop Russian aggression. Primarily, first of all, to have a united voice. It's not about calling both sides to exercise restraint. You know, our people are dying. And the last thing we want is to continue this game. To get from Tskhinvali to Tbilisi is just one and a half hours for a tank.

    And do you believe the Russians will move beyond the so-called border of the separatist regions?
    Absolutely. Because there is no border in the first place. Because they also came into Abkhazia for no reason. Because they bombed communications that have nothing to do with this particular situation. And they've always been after us here. They couldn't care less about South Ossetia. President Putin told me the first time I met him he had never heard about South Ossetia.

    Why now?
    Because Russia believes that America is weak. Because they see that Europe is frightened of them. Because they think that they are awash with oil money.

    If it comes to an all-out fight, what's your assessment of your ability to resist?
    We have 50,000 reservists, and they all have weapons, and there is plenty of ammunition. And we are calling back our Army brigade from Iraq. It all depends on many circumstances. This is war, you can never predict it. We still have the smallest army in the region. But we always believed in a small but professional army. The fact that we can shoot down planes speaks for itself. We shot down 10 Su-27s--this is more warplanes than the Russians lost in the whole Chechen war.

    What does this mean for your hopes of joining NATO?
    This is not about Georgia's aspirations to join NATO. It's about the survival of Georgia.

    Are you really expecting a full invasion of Georgia proper?
    This is an invasion of Georgia. Yes, I believe that Russia's private purpose is to take over Georgia. They need Georgia. They need control of energy routes from Central Asia and the Caspian. They need seaports. They need our transportation infrastructure. And primarily, they want to get rid of us. They want to make regime change. And they want to get rid of any democratic movement in this part of their neighborhood. That's it, period.

    Any chance for a negotiated settlement?
    We are looking to Europe and the U.S. Russia has broken every possible rule of behavior. But Russia depends heavily on Europe in many respects. And on the United States. Russia is behaving like a rogue state. It is not mainstream behavior for anybody.

  2. #2
    Ray
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    Saaskavelli is a person who has lost his bearings.

    The Russo-Georgian War and the Balance of Power | Stratfor

    The US is not weak, it is really weaker than what one can believe!

    What a pathetic state for a superpower to be in.

    India has put all her eggs in the US basket and so it is scary!!


    "Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."

    I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.

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    Dirty Kiwi Parihaka's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ray View Post
    Saaskavelli is a person who has lost his bearings.

    The Russo-Georgian War and the Balance of Power | Stratfor

    The US is not weak, it is really weaker than what one can believe!

    What a pathetic state for a superpower to be in.

    India has put all her eggs in the US basket and so it is scary!!
    Maintaining a standing army of 140,000 in Iraq, another 50,000 in Afghanistan, 30,000 in Korea and god knows how many others around the world, as well as the largest nuclear arsenal in the world, along with 11 carrier battle groups and associated Marines forces, an Airforce whose frames outnumber the rest of the world combined, and whose top 30 Airframes could wipe the floor with any other Airforce in the world, which is currently conducting two separate wars while all the while guaranteeing the security of Europe, Korea, Japan and Taiwan, and you think they're in a pathetic state?
    Would you prefer they started world war III by direct battle with Russian forces?

    As for the Stratfor article,
    On the night of Thursday, Aug. 7, forces of the Republic of Georgia drove across the border of South Ossetia, a secessionist region of Georgia that has functioned as an independent entity since the fall of the Soviet Union. The forces drove on to the capital, Tskhinvali, which is close to the border. Georgian forces got bogged down while trying to take the city. In spite of heavy fighting, they never fully secured the city, nor the rest of South Ossetia.

    On the morning of Aug. 8, Russian forces entered South Ossetia, using armored and motorized infantry forces along with air power
    they forgot to mention that Russian forces were already in South Ossetia shelling Georgian villages before the Georgians attacked.
    It (the article) went down hill from there. Or did they think artillery pieces and SAM's grow on trees?

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    Ray
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    Quote Originally Posted by Parihaka View Post
    Maintaining a standing army of 140,000 in Iraq, another 50,000 in Afghanistan, 30,000 in Korea and god knows how many others around the world, as well as the largest nuclear arsenal in the world, along with 11 carrier battle groups and associated Marines forces, an Airforce whose frames outnumber the rest of the world combined, and whose top 30 Airframes could wipe the floor with any other Airforce in the world, which is currently conducting two separate wars while all the while guaranteeing the security of Europe, Korea, Japan and Taiwan, and you think they're in a pathetic state?
    Would you prefer they started world war III by direct battle with Russian forces?

    As for the Stratfor article,

    they forgot to mention that Russian forces were already in South Ossetia shelling Georgian villages before the Georgians attacked.
    It (the article) went down hill from there. Or did they think artillery pieces and SAM's grow on trees?
    You fail to see the point.

    Possibly, since you are not a military man you will not be able to realise that with all that resources to screw up everything is the acme of incompetence!!

    Do google and find out what is Principles of War! Having understood that, apply it to the situation!

    Shelling was from both sides. What’s the big deal?

    That is my point. The US guarantees the world to all and sundry, but when the chips are
    down, they can’t put the money where their mouth is.

    Ask Taiwan and her requirement of aircraft, just for starters!!

    You are an age old ally, but India is a new one and that too very edgy. Georgia does not instil confidence!

    US does not have the resources to start WWIII. Let such a grandiose idea not take hold of you!

    Statfor is a Western entity.

    Loyalty is fine, but to be blind is unforgivable!


    "Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."

    I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.

    HAKUNA MATATA

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    Dirty Kiwi Parihaka's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ray View Post
    You fail to see the point.
    I in fact see it exactly Sir
    Quote Originally Posted by Ray View Post
    That is my point. The US guarantees the world to all and sundry, but when the chips are
    down, they can’t put the money where their mouth is
    The US had no security guarantees with Georgia, just as NATO had no security guarantees with them.
    No treaties, nothing.
    Since this is the case, do you mean that everyone the US is friendly with should automatically become their allies? That the US should be obliged to defend everyone it is on friendly terms with? That it is the US's responsibility and duty to defend alone every democracy the world over against any aggressor, regardless of the consequences?
    Israel has far stronger defence ties with Georgia than the US, shouldn't they be the ones to leap to the rescue? How about Turkey, they're Georgia's main trading partner, why aren't you asking them to take on the Russians?

    As regards India, I'm not aware of any mutual defence treaties you've signed with the US, when did you do that?
    Last edited by Parihaka; 13 Aug 08, at 10:56.

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    Ray
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    Quote Originally Posted by Parihaka View Post
    I in fact see it exactly Sir


    The US had no security guarantees with Georgia, just as NATO had no security guarantees with them.
    No treaties, nothing.
    Since this is the case, do you mean that everyone the US is friendly with should automatically become their allies? That the US should be obliged to defend everyone it is on friendly terms with? That it is the US's responsibility and duty to defend alone every democracy the world over against any aggressor, regardless of the consequences?
    Israel has far stronger defence ties with Georgia than the US, shouldn't they be the ones to leap to the rescue? How about Turkey, they're Georgia's main trading partner, why aren't you asking them to take on the Russians?

    As regards India, I'm not aware of any mutual defence treaties you've signed with the US, when did you do that?
    Treaties are not the only issues in life.

    Verbal assurance of things to come are!

    If you give me money and I say I will pay in two months and you believe that, is that not an indication of faith?

    I would not know how you look at it, but yes, I would defend my friends so that my friends know I am dependable and not merely a gasbag!

    Turkey is sure a friend, but then are they capable? People think US is capable, or at least they claim to be so. Indeed, if they are impotent and incapable, then they should say so!
    Last edited by Ray; 13 Aug 08, at 11:17.


    "Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."

    I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.

    HAKUNA MATATA

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    Dirty Kiwi Parihaka's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ray View Post
    Treaties are not the only issues in life.

    Verbal assurance of things to come are!

    If you give me money and I say I will pay in two months and you believe that, is that not an indication of faith?

    I would not know how you look at it, but yes, I would defend my friends so that my friends know I am dependable and not merely a gasbag!

    Turkey is sure a friend, but then are they capable? People think US is capable, or at least they claim to be so. Indeed, if they are impotent and incapable, then they should say so!
    What verbal assurances has the US ever given to Georgia? I'm not aware of any.
    And again, by pitting US troops directly against Russian troops, you risk nuclear war.
    The simple assurance by much of the world apart from America is that somehow it is America's job to defend everyone else, and to take the blame for anything bad that happens in the world.
    Russia invades Georgia, destroys its infrastructure and steals more than half of its territory? Americas fault.

    It is true that the Neo-cons claimed to be the worlds policemen for a short while, but you've never claimed before to be a neo-con)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Parihaka View Post
    What verbal assurances has the US ever given to Georgia? I'm not aware of any.
    And again, by pitting US troops directly against Russian troops, you risk nuclear war.
    The simple assurance by much of the world apart from America is that somehow it is America's job to defend everyone else, and to take the blame for anything bad that happens in the world.
    Russia invades Georgia, destroys its infrastructure and steals more than half of its territory? Americas fault.

    It is true that the Neo-cons claimed to be the worlds policemen for a short while, but you've never claimed before to be a neo-con)
    Bush was there in 2005, said Georgia was an ally, he pushed for Georgia to become a NATO member, sought for and was granted Georgian help in Iraq (per capita probably the highest troop total of all the allies) so why wouldn't Georgia expect help? We gave more help to Kuwait with less assurances.

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    Dirty Kiwi Parihaka's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Herodotus View Post
    Bush was there in 2005, said Georgia was an ally, he pushed for Georgia to become a NATO member, sought for and was granted Georgian help in Iraq (per capita probably the highest troop total of all the allies) so why wouldn't Georgia expect help? We gave more help to Kuwait with less assurances.
    Because it comes down to treaties. That is why America was pushing for Georgia to become part of NATO.
    Condi Rice was here in NZ a few weeks ago and called NZ a "very good friend and ally". Does that mean that America is obliged to come to our defence? Quite the contrary, our military personel can't even come into official contact with the US military without presidential permission.
    We've been in Afghanistan continuously since 4 months after the invasion. Does that entitle us to automatic protection from the US? Hell no, they only signed an FTO with Australia on the condition that New Zealand-sourced goods were specifically excluded.
    All countries behave this way, all countries look after their own interests first and what I can't understand is why so many people worldwide consider America should do all this stuff that they'd never consider their own countries should do. Like start a nuke war for the sake of 4 million peoples pride.
    Plus: it's early days, and there is more than one way to skin a Putin.

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    rj1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Parihaka View Post
    The US had no security guarantees with Georgia, just as NATO had no security guarantees with them.
    No treaties, nothing.
    Since this is the case, do you mean that everyone the US is friendly with should automatically become their allies? That the US should be obliged to defend everyone it is on friendly terms with? That it is the US's responsibility and duty to defend alone every democracy the world over against any aggressor, regardless of the consequences?
    Israel has far stronger defence ties with Georgia than the US, shouldn't they be the ones to leap to the rescue? How about Turkey, they're Georgia's main trading partner, why aren't you asking them to take on the Russians?
    I think you fail to see the fact that no one does anything for free.

    Why were Georgian troops in Iraq? It's not like Georgians give a s*** about Iraqis. It's not like they care if they're run by a dictator or if it's semi-democratic. It's not like they go down because they find the risk of getting blown up fun. We weren't paying them to do it, so they weren't mercenaries. Georgia had 2000 troops to help the U.S. complete their objective so they could receive something in return. When Turkey received a terrorist attack from Kurdish militants, Georgia did not send troops to southeastern Turkey to help them fight off Kurdish terrorists.

    And if you're going to argue "the U.S. never agreed to give them anything concrete", fine, but you're pretty much arguing that the U.S. in the future should do everything it wants to do in the geopolitical arena in international isolation because no one will receive anything in return for helping us to achieve our objectives.
    Last edited by rj1; 13 Aug 08, at 19:19.

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    rj1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Herodotus View Post
    Bush was there in 2005, said Georgia was an ally, he pushed for Georgia to become a NATO member, sought for and was granted Georgian help in Iraq (per capita probably the highest troop total of all the allies) so why wouldn't Georgia expect help? We gave more help to Kuwait with less assurances.
    I saw Bush's statement from 2005 last night. The Daily Show with Jon Stewart played it to make a satirical point. I think the video is in this link:

    MilkandCookies - Daily Show: Anti-Olympic Update: Path of Freedom

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    Ray
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    [QUOTE]
    Quote Originally Posted by Parihaka View Post
    What verbal assurances has the US ever given to Georgia? I'm not aware of any.
    I am sure that you would not have been there.

    Do you think that Saaskavelli is that daft and insane as to take on Russia and her military might on her own?

    It is like NZ taking on China!!

    And again, by pitting US troops directly against Russian troops, you risk nuclear war.
    The simple assurance by much of the world apart from America is that somehow it is America's job to defend everyone else, and to take the blame for anything bad that happens in the world.
    Russia invades Georgia, destroys its infrastructure and steals more than half of its territory? Americas fault.
    If it is not US' and NATO job to defend those who are keen to join them, then they should shut up and not aggravate the situation!

    What's the big deal?

    It is true that the Neo-cons claimed to be the worlds policemen for a short while, but you've never claimed before to be a neo-con)
    It is Cheney who claims to be God, not merely a Neo con. I don't believe in religion and hence I refuse to be in their league since there is nothing called God and religion. There is just a supernatural force that created the universe and I have no clue as to what it is!! )


    "Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."

    I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.

    HAKUNA MATATA

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    Field mechanik Senior Contributor omon's Avatar
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    nothing is supernatural, just beyond human comprehention.
    "Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote!" B. Franklin

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    Sir,

    We have Ukrainians on this board who stated that they were not counting on American help whatsoever. If they did ask for help, we were certainly not prepared to give it.

    Sir, no NATO unit was ever given any warning order. That is a minimum if anyone expects us to help. The only thing I found strange was that the USAF found the airlift for 2000 troops overnight.
    Chimo

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    Ray
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    Quote Originally Posted by Officer of Engineers View Post
    Sir,

    We have Ukrainians on this board who stated that they were not counting on American help whatsoever. If they did ask for help, we were certainly not prepared to give it.

    Sir, no NATO unit was ever given any warning order. That is a minimum if anyone expects us to help. The only thing I found strange was that the USAF found the airlift for 2000 troops overnight.
    Ask them who organised their revolution?

    Colonel, you are a military man and you look at this straight.

    When you are from a huge country with a whole lot of hassle and chicanery as India, you learn to read the tea leaves.

    It is our British military traditions that we proudly uphold that has not made us Pakistan!
    Last edited by Ray; 13 Aug 08, at 21:43.


    "Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."

    I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.

    HAKUNA MATATA

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