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Thread: Iranian oil, arms, sanctions ... and China's "Crazy Yang"

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    Iranian oil, arms, sanctions ... and China's "Crazy Yang"

    LOL, Chinese capitalism at its best!




    Iranian oil, arms, sanctions ... and China's "Crazy Yang"

    Iranian oil, arms, sanctions ... and China's Crazy Yang | Reuters

    Analysis & Opinion

    Ferretti’s yachts find fitting berth in China
    China will fudge Iran oil sanctions


    By Chen Aizhu

    BEIJING | Fri Jan 13, 2012 5:07am EST

    Jan 13 (Reuters) - A Chinese firm hit by U.S. sanctions as Washington turns the screw on Iran's nuclear program was founded in the mid-1990s by a hard-drinking trader from a military background who regales dinner companions with how he spent much of his youth in a mental hospital.

    Yang Qinglong, who calls himself "Crazy Yang", set up Zhuhai Zhenrong Corp in around 1995 after "high-level military friends" let it be known they wanted someone to formally import crude oil from Iran. At the time, Iran was supplying oil to China to pay for arms supplied by Beijing during the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq war.

    Zhuhai Zhenrong, now headed by Zhang Dongquan, an altogether steadier upstream oil man from China's Yumen oilfield, was the biggest supplier of refined petroleum products back to Iran, according to the U.S. State Department, which has also slapped sanctions on two other energy trading companies.

    The Chinese oil trader - which for years imported Iranian crude to sell to state-run refiners such as China Petroleum and Chemical Corp (Sinopec) and PetroChina - brokered the delivery of more than $500 million in gasoline to Iran between July 2010 and January 2011, contravening U.S. sanctions law, the State Department said.

    Analysts say the U.S. sanctions are largely symbolic given that Zhenrong is unlikely to have much U.S. business exposure.

    AN ACCIDENTAL TRADER

    Yang, now in his 60s and an adviser to Zhenrong, got into the oil business by chance.

    His home province of Yunnan, landlocked in China's southwest and near the Myanmar border, was so short of fuel in the early 1990s that local authorities offered officials cash if they could lay their hands on gasoline or diesel for the province.

    Using his network of contacts, Yang was soon shipping oil from Daqing oilfield, the nation's biggest crude producer, to the little-known Jiujiang refinery, then owned by state-run China Petrochemical Corp, or Sinopec Group, parent Sinopec , in eastern China, and trucking the processed products back to Yunnan.

    "That's how he made his first pot of gold," said a former Zhenrong trader, who asked not be named because of the sensitivity of the subject.

    Former colleagues attribute Yang's success over the years to his eloquence, consummate networking skills and ambition.

    When the military came calling for a conduit to Tehran, Yang, clad in his trademark army-green jacket and with a matching canvas bag slung over his shoulder, beat off rivals to become China's exclusive importer of Iranian oil.

    Yang first visited Tehran in July 1995, and was introduced by China's military to Iran's oil ministry, National Iranian Oil Co (NIOC), the defence ministry and leading Iranian banks.

    Zhenrong - which in mandarin means "boosting military" - was initially attached to the Commission of Science, Technology and Industry for National Defense (COSTIND), which came under the State Council, China's cabinet, and central military committee. One of its tasks was to supervise arms manufacturing and trade.

    In the early days, Yang made his first hires from Sinochem, then China's near monopoly state-run oil trading house, bringing in a crude oil trader and a finance staffer to work at a modest two-storey office in northern Beijing. The rest of the dozen-strong team were mostly fresh out of university and from military families.

    Yang's bedroom was separated from his office in the building by just a toilet.

    In 1998, Zhenrong became a commercial state-run enterprise.

    "GLORY YEAR"

    Zhenrong traders fondly recall the company's "glory year" in 2001, when it imported 11 million tonnes of Iranian crude, or 220,000 barrels per day (bpd) - 16 percent of all China's crude imports that year - coinciding with Sinopec increasing its high-sulphur, or sour crude, processing capacity.

    Iran, between 1999 and 2001, shipped more crude oil than Saudi Arabia to China - partly driven by Yang's own efforts - but by 2002 the Saudis claimed the top slot, supplying China with 228,000 bpd versus Tehran's 213,000 bpd, according to Chinese customs data.

    "Yang's extraordinary personal style, sometimes not logical, sometimes even unreasonable, made his counterparts both awe and respect him," said another former trader who saw Yang in action.

    During one meeting with refinery officials, Yang banged his fist on the table and yelled into the face of a plant official: "Why can't you take the (Iranian) crude? Tell me, is your plant owned by the nationalists or the communists?"

    An official at National Iranian Oil Corp said Yang was a trouble-shooter. "He may get drunk and tell lots of jokes, but he's politically powerful. He solves problems," he said, recalling also how Yang would greet his Iranian peers by lifting them up and carrying them in his arms.

    In quieter moments, colleagues say Yang is something of a bookworm and movie-buff. They say he has read and re-read biographies on Napoleon and Hitler and the 18th century Chinese classic 'A Dream of Red Mansions'. He took staff to the cinema to watch 'Gladiator' and 'Saving Private Ryan'.

    CHANGING TACK

    From around 2006, Zhenrong has faced competition from Unipec, the trading arm of Sinopec, though it has kept its Iranian oil liftings at around 240,000 bpd - about 5 percent of China's current total imports. Unipec last year signed up some 265,000 bpd from Iran, including condensate.

    The rise of Unipec, which last year bought and traded a total of over 3 million bpd of crude oil, sparked talk that Zhenrong could be folded into a larger state-owned firm, simply as a crude oil desk.

    "There was a great deal of uncertainty over Zhenrong's future. At one point, there were rumours that six bigger companies were eager to swallow up Zhenrong," said a company source, who asked not be named due to company policy. "If the company doesn't grow up fast enough, that could become true."

    Under Zhang, however, Zhenrong is now looking to broaden its business beyond petroleum trading, and is scouting for upstream opportunities in Canada and Malaysia. It has a string of strategic alliances with Chinese state banks to secure credit.

    But, with no assets or expertise either upstream or downstream, it could be a tough challenge for a company that, at its core, has 10 people trading Iranian crude and bringing in around 80 million yuan ($12.66 million) a year.

    Zhuhai Zhenrong's refined fuel business, including gasoline sales to Iran, was largely handled by Guangdong Zhenrong Energy Co. Ltd, a wholly-owned unit set up in 2002. By last year, Zhuhai Zhenrong's stake had dropped to around 40 percent, with ownership passing to a group of unknown state-backed companies.

    Headquartered in Guangzhou, in southern China, Guangdong Zhenrong is led by Xiong Shaohui, an ex-official of China's Ministry of Commerce whose job was to manage the country's tightly state-controlled oil import quotas.

    Xiong, 45, hails from the same southwestern resort city of Dali as Yang, and was his protege, sharing a love for Chinese liquor, poetry and martial arts.

    The Guangdong firm was a regular buyer of Iranian fuel oil until 2008, working with Singapore Tianbao Trading, Zhenrong's chartering arm based in the Asian oil hub.

    In mid-2011, Xiong's team joined Chinese state energy giants selling gasoline cargoes to Iran, stepping into a void left by Western fuel suppliers that halted shipments because they were wary of U.S. sanctions.

    Asked about the potential impact from U.S. sanctions, current and former Zhenrong officials appear nonchalant.

    "Sanctioning Zhenrong? How? The company does not have any U.S. assets. On foreign currency payments? They can easily find a solution on that," said the second former Zhenrong trader. (Editing by Ian Geoghegan)
    “the misery of being exploited by capitalists is nothing compared to the misery of not being exploited at all” -- Joan Robinson

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    The sanction is not about stopping Iran from exporting oil completely but to reduce its revenue. If companies like Zhenrong can force Iran to sell oil at a much cheaper price and buy gas at a higher price then it would be a victory already. In this case, we hope Chinese capitalism could really be at its best.

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    If we think about it, China itself is contributing to the sanctions. They are demanding lower rates for crude which means Iran is still giving more and recieving less. Got to take what you can get as far as cooperation. You know what they say...If you chose not to decide you still have made a choice. The Chinese chose to pay less.
    Fortitude.....The strength to persist...The courage to endure.

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    Why other countries must follow your sanction to some country.

    World Police.

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    CG, you still have much to learn -- a nuke armed iran and a destabilized middle east is far from China's best interest since China imports much of her oil from that region.
    “the misery of being exploited by capitalists is nothing compared to the misery of not being exploited at all” -- Joan Robinson

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    Quote Originally Posted by CommunistDragon View Post
    Why other countries must follow your sanction to some country.

    World Police.
    No one said they must. It just happens to be in the interests of most countries to do so.

    Also, this looks almost like a troll remark. Almost.

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    LOL, make money, not friends.


    Some traders suspect China's increased buying of alternatives may be a ploy to bolster its bargaining position in the supply talks with Tehran.



    Exclusive: China buys up Saudi, Russian oil to squeeze Iran
    Exclusive: China buys up Saudi, Russian oil to squeeze Iran | Reuters
    (Reuters) - China is scouring the world for alternative oil supplies to replace a fall in its imports from Iran, as it seeks to negotiate lower prices from Tehran, and has been drawing heavily on Saudi Arabia.

    Industry sources told Reuters that Beijing had bought the bulk of an increase in crude oil supplies from top oil exporter Saudi Arabia in the last few months.

    The world's second-largest oil consumer is also importing more cargoes from West Africa, Russia and Australia to replace reduced supplies from Iran.

    China is the top buyer of Iranian oil, taking around 20 percent of its total exports, but since January it has cut purchases by around 285,000 barrels per day (bpd), or just over half of the total daily amount it imported in 2011.

    Saudi Arabian output reached 9.76 million barrels per day (bpd) in December, up 360,000 bpd from October, OPEC data show, and has remained near that level in January, according to a Reuters survey. Several sources in the oil industry said China has bought a good part of the extra oil.

    "On average, Saudi exports went up by 200,000 barrels per day and this went to the East, overwhelmingly to China," said one of the sources, a senior executive with the trading arm of a U.S. oil company.

    A source familiar with the matter, who declined to be identified by name, also said the kingdom had been supplying about an extra 200,000 bpd to China since November.

    Oil traders believe Unipec, the trading arm of China's top refiner Sinopec Corp. (0386.HK), has been using a flexibility clause in deals, known as tolerance, to buy more oil under term contracts, especially as Saudi official selling prices in the past two months have been attractive.

    "Under the current circumstances, it is necessary to use the tolerance to adjust lifting volumes," a Chinese oil trader said.

    Unipec declined to comment.

    Official Chinese data also show an increase in crude oil imports from Saudi Arabia in the last few months, but on a smaller scale than the rise given by the industry sources.

    China imported 1.12 million bpd of crude from Saudi Arabia in December, customs data show, down from 1.17 million bpd in November. That is still up from October's 1.07 million bpd.

    "GAMBLING'

    Industry sources were unsure if the trend towards higher supplies from Saudi and others would continue, once China finishes negotiations with Iran over term purchasing contracts.

    Some traders suspect China's increased buying of alternatives may be a ploy to bolster its bargaining position in the supply talks with Tehran. Iran is keen to secure customers as new EU sanctions banning its oil, designed to discourage the country's nuclear program, add to U.S. measures.

    Officials from the two countries were expected to hold talks as early as this week in Beijing.

    "Unipec is gambling now," said a Beijing-based oil trader. "If the Iranian side can compromise and reach a term deal, Unipec will get a large volume of crude at favorable prices, offsetting the premiums it paid to buy alternative oil over the past months."

    Those alternatives include Unipec's purchase of five Russian ESPO cargoes, or 3.65 million barrels, for March loading at a premium of around $6.00 a barrel to Dubai quotes, traders said. Unipec also bought a cargo of Russian Urals crude, which will arrive in China around March.

    "ESPO are all spot cargoes and are close to China. Buying ESPO is practical and easy to handle," a trader said.

    As well as crude, Unipec has bought four shipments of Australian North West Shelf (NWS) condensate and Bayu Undan condensate from the Timor Sea for March to fill in for lower Iranian supplies.

    A Reuters survey of oil flows from West Africa on Monday suggested Asia's imports of crude from the region are at a record high.

    Even so, China still needs Iranian oil and even Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries do not have the capacity to replace it.

    With production believed to be around 9.75 million bpd in January, Saudi Arabia holds about 2.75 million bpd of idle production capacity to meet any sudden shortages - less than Iran's output of 3.5 million bpd. Saudi holds the world's only significant unused capacity.

    "Iranian crude is important," said an official at a Chinese state oil firm, who declined to be identified. "It is not very easy to replace all Iranian crude."

    (Additional reporting by Nidhi Verma in New Delhi, Chen Aizhu in Beijing, Francis Kan in Singapore and Peg Mackey in London; Editing by Anthony Barker)
    “the misery of being exploited by capitalists is nothing compared to the misery of not being exploited at all” -- Joan Robinson

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    Even so, China still needs Iranian oil and even Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries do not have the capacity to replace it.
    Am wondering whether this is the main reason or whether Asia is unwilling to pay the premiums incurred to replace Iranian oil.

    "Unipec is gambling now," said a Beijing-based oil trader. "If the Iranian side can compromise and reach a term deal, Unipec will get a large volume of crude at favorable prices, offsetting the premiums it paid to buy alternative oil over the past months."
    Idea here is Iranian discounts offset the premiums.

    But if you think about it, there is a break even point where those discounts will not work beyond.

    Simple hypothetical example, Iran offfers a discount of 50%, that means that 50% savings can be used to purchase from other suppliers. Now Iran isn't going to go beyond a certain point. The discounts offered are only to offset the loss of their EU exports. So the discount is more like 10%.

    What this means is Iran will only lose 15% of its revenue. 10% from EU sanctions plus another 5% by discounts. To go beyond requires more countries to sanction iranian oil. But they cannot afford to buy from others at an increased cost. Lets say some are better placed than others.

    So what happens if China sanctions Iran. It just got cheaper for the other Asian countries to buy from Iran. The Iranians will offer another discount to offset the loss from China. So in this way the countres that stick to Iran the longest get to pay continually less for their imports of Iranian oil. This acts as a brake to other countries to sanction iran in the first place.

    Because the big question on every country's mind is for HOW LONG will they have to pay these premiums. How long will these sanctions endure. How long can Iran survive before she comes clean on her nuclear program..

    With production believed to be around 9.75 million bpd in January, Saudi Arabia holds about 2.75 million bpd of idle production capacity to meet any sudden shortages - less than Iran's output of 3.5 million bpd. Saudi holds the world's only significant unused capacity.
    This implies the spare capacity is present but the main question is at what price in the future.
    Last edited by Double Edge; 08 Feb 12, at 11:31.

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