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Thread: China Increasingly Stands Up To U.S

  1. #301
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    Quote Originally Posted by HillWarrior View Post
    But the Nepalese were not willing to irk the Chinese by being the next flag bearers of the Tibetan issue, much less stand up to the Chinese juggernaut.
    Could you have repelled a 40,000 man Chinese army? Not making any statement but just a military eval of your country during the period in question.
    Chimo

  2. #302
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    Quote Originally Posted by Officer of Engineers View Post
    Could you have repelled a 40,000 man Chinese army? Not making any statement but just a military eval of your country during the period in question.
    OOE Sir,

    40,000 strong force? NO WAY could Nepal repel a PLA force that large, especially if it were concentrated on a single front and closing in on the capital! The best hope would probably be a wider front with a thinly stretched PLA division which could be engaged in guerrilla style tactics. This would favor the Nepalese given the difficult terrain which has often made invasion of Nepal only of limited success to both the British in 1812 and the Chinese in 1792. But that was 200 years ago. Now with fighter aircrafts paratroopers could easily be dropped behind enemy lines. It would be a complete walkover...

    Today the total number of military personnel of Nepal numbers 115,000. In the 1950s it was considerably less (Probably 15,000). It was just a ceremonial force with little combat experience except from peace keeping missions. The Chinese would have overran all defenses in a matter of days... The Chinese could just send waves, and waves, and waves of their huge PLA divisions over the Himalayas...
    Totalitarianism-Feudalism in new garbs

  3. #303
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    Thx. Hillwarrior for your excellent post.

    I went to the Muktinath temple in Nepal some time back. There I saw the Tibetans living in Nepal and that was the first time I came to know of the close Nepal Tibetan links.

    Tibetans were also a good presence in Kathmandu. We were given printed posters containing message by his holiness Dalai Lama by the peacefully protesting Tibetans.
    There are 10 kinds of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don’t..

  4. #304
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    Quote Originally Posted by HillTribe View Post
    40,000 strong force? NO WAY could Nepal repel a PLA force that large, especially if it were concentrated on a single front and closing in on the capital! The best hope would probably be a wider front with a thinly stretched PLA division which could be engaged in guerrilla style tactics. This would favor the Nepalese given the difficult terrain which has often made invasion of Nepal only of limited success to both the British in 1812 and the Chinese in 1792. But that was 200 years ago. Now with fighter aircrafts paratroopers could easily be dropped behind enemy lines. It would be a complete walkover...
    Even up to 1979, the PLA was more foot infantry than para. They didn't use para drops in any of their ops, not even in Vietnam.

    Still, my initial gut says it's doable. 15,000 defensive against 40,000 mostly foot infantry since it would be a b!tch and a half dragging artillery through that terrain.

    However, from your post, there was a lack of will ... and that is a show stopper even if you have had 100,000 troops against their 40,000.
    Chimo

  5. #305
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    Quote Originally Posted by Officer of Engineers View Post
    Even up to 1979, the PLA was more foot infantry than para. They didn't use para drops in any of their ops, not even in Vietnam.

    Still, my initial gut says it's doable. 15,000 defensive against 40,000 mostly foot infantry since it would be a b!tch and a half dragging artillery through that terrain.

    However, from your post, there was a lack of will ... and that is a show stopper even if you have had 100,000 troops against their 40,000.
    OOE Sir,

    If they didn't use para drops in Vietnam in 1970's they definitely wouldn't have two decades earlier.

    If it were only infantry and light artillery, the PLA could have been stopped I guess. But then the failure of an infantry division to advance would have prompted the Chinese to commit more troops to the fight and would have had the Chinese retaliate harder.

    The political elite in Nepal only had one interest in mind--securing their privileges. Had the Chinese been stalled, they could stand to risk their privileges and position in the event of an eventual PLA march to Kathmandu as retribution. For them even in the event of an invasion, it would have been a case of better roll over and play dead than fight.
    Totalitarianism-Feudalism in new garbs

  6. #306
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vinod2070 View Post
    Thx. Hillwarrior for your excellent post.

    I went to the Muktinath temple in Nepal some time back. There I saw the Tibetans living in Nepal and that was the first time I came to know of the close Nepal Tibetan links.

    Tibetans were also a good presence in Kathmandu. We were given printed posters containing message by his holiness Dalai Lama by the peacefully protesting Tibetans.
    Vinod Jee
    I am envious now... You have been to Muktinath? I havent been there, although I would like to... I want to visit India and China too and witness in person the progress of our two giant neighbors.
    Totalitarianism-Feudalism in new garbs

  7. #307
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    Quote Originally Posted by HillTribe View Post
    Vinod Jee
    I am envious now... You have been to Muktinath? I havent been there, although I would like to... I want to visit India and China too and witness in person the progress of our two giant neighbors.
    Yes, it was a fine trip. We went to Kathmandu, Pokhra and Jomsom (for Muktinath).

    Good fun, several temples and some casinos.

    I recovered most of my trip cost in the casinos. )
    There are 10 kinds of people in the world, those who understand binary and those who don’t..

  8. #308
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    [QUOTE=subba;719955]
    Yes, because there are Indian posters with all political and religious hues. But then again i repeat t
    Last edited by kyli; 26 Feb 10, at 19:43.

  9. #309
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    Quote Originally Posted by Officer of Engineers View Post
    Ethnic Tibetans still control over 90% of Tibet. The Han-Chinese ... and Hui-Chinese are looking for business licenses, not deeds to the land ... which may also be a bad thing. They control Tibet's economy, not out of malice but to make a buck.

    What the DL inner circle wants and what the Tibetan population wants... and what the CCP wants and what the Chinese population will allow are four different things.

    While I have given you the gist of my understanding of the situation, it is far more complex than a few posts would imply.
    The economic nature of the migrant settlement could imply a choice for not being entirely dependent on the source of income or perhaps a legal/social inability to do so, perhaps suggesting a minimal cultural impact?

    I have witnessed some of the power dalai lama (as a brand ambassador) wields, a place in Delhi used to serve very nice rice beer, till he announced it was not the right thing to do, after which they stopped serving it, and i stopped eating there.

    The few Tibetans i have talked with in India (none of them religious) have very little patience and mostly violent views on the situation, which is strange as i see no real violence in that region, perhaps a sign that their still is a level of control the existing leadership can exercise (a reason helped form the two way migration in the region, to and from Tibet).

    Quote Originally Posted by HillTribe View Post
    Kuku Jee...

    Maybe for India since the newfound benefits of trade between India and China post 1990s.

    But for Nepal, the millennia of contact with the Tibetan culture and people that produced one of the most wonderful syncretic cultures in the world and 1000s of years of unbroken tradition was completely stopped after the Chinese takeover of Tibet. As a result, Nepal was unwittingly pushed further into the orbit of the Indian cultural influence and away from Tibet. Painful as it is to me, I cannot still imagine how much more painful it must be to the Tibetan people.

    The flow of ideas, people, goods etc went both ways. Buddhism was introduced into Tibet from Nepal by the Nepalese princess Bhrikuti Devi (600 CE) and later exported back to Nepal after a couple of centuries in a much refined form when Hinduism was in its ascendancy. This produced the fusion of Hindu and Buddhist faiths that is most obvious among the Newari people native to Kathmandu.

    Not just cultural flow but trade and commerce was pretty robust too. The India-Tibet trade route passed through Kathmandu and eventually merged into the silk route (as long the silk route was in existence). Even as late as the 1900s, Nepalese coins were used in Tibet and many Nepalese businessmen, commonly referred to as "Lhasa Shahu" (Lhasa businessmen) held stakes in Tibet and vice versa. Intermarriage was also common.

    The reasons for the Anglo-Nepal war of 1814-1816 was not just the belligerence of the Gurkha power in the hills (that combined with the Sikhs and Maratthas in the plains held the extremely dangerous proposition, from the British perspective, of ousting the British from India), but also the lucrative Tibetan trade which the British wanted to get a slice of. If the Gurkhas were cut down to size and driven away from Sikkim, Uttaranchal and Himachal, then the British could get in on the action:trade with Tibet.

    After Big Red took over, Tibet was essentially quarantined from Nepal. Where previously people were free to just move freely to and fro across the border, now PLA border guards manned the border treating everyone as a potential subversive. All contact with Tibet was brought to a trickle and gradually the trickle turned into a complete cessation.

    The Nepalese government completely incompetent and totally weak had always relied on its doctrine of balancing the Chinese against the Indians, and thus cancelling any threat to its sovereignty. This doctrine of balance was followed by all states that formed around the present day Nepal since medieval times and especially since the founding of the modern Nepalese nation state in 1776 . Nepal left Tibetans to their own devices after that, as did the rest of the world. But given the blood relationship, so to speak, between the two nations, Nepal could at least have taken a stand on the issue. But the Nepalese were not willing to irk the Chinese by being the next flag bearers of the Tibetan issue, much less stand up to the Chinese juggernaut.

    Tibet was abandoned in the hope of business with China, investment from China, which never materialized. On the contrary Nepal lost big time when Tibet was lost to China... Worst yet, Nepal saw itself being nothing more than the errand boy of China. It cracked down mercilessly on the Tibetan monks during the Beijing Olympics under intense Chinese pressure without getting anything in return-- Business, Trade, Investment... Nothing!

    Nepal lost, lost, lost after Tibet was annexed...Negligible trade and no contact with Tibet post 1950s. Even the much touted Kathmandu-Lhasa bus runs empty. Just too much hassle to travel to Lhasa now with every Nepalese being suspected of being a Tibetan sympathizer.

    Not to say India did not loose. India did too, but the loss could be in the process of turning into some big gains for India now. Trade with China could be well into US $60 Bn and rising, fast. So the Tibet issue is as good as dead and buried for the Indians as it is for the Western governments. It would be stupid to upset the apple cart of 1 Bn+ strong market...
    Well warrior z,

    As you said India did loose, generations of my ancestors relied on trade with Tibet through the niti mana pass, a way of life that is forever lost to the times(not that i think of it as a bad thing, only prepared us for the future before anyone else: future being education), and as we did so did a huge community of people who shared a border with Tibet, occasionally information about Tibetans living in India who were (and still are) trained and operational in India with one of the primary purpose of carrying out certain duties across the border if the need arises.

    As you state the trade and good relations with PRC are now much more important than the Tibetan cause, and from what i have read it seems to be true of both India and Nepal.

    Several MPs in the Indian parliament are elected from regions quite sensitive on the Tibet issue, the rest would have absolutely no options on the issue.
    cheers

  10. #310
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    Quote Originally Posted by subba View Post
    Yes, because there are Indian posters with all political and religious hues. But then again i repeat there's been no complain against monks in these regions i have come across being high handed and feudal. Indeed the feudalism you describe and 'Karma' are/ were prevalent in Indian and Tibetan societies 60 years ago and maybe some instances here. But to translate that to another totalitarian regime bringing enlightenment and freedom is too much of a stretch to digest.
    Nevertheless, he is still an Indian.
    Subba, you are trying to portray that the Monks have 100% support of the population. I have lived long enough to realize that it is imposslble.

    I never depict this as an enlightenment and liberation. I am only saying that the CPP has effectively changed the Tibetan society. It could be described or called as just an attempt to divide and conquer, ideology war, or whatever you want. In the end, the serfdom is abolished, and that is a good thing.


    As societies emerged from a purely agricultural one, peasants and serf had opportunities to move out in all societies. So trumpeting that the PRC succeeded in breaking feudal structures sounds hollow to me. Why do you think an independent Tibet would not have done so with changing times? That's why i said cultural societies similar to Tibet have no such problems to day. Bhutan is the richest country in South Asia and has the highest happiness index in the world, the lowest crime rate. So i would say this point made is more the PRC line than anything else.
    In order to emerge from a purely feudalism's society, there have to be structures change. And any change that undermines the interests of the monks and Tibetans' upper class would be resisted. Consequently, without wars, revolutions, or reforms, there would not be changed.

    The thirteen Dalai Lama had demonstrated that he would rather weaken his army and losing a war than reform. He had basically ended any reform by disbanding the British trained officials. After his death, the monks and the upper class had actually punished the reformers in the most brutal ways. Secondly, the thirteen Dalai Lama felt more comfortable to deal with KMT than the Western nations, because he believed that western ideologies were a threat to his power and authority. From this onward, the Tibet had limited any contact with western nations.

    Lastly, China has a very high happy index, and many middle east nations are very weathy. Do these make them model societies? Your point proved nothing.

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