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Thread: China will be a democracy by 2020!

  1. #196
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    7th,

    Basic freedoms.
    well, given the extensive restrictions on civil and political freedoms of even fifty years ago...

    i suspect you are thinking of the supposed golden age of the reagan era, but even then, sucks if you were a minority or a woman. they only started to penetrate the power structure in the mid-90s.

    I'm white. MY rights were not restricted 100 years ago
    depends, are you also ASP? more importantly, are you also landed, wealthy, with connections to the east coast old families?

    Elites still had to find someone to lord over. That's ALL of us now, Brother!
    actually, i find the biggest threat doesn't come from washington, as washington has the tendency to pander towards the middle-class. the worst threat comes from something a good deal more insidious, ie the expanding difference between the rich and the poor. even after the recession, the gap is the biggest since 1929.

    so the next time Wall Street screws the pooch, i doubt main street will accept another bailout...which could very well mean a massive self-inflicted wound to our financial system AND a truly populist president looking to punish the corporations. i'm surprised at how absolutely tone-deaf they are.
    The human mind cannot grasp the causes of phenomena in the aggregate. But the need to find these causes is inherent in man’s soul. And the human intellect, without investigating the multiplicity and complexity of the conditions of phenomena, any one of which taken separately may seem to be the cause, snatches at the first, the most intelligible approximation to a cause, and says: “This is the cause!"

    -Leo Tolstoy
    War and Peace

  2. #197
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    CKS still has fans in HongKong,

    yesterday's Anti-PRC march in Hongkong as reported from PRC

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  3. #198
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    Really big trouble to the Central Government。When I watch the news on CCTV,they‘re enjoying the glorious parade,no one can dare to report this news to destruct the atmosphere

  4. #199
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luke Gu View Post
    Really big trouble to the Central Government。When I watch the news on CCTV,they‘re enjoying the glorious parade,no one can dare to report this news to destruct the atmosphere
    On this incident, there were only few hundreds marchers. Pro-PRC marchers were numbered in hundreds of thousand in HongKong for the Oct 1st party, but folks in China paid attend to the few hundred instead. (which is a welcome sign)

  5. #200
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    Pro-PRC marchers were numbered in hundreds of thousand in HongKong for the Oct 1st party, but folks in China paid attend to the few hundred instead.
    The public media just pay attention to Pro-PRC marchers 。As for folks paid attend to the few hundred instead,I think most Chinese don't know it。
    XinHui,you know many things about China,so I think you also know many
    Anti-governmental organizations regard HongKong as a base In modern Chinese history,I don't think the Central Government will feel nothing about it。

  6. #201
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    China will never be a democratic nation, not with 1.3+ billion people.

    Imagine how much money must be spent campaigning for candidates from different parties months before the election day, and the garbage these campaigns generate. Looking at the mess each time there's an election in Taiwan and Canada, I can't help but to think the mess will be 100x worse in China.

    Chinese in the countryside are not well educated, even if CCP is kicked out of its seat, corruption will remain. Bribing the poorly-educated farmers with 100 RMB (if not less) to vote for a particular candidate is inevitable. Farmers don't care who gets elected, they see whatever that's most immediate to them. Money >>>>>> a nation's bright future. With countless counties and villages to look over, how do you ensure the votes are counted properly, and no bribery is involved?

    If China does become democratic, which democratic system should it adopt? A fixed four-year term of office? Or a parliamentary system like Canada, which allows the PM to dissolve the parliament and call an election whenever he feels confident that he'll be re-elected? If China applies the former, it means its citizens could be stuck with a crappy leader for four years before they could choose someone else (eg. Chen Shui-bian). If it's the later, can you really call it democracy, when the president (or PM in Canada's case) is manipulating the nation to his advantage? If China uses a completely different democratic system, there are bound to be more problems than the tried-and-true formulae used by other "democratic" nations. With 1.3+ billion people, a single conflict could destabilize China and bring chaos to the land.

    The current system in China works well. With a communist shell and a capitalist core. As China becomes more economically developed, internal changes will restructure its political system. People will have more freedom of speech, human rights, and all that craps Western nations demand from China. But for the Chinese, some form of control MUST be present, it's rooted in the 5000 years of Chinese history.

  7. #202
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    is me, or I want my cake and eat it too.

  8. #203
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luke Gu View Post
    XinHui,you know many things about China,so I think you also know many
    Anti-governmental organizations regard HongKong as a base In modern Chinese history,I don't think the Central Government will feel nothing about it。
    The more the better. Believe or not , even in today's China, civil feed-back-mechanism do exist -- Remember the "green-damn internet filter"? the Chinese government backed down due to negative reactions from social groups and hi-tech companies within China.

    While foreign criticism from NYT, Fox news still has no impact on the policy making process in China, but loud outcry (especially from the crying mothers and powerful business groups) from Hongkong, Macou and, to some extend, ROC do.

  9. #204
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    Quote Originally Posted by yangxu View Post
    China will never be a democratic nation, not with 1.3+ billion people.

    Imagine how much money must be spent campaigning for candidates from different parties months before the election day, and the garbage these campaigns generate. Looking at the mess each time there's an election in Taiwan and Canada, I can't help but to think the mess will be 100x worse in China.

    Chinese in the countryside are not well educated, even if CCP is kicked out of its seat, corruption will remain. Bribing the poorly-educated farmers with 100 RMB (if not less) to vote for a particular candidate is inevitable. Farmers don't care who gets elected, they see whatever that's most immediate to them. Money >>>>>> a nation's bright future. With countless counties and villages to look over, how do you ensure the votes are counted properly, and no bribery is involved?

    If China does become democratic, which democratic system should it adopt? A fixed four-year term of office? Or a parliamentary system like Canada, which allows the PM to dissolve the parliament and call an election whenever he feels confident that he'll be re-elected? If China applies the former, it means its citizens could be stuck with a crappy leader for four years before they could choose someone else (eg. Chen Shui-bian). If it's the later, can you really call it democracy, when the president (or PM in Canada's case) is manipulating the nation to his advantage? If China uses a completely different democratic system, there are bound to be more problems than the tried-and-true formulae used by other "democratic" nations. With 1.3+ billion people, a single conflict could destabilize China and bring chaos to the land.

    The current system in China works well. With a communist shell and a capitalist core. As China becomes more economically developed, internal changes will restructure its political system. People will have more freedom of speech, human rights, and all that craps Western nations demand from China. But for the Chinese, some form of control MUST be present, it's rooted in the 5000 years of Chinese history.
    I hate your idea。

  10. #205
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    Quote Originally Posted by xinhui View Post
    The more the better. Believe or not , even in today's China, civil feed-back-mechanism do exist -- Remember the "green-damn internet filter"? the Chinese government backed down due to negative reactions from social groups and hi-tech companies within China.

    While foreign criticism from NYT, Fox news still has no impact on the policy making process in China, but loud outcry (especially from the crying mothers and powerful business groups) from Hongkong, Macou and, to some extend, ROC do.
    Yes,it‘s a good phenomenon。We need establish a system to supervise the government so that Government officials will not be too presumptuous 。As the economic develop I think things will go better。

  11. #206
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luke Gu View Post
    I hate your idea。
    Too bad, accept the fact.

  12. #207
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    Too bad, accept the fact.
    Accept what fact?Your idea is full of that democratic isn't suitable to China and look down upon the farmers。Or maybe also have that idea :we need time improve people's wisdom so that they won't be so fool choose a Bad dictator as their chairman。Do you have any new idea about it?All your idea I’ve heard before。

  13. #208
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    yangxu,

    But for the Chinese, some form of control MUST be present, it's rooted in the 5000 years of Chinese history.
    If China applies the former, it means its citizens could be stuck with a crappy leader for four years before they could choose someone else (eg. Chen Shui-bian)
    seriously, which do you want? choice or control? as i recall, china's current system means you get the worst of both worlds, ie you got mao zedong screwing over china for a good twenty years before he finally kicked the bucket.

    even today, with relatively competent leaders, china's legal and political systems are reaching the limits of its ability to placate the people given the rising number of mass incidents and complaints of local corruption.
    The human mind cannot grasp the causes of phenomena in the aggregate. But the need to find these causes is inherent in man’s soul. And the human intellect, without investigating the multiplicity and complexity of the conditions of phenomena, any one of which taken separately may seem to be the cause, snatches at the first, the most intelligible approximation to a cause, and says: “This is the cause!"

    -Leo Tolstoy
    War and Peace

  14. #209
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luke Gu View Post
    Accept what fact?Your idea is full of that democratic isn't suitable to China
    Well then explain how democracy could effectively work in a 1.3+ billion nation, genius.

    Quote Originally Posted by Luke Gu View Post
    and look down upon the farmers.
    I don't look down on farmers, they are poorly educated and that's reality.

    Quote Originally Posted by Luke Gu View Post
    Or maybe also have that idea :we need time improve people's wisdom so that they won't be so fool choose a Bad dictator as their chairman。Do you have any new idea about it?All your idea I’ve heard before。
    Do I have new idea about what? Please rephrase your words more clearly, I don't understand which question you are trying to tackle here.

    If you're talking about education over time, sure, it'll happen slowly. But will a large proportion of Chinese become educated by the end of 2020? No.

    What happens when peasants become educated? They use that wisdom of theirs to carry out disgusting things like creating fake eggs with chemicals, adding strictly prohibited chemicals to foods, finding ways to pass QC or QA tests even though the foods aren't exactly safe to consume, and generating more cases like Sanlu Milk.

    Moral values are more important than education. You can be the smartest guy in China, but if you use it for crimes, that's never going to help the nation grow, nor will it move China towards democracy. Chinese people, regardless whether they are scholars or peasants, lack the basic moral quality. If you can't deal with this basic problem, stepping into democracy will only hasten China's downfall.

  15. #210
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    Quote Originally Posted by yangxu View Post
    Chinese people, regardless whether they are scholars or peasants, lack the basic moral quality.
    Wow, a whole race of people lacking the moral 'gene'.
    So yangxu, Chinese leaders must be imported from abroad if you want moral leadership then?
    Socialism is simply the Collective denial of responsibility.

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