China population to peak at 1.5bn

Jay · 10-27-2004, 14:08 PM

China population to peak at 1.5bn

Beijing: China's population, already the largest in the world, will peak at 1.46 billion in 30 years, straining the country's healthcare system, putting pressure on jobs, and gobbling up a greater share of the world's food and energy resources. The demographic forecast was made by the nation's family planning chief, who said the country's one-child policy would not lead to a reduction in overall numbers until the mid-2030s. Zhang Weiqing, director of the State Population and Family Planning Commission, told a symposium in Shanghai over the weekend that the number of people living in China would continue to rise by 10 million a year. The biggest short-term threat is of destabilising unemployment as millions are added to the workforce every year until 2020, when the working age population will peak at 940 million.

- Guardian Newspapers Limited 2004

Fonnicker · 10-27-2004, 14:21 PM

I read somewhere that China's population growth was such that if they were to lock arms five abreast and steadily walk into the ocean, their population would never decrease.

Jay · 10-27-2004, 15:06 PM

well, in that case India is not far behind

Praxus · 10-27-2004, 15:25 PM

It's not going to "strain" energy and natural reasources. There is more oil in the Rockey Mountains in the form of tar pits and the like then there is in Saudia Arabia. As demand increases the supply of cheap oil will not be sufficient which will force technological innovation which makes the harvesting of the other sources of oil just as cheap if not cheaper, furthermore it will spur investment in technology that allows the oil companies to get more then 35% of the oil in the wells.

Besides oil what natural resources would be "strained"?

List · 10-28-2004, 10:02 AM

That isn't a high population growth rate. We're talking about an 11% increase in population over 30 years. That's pretty low.

10-27-2004, 14:08 PM	#1 (permalink)
Jay Tamizhanban *Senior Contributor* Join Date: 08-06-03 Location: Edison, NJ Posts: 6,331 Country:	China population to peak at 1.5bn China population to peak at 1.5bn Beijing: China's population, already the largest in the world, will peak at 1.46 billion in 30 years, straining the country's healthcare system, putting pressure on jobs, and gobbling up a greater share of the world's food and energy resources. The demographic forecast was made by the nation's family planning chief, who said the country's one-child policy would not lead to a reduction in overall numbers until the mid-2030s. Zhang Weiqing, director of the State Population and Family Planning Commission, told a symposium in Shanghai over the weekend that the number of people living in China would continue to rise by 10 million a year. The biggest short-term threat is of destabilising unemployment as millions are added to the workforce every year until 2020, when the working age population will peak at 940 million. - Guardian Newspapers Limited 2004 __________________ A grain of wheat eclipsed the sun of Adam !!

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10-27-2004, 15:06 PM	#3 (permalink)
Jay Tamizhanban *Senior Contributor* Join Date: 08-06-03 Location: Edison, NJ Posts: 6,331 Country:	well, in that case India is not far behind

10-27-2004, 15:25 PM	#4 (permalink)
Praxus *Senior Contributor* Join Date: 08-26-03 Posts: 3,237	It's not going to "strain" energy and natural reasources. There is more oil in the Rockey Mountains in the form of tar pits and the like then there is in Saudia Arabia. As demand increases the supply of cheap oil will not be sufficient which will force technological innovation which makes the harvesting of the other sources of oil just as cheap if not cheaper, furthermore it will spur investment in technology that allows the oil companies to get more then 35% of the oil in the wells. Besides oil what natural resources would be "strained"?

10-28-2004, 10:02 AM	#5 (permalink)
List Regular Join Date: 06-22-04 Location: Toronto, Canada Posts: 124	That isn't a high population growth rate. We're talking about an 11% increase in population over 30 years. That's pretty low.

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