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  • The Case for Tibet

    The Case for Tibet:
    Re-evaluating America's position on the Tibet Question in the Post 9-11 Era
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    By Adam Masterman August 27, 2003

    Introduction

    Of all the changes wrought upon this nation in the brief span of a few early morning hours in September of 2001, one of the most fundamental and wide reaching has been the re-emergence of foreign affairs as a topic of vital importance to national interest. With all the parallels being drawn between the present conflict and the 2nd World War, possibly the most apt and telling is that, once again, America understands that events abroad can and will affect us in a direct and serious way. This understanding exists in the minds of every citizen as a basic truth, one that 50 years of intermittent wars, experienced by the public only in the collective imaginary sphere of media, allowed us to forget. The events of September 11th have forced America to open her eyes to the world once more, and all of our answers to the standing geopolitical questions are going to have to be re-evaluated in light the seriousness of their implications, which we can no longer ignore. This is already happening to a large degree, for better or worse, throughout the Muslim world, which was the most predictable first response. However, the most basic truth revealed on 9-11; that our fate is inseparable from that of the world at large, demands that we take an active interest (if not an active role, per se) in all of the major geo-political developments occurring in the world today.

    Considering this, one might initially conclude that the issue of Tibet, or "The Tibet Question" as it is commonly referred, should by its seemingly benign nature cease to be a priority (insofar as it is one) to American policy makers. A bare-bones outline of the problem could be presented in such a way as to support this idea:

    Communist China forcibly took control of Tibet over fifty years ago and has ruled there to the present day. The spiritual and secular leader of Tibet, The Dalai Lama, went into political exile in India, along with about 100,000 Tibetans. Currently they are conducting a non-violent strategy for reclaiming a degree of their former sovereignty, a strategy which most of the world vocally supports while it politically ignores; a strategy that seems to be failing.

    Now, the most obvious response to this situation, from the platform of American interest, is that this issue hasn't the potential to affect us directly in any meaningful way, and so while it may garner our sympathy, political capital is better spent on issues more pressing and with a greater probability of affecting us soon and directly. This essay is an attempt to argue the opposite; namely that the Tibet Question is and should be considered important to America. Furthermore, I will argue that a free and independent Tibet will best serve American interests in the region and the world at large. I have organized the remainder of this essay into separate but related defenses of this position, which I believe compel the United States to re-awaken its interest in this question, and soon.

    Location

    "The Roof of the World" stands, quite literally, on the very pinnacle of Asia. All of the major Asian rivers originate there, 12,000 feet above their eventual goal at sea level. To its north lies Russia, to its east, China, and directly south is India; the perennial powers of the continent. Geographically, Tibet is their hub, and for the better part of the recently expired millennium she served as their buffer as well. For a number of geographic reasons, some of which apply to a much lesser degree in the modern times, this large and sparsely populated region has given breathing room to fierce rivals and prevented direct confrontation. The legitimacy of this assertion can be determined by the fact that, despite centuries of animosity, India and China had never fought a significant ground war while Tibet stood between them. Since the Chinese occupation began a mere 50 years ago, they have fought two. The loss of a neutral buffer in central Asia has cranked up the volume on international disputes there, contributing to spiraling destabilization and decreased common security. Ironically, one of our biggest concerns in that region, namely weapons of mass destruction in Muslim nations, can be traced directly back to the fall of independent Tibet, though that is rarely understood or even suggested. Consider: The nuclear escalation between India and Pakistan was of grave concern to the U.S. even before 9-11. Since then, fears have grown about the stability of the Pakistani regime, and whether or not these weapons might fall into the hands of extremists. However, we must remember that Pakistan was, in a sense, prompted into developing nuclear weapons by a surprising and unprecedented public nuclear display by her longtime enemy and neighbor India. Now, the security model of M.A.D. is well known after a half century of the world living under its shaky protection. So why would India, as we perceived, initiate such a dangerous escalation. While the American media was curiously disinclined to speculate on this question, it is actually quite obvious that the intended audience for such displays was not Pakistan at all. It was China.

    China was already a nuclear power, and had been for some time (the exact details of their nuclear program are closely guarded). Furthermore, the acquisition of Tibet gave China a strategic advantage which must, to this day, generate significant alarm in New Delhi: By positioning nuclear missiles in Tibet (now within their sovereign borders), China can target India's capital and many of its centers of population and strategic importance with relatively short range delivery systems. The same is not true for India; even placing missiles at their closest point within Indian sovereignty, there are still more than twice as far from Beijing and other valuable targets. Thus, for India, the nuclear race had already started, and their tests were certainly seen by themselves as an attempt to balance the situation and secure their position relative to China. Of course, given the long-term conflict between India and Pakistan, the Pakistani response was surprising only in that it came so quickly.

    It is an interesting counterfactual to this analysis to note that, had India invaded and occupied Tibet, the situation would be reversed in regards to the strategic location of nuclear weapons: Beijing would be close enough to Eastern Tibet to reach with relatively short range delivery systems, while New Delhi would be moved back out of reach by the same distance. This leads us to conclude that, not only was Tibet valuable as a geopolitical buffer zone, but that it acquisition by one of the powers it previously cushioned is an inherently dangerous and destabilizing development.

    The China Problem

    That Islamic terrorists might acquire WMDs from an unstable Pakistani government is certainly the possibility that most concerns the U.S. in the immediate sense. However, this is only one of many possible dangerous developments that can be legitimately tracedback to the loss of Tibet to Communist China. Chinese ambitions in Taiwan, for example, flow from the conviction that China is legitimate in extending its political control over areas with which it has degrees of historical connection, a conviction strengthened by its unopposed conquest of Tibet. Of more pressing concern to the U.S., however, is an issue raised in the previous heading: China's own nuclear capabilities. Tibet's geographic location is not the only benefit it provides to the Chinese in their pursuit of nuclear capabilities. In fact, the most serious liability (or asset, for China) is that Tibet possesses rich stores of uranium and other radioactive materials that make the large-scale production of nuclear weapons possible. Indeed, Tibet's natural resources are unbelievably abundant: vast amounts of precious metals and gems, large amounts of easily accessible ore, and hundreds of thousands of acres of virgin forests and arable land. In China, the name used for Tibet is translated into English as "western treasure house", and it is a name both apt and revealing in how the Chinese regard this conquered land. Were it not for this abundant supply of nuclear materials, it might have been China, and not Iraq, who first began seeking these materials from Africa. As it stands, they will never need to do so.

    The fact that terrorism has proved to be the most pressing and immediate concern for the U.S. does not diminish the fact that China is maneuvering to be a superpower to rival the old Soviet empire. The implications of this fact are and must be seen by America as extremely important to our national interest over the next century. As I said before, we can no longer pretend that foreign developments will affect us only obliquely or economically; our security and our fate as a nation are tied to the larger world.

    The Moral Question

    Some would argue that America cannot take foreign action on moral or ethical grounds alone; that these are too tenuous considering the cost of foreign engagements. President Bush himself, which campaigning, implied that he disagreed with foreign involvement for the sake of nation building (though he now finds himself engaged in exactly that and in two different places). And the idea of military action to liberate Tibet is not only questionable in its political sense, considering what it would cost to engage China directly, but probably a strategic impossibility. China's conventional army is much larger that our own, and though our military technology is superior, this does not insure in any way that we could force them from Tibet, any more than we could force the PLA from North Korea. However, there are more ways to accomplish the goal of an independent Tibet than force, if we decided to do so. Part of that decision, I believe, does and should involve the moral dilemma posed by a Chinese-occupied Tibet. The human rights abuses practiced there are well documented; a review of Amnesty International's reports over the last few decades will illuminate a consistent pattern of repression that runs contrary to nearly all of our cherished ideals as free, self-governing people. While we certainly haven't the resources to eliminate political oppression in the world, we have used this rationale as justification for many of our foreign policy actions, including (in part) the war in Iraq, or "Operation Iraqi Freedom". If this justification is to stand as a real commitment to world democracy and universal liberty, we must as a nation show that we support these ideals even when our own national security is not immediately threatened. Indeed, the problem of "breeding terrorists" can be blamed, in part, on the inconsistency the rest of the world sees in our foreign policy. By taking a stand on an issue of relatively little strategic importance, where the world clearly sees which party is the aggressor, the United States would gain valuable credibility on the world stage. Also, in doing so through U.N. established guidelines, we could re-enforce our commitment to world democracy, and there is ample procedural precedent for such an option. The U.N. charter outlines several criteria a nation should meet to be entitled to independent sovereignty, and Tibet meets nearly all of these: a separate, historically defined territory; a separate and distinct language, ethnic homogeneity which is different from the state which currently governs them, a separate and distinct majority religion, etc. Internal U.N. politics, specifically China's prominent role on the Security Council, have kept these issues from coming to light. However, the U.S. certainly could bring grievances to bear in the U.N. and make significant strides towards shifting world opinion. To do so has multiple appeal: we would be standing up for the ideals we rightly cherish and upon which we founded this nation; we would gain credence on the world stage as being a legitimate advocate for universal human rights and liberty independent of our more narrowly defined nation interests; and we would be sending a message of accountability to China that it actions which defy international law and human decency will not go unanswered.

    Conclusion

    In discussing his aspirations for the future of Tibet, H.H. the Dalai Lama outlined a plan for what he called a "Zone of Peace", in essence a modern democratic state which, geopolitically, would serve the same function that Tibet did historically: a buffer between major adversaries on the largest and most populous continent on Earth. This plan would not only secure Tibetan rights to self-government and freedom from oppression, it would serve the world by stabilizing an unstable region. It is my belief that it would also serve our own national interests in a long-term and overwhelmingly positive way. To quote His Holiness "Our own security is enhanced when peace breaks out between warring parties in other continents." My hope is that these benefits will be recognized by Americans instead of overlooked as we focus our attention like a laser on the most immediate and obvious problems. China has attempted, over the last half century, to remove the Tibet question from international debate through a variety of methods, many of them unjust and some downright tyrannical. To allow them to do so would be to allow injustice and tyranny the free hand they need to survive. Truly, "All that is needed for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing". We create the world we live in each moment by our actions, and by our lack of action, whether on the global scale or the personal. Let us, in this case, try to create a world we will be proud to leave to our children, a world with security, liberty, and freedom for all peoples. America should be satisfied with nothing less.

    http://www.ornery.org/essays/2003-08-27-1.html

  • #2
    Interesting. Very interseting!


    "Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."

    I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.

    HAKUNA MATATA

    Comment


    • #3
      It's a dead issue.

      Han Chinese, through immigration and a higher birth rate, now form the majority over the native Tibettans. Short of forceful ethnic cleansing, any vote would go against the Dali Lama, who btw, isn't advocating democratic reform but a return to the God King Aristocracy. If you read his writings, he doesn't want any Han Chinese currently living in Tibet to have any say in Tibet's future.

      I, for one, would not want to lead an army trying to evict the Chinese from their homes.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by Officer of Engineers
        It's a dead issue.

        Han Chinese, through immigration and a higher birth rate, now form the majority over the native Tibettans. Short of forceful ethnic cleansing, any vote would go against the Dali Lama, who btw, isn't advocating democratic reform but a return to the God King Aristocracy. If you read his writings, he doesn't want any Han Chinese currently living in Tibet to have any say in Tibet's future.

        I, for one, would not want to lead an army trying to evict the Chinese from their homes.
        Just so we're clear is wrong for the Israelis to settle on Palestinian land, but when the your buddies the Chinese do it that's fine.

        Until you provided an example of these "writings" of the Dalai Lama I will believe what comes out of his mouth.

        Comment


        • #5
          Colonel Sir,
          I always thought that Dalai Lama was advocating a Tibetean state in China with increased autonomy.

          But i do agree, its a dead issue.
          A grain of wheat eclipsed the sun of Adam !!

          Comment


          • #6
            I never said anything about the Israeli-Palestinian issue. Your prejudice is leaving your objectivity in the dark. It's only a statement of fact that the Han Chinese now outnumbers the ethnic Tibettans in Tibet. To displace them would require the complete military might of the US and then some.

            Ownership is nine-tenths of the law. The current countries of Hungary, France, Germany, even Greece, Turkey, never mind the US and Canada, are made by peoples not indigenious to the land and had in fact, displaced the original inhabitants.

            Israel is a recent creation (post WWII) but does not make the above fact less revelent. I wouldn't want to lead an army to kick Israelis out of their homes either. Probably the last chance this could have happenned was 1956.

            There's no need to read the Dali Lama words. You're already reflecting his thoughts, making a distinction between Tibettans and Chinese. One should note that the Chinese themselves make no distinctions when addressing the inhabittants of Tibet.

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Jay
              Colonel Sir,
              I always thought that Dalai Lama was advocating a Tibetean state in China with increased autonomy.

              But i do agree, its a dead issue.
              Depends on which time frame you're talking about. During the Tibettan uprising, repulsion of a foreign occupier. During the Great Proliterate Cultural Revolution, independence. During Deng Xia Peng's time, a buffer neutral state. After that, it's a client state in the Chinese sphere of influence.

              Legally speaking (meaning under Chinese law - take it for what it's worth - meaning very little), Tibet is already an autonomous region within China.

              Comment


              • #8
                We tend to look at Tibet, Afghanistan and Iraq in isolation. This does not give the true picture. We must look at it on a broader canvas. My post may appear disjointed but space constraint forces it so.

                Issues to ponder:-

                1. Oil is a key and there is no going away from it. While the US is not keen on the oil [it ahs enough] to deny control of oil to others for strategic reasons is the rationale. Therefore, IRAQ IS IMPORTANT AND KEEPING OTHERS OFF THE MIDDLE EAST IS IMPORTANT.
                2. The sustenance of Israel is but its raison d'être, inspite of appearing one sided, so that there is a guaranteed base to operate from against inimical countries of that region.
                3. Likewise, Russia [erstwhile superpower, hoping to regain her glory one day] and China [aspiring superpower] are not in anyway unintelligent of the rules of the 'Great Game'. Therefore, Russia has ensured that the CAR are more or less with them so that the US is denied CAR oil.
                4. Likewise, Russia has roped in [or is it the other way] China and other players in the 'Shanghai Five' to ensure that the commonality of interest thwarts US 'expansionism'.
                5. To ensure that China does not become too powerful a power in Russian backyard, through her surrogate Pakistan [as per 'Unholy War', China trained and equipped Pak backed Taliban], Russia supported to the hilt the US effort against the Taliban.
                6. This, thus, kept the Islamic influence [the genuine type of Islam] away from CAR. Yet, the Russians are enjoying the discomfort of the US in both Afghanistan and Iraq and for all one may know abetting it.
                7. Or else, for example, why build nuclear facilities for Iran, which can't stand the US and keeps the US on tenterhooks?
                8. China, on the other hand, is wary of the Ujghurs and the spread of Islam crescent through Xinjaing Moslem insurgents. There is always the danger of that if these Muslims gain an upper hand, the resurrection will spread to Tibet. It must be remembered China is not merely Hans, there are many minorities and ethnic groups [who as is natural] do not appreciate the dominance of the Hans. This can create immense instability in China and that cannot be accepted by China. Hence, the Chinese have in a big way [including financial sops] tired to lure the Hans to proliferate in all minority areas. This will ensure that the Hans are more prosperous and are in a majority to ensure Han dominance.
                9. China must keep Pakistan on its side to offset India as also ensure that there is control over the Islamic elements sine Pakistan is said to be the 'cradle of Islamic resurgence'.
                10. The Muslim world is fed up with the slur on them because of Osama's deeds. There are seething and gnawing at the bit. Mahatir has rung the deaths knell to the continuing slur on Islam through his 'Jews rule the world' speech and he is a leader who rarely minces his words. Likewise, Saudi Arabia is tugging at its leash of being an US surrogate in the Islamic eyes. She has made a secret pact with Pakistan to produce nukes. Should she produce them, Whither will go Israel?

                The world order is changing and it does not appear comfortable. Much that people on this board may not appreciate but Bush must slow down. If you kick people to the wall, they will retaliate and the retaliation may not be clean. It pains me that the US which is the melting pot of all races and which had the respect of the world, is becoming friendless; even their ardent ally - Europe is deserting them. Little nations supporting them like some silly island in the Pacific may add to the numbers but not in any significant way. Even Tony, the ardent fan, has had a heart attack; forget about the euphemisms that are being bandied to cover it up.

                Quo Vadis, Good Earth?


                "Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."

                I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.

                HAKUNA MATATA

                Comment


                • #9
                  Sir,

                  A modern day Great Game? Please clarify.

                  If I follow you correctly (and I may not), then the Islamic countries, even India, are mere pawns between Russia, China, and the US.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Officer of Engineers
                    Sir,

                    A modern day Great Game? Please clarify.

                    If I follow you correctly (and I may not), then the Islamic countries, even India, are mere pawns between Russia, China, and the US.
                    Yes, the Great Game.

                    I wonder if all are Pawns. Some have an agenda. The news report states that India is trying to have a Base in Tajikisthan. and Krygyzthan has given Russians a Base.

                    Your views. please.


                    "Some have learnt many Tricks of sly Evasion, Instead of Truth they use Equivocation, And eke it out with mental Reservation, Which is to good Men an Abomination."

                    I don't have to attend every argument I'm invited to.

                    HAKUNA MATATA

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Sir,

                      Your thinking and your experiences surpasses mine. The dynamics and the subtleties escapes me and truth be told, I cannot imagine Jiang nor Bush to be able to play the Great Game. Putin might but the days of Bismarck and Victoria are over. Deng Xia Peng, Zhou En Lai, Brezhnev, Kissinger, Thactcher, and Regan were the last Great Players.

                      Putin, giving the resources of the old USSR would have been able to do better but he had a bad hand to start with.

                      The situation is that the Great Powers' actions are limited. Both Iraq and Afghanistan are expansion and also the limits of American power. The Americans are tied down. As is the Russians in Chechnya and the Chinese are pre-occupied with Xinjiang and Taiwan.

                      This leaves India to expand her position though some might argue that Pakistan checks her to which I do not agree.

                      However, India's expansion is limited by her own limited resources.

                      I do agree that oil is the primary raison d'etre for the strategic game but both China and Russia has large estimated reserves. The US can do nothing about Russian oil in Siberia nor Chinese reserves in Inner Mongolia. The only thing that they can do is to lower oil prices in the world in general so that it won't be worthwhile for both Russia and China to exploit their positions. I say this because no one has taken the risk to exploit the Alberta Tar Pits in Canada despite the proven oil reserves there.

                      But I wonder, Sir, wouldn't water be a greater cause of a new Great Game?

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        You HIT the right spot, Colonel!!!

                        Water is seriously become a contentious issue in India.

                        India is thinking of getting out of the Indus River Treaty to force Pakistan to stop aiding terrorism in Kashmir. However it is limited because there are rivers in Tibet that feeds two of the mightiest rivers in Asia, the Ganges and Brahmaputra.

                        Most of the waters come from the Himilayas. India doesn't exactly control the Himilayas. China don't either but they do control the point of origin and several tributiaries that feed the rivers. India has to be careful playing around with the water issues for national security gains.

                        Remember my post about great nations getting over it? Well there is one way. That is, desaltination plants. Yes it is hideously expensive. But it is a sure guarantee that we won't be dependent on other people's terms for the right to water like several countries do in the Middle East region. For example, look at Syria when it comes to Turkey damming the Euphrates river. Syria is getting less water now and Syria can't do anything about it because it got a piss poor military to show for it and not much of an economy either.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          BM,

                          Desalination requires energy. IE, hydro-electric or oil or nuclear.

                          Countries may decide that it might be cheaper to goto war.

                          Last edited by Officer of Engineers; 23 Oct 03,, 06:11.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            hmmm, very good point. Water.. Off topic, but..
                            Recently, I think, Israel threatened Lebanon with military action if they diverted water from the Wazzani river, which provides about 20% of the water that flows into the Sea of Galilee - Israel's main source of drinking water.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Actually, now that I recall, desalination cannot work. It's not drinking water that's the problem. It's water for irrigation (ie farmlands) and for the livestock (ie cattle, sheep, goats, camels, etc)

                              When speaking of water of this quantity, if denied, war is the only option.

                              Comment

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