Page 2 of 26 FirstFirst 1234567891011 ... LastLast
Results 16 to 30 of 381

Thread: Trump guarentees Obama landslide

  1. #16
    Ex-Wabber Defense Professional
    Join Date
    10 Dec 04
    Posts
    7,029
    Quote Originally Posted by astralis View Post
    sure, sounds good. if inflation < 6%/obama is re-elected, that is one butter cookie tin apiece. if i am lucky enough to win you can just donate the cookies to the troops.
    Waita sec- I'm not going to bet on inflation numbers, that's a phony gov't statistic. My aluminum is already up 35% and SS even higher. Cattle on the hoof is up 50% from last year, but there is "no inflation".

    I'll bet on barry getting the boot, and I'll bet on GDP growth less than 6%. Or both.
    "We will go through our federal budget – page by page, line by line – eliminating those programs we don’t need, and insisting that those we do operate in a sensible cost-effective way." -President Barack Obama 11/25/2008

  2. #17
    Senior Contributor
    Join Date
    07 Oct 08
    Location
    CT
    Posts
    5,229
    Quote Originally Posted by astralis View Post
    if huntsman or pawlenty runs, then i would be worried about losing the butter cookies. i still don't think either would win, but it would be quite close.

    if anyone else obama cleans up. if it's palin or bachmann obama wipes the floor with them.



    i'm willing to bet a tin of butter cookies on this one, too. unemployment in 2012 will probably hover around 8.5% and falling, absent another serious war or ME crisis gas will be roughly at current rates, high chance that Gaddafi is ousted by year end. growth rate will be considerably higher than 1% (it was 2.7% in 2010).
    i already have one ongoing bet with zraver re: inflation, although your guess of 6% inflation is rather lower than z's belief that we will be in hyperinflationary hell. it'll still be nowhere close to 6% though; it's 2.1% now.
    Jobless Rate at 2012 Presidential Vote Forecast at 7.7% - WSJ.com
    They really try to spin that 7.7% would be a bad thing but coming off the heals of the worst economic downturn in 80 years I think that's a real stretch. With as has been said here predictions of 9 percent coming from the right 7.7 will seem all the more remarkable especially when mirrored of the right's the doom prognostications.
    Where free unions and collective bargaining are forbidden, freedom is lost.”
    ~Ronald Reagan

  3. #18
    Official Thread Jacker Senior Contributor gunnut's Avatar
    Join Date
    27 Jan 06
    Location
    DPRK, Demokratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
    Posts
    22,736
    Quote Originally Posted by highsea View Post
    Waita sec- I'm not going to bet on inflation numbers, that's a phony gov't statistic. My aluminum is already up 35% and SS even higher. Cattle on the hoof is up 50% from last year, but there is "no inflation".

    I'll bet on barry getting the boot, and I'll bet on GDP growth less than 6%. Or both.
    That is true. I just noticed items in the supermarket to be more expensive now than 1 year ago. I used to get chips for $3. Now it's $3.50 on sale. Local pizzaria just increased the prices of smoothies from $2.50 to $3.00. Let's not even venture into gasoline land.
    "Only Nixon can go to China." -- Old Vulcan proverb.

  4. #19
    Senior Contributor
    Join Date
    07 Oct 08
    Location
    CT
    Posts
    5,229
    Quote Originally Posted by highsea View Post
    Waita sec- I'm not going to bet on inflation numbers, that's a phony gov't statistic. My aluminum is already up 35% and SS even higher. Cattle on the hoof is up 50% from last year, but there is "no inflation".

    I'll bet on barry getting the boot, and I'll bet on GDP growth less than 6%. Or both.
    Have we seen 6 percent gdp since Clinton?
    Where free unions and collective bargaining are forbidden, freedom is lost.”
    ~Ronald Reagan

  5. #20
    Senior Contributor
    Join Date
    07 Oct 08
    Location
    CT
    Posts
    5,229
    Quote Originally Posted by gunnut View Post
    That is true. I just noticed items in the supermarket to be more expensive now than 1 year ago. I used to get chips for $3. Now it's $3.50 on sale. Local pizzaria just increased the prices of smoothies from $2.50 to $3.00. Let's not even venture into gasoline land.
    It's a standard formula used undfer both republican and democrat administrations.
    Where free unions and collective bargaining are forbidden, freedom is lost.”
    ~Ronald Reagan

  6. #21
    Official Thread Jacker Senior Contributor gunnut's Avatar
    Join Date
    27 Jan 06
    Location
    DPRK, Demokratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
    Posts
    22,736
    Quote Originally Posted by astralis View Post
    i'm willing to bet a tin of butter cookies on this one, too. unemployment in 2012 will probably hover around 8.5% and falling, absent another serious war or ME crisis gas will be roughly at current rates, high chance that Gaddafi is ousted by year end. growth rate will be considerably higher than 1% (it was 2.7% in 2010).

    i already have one ongoing bet with zraver re: inflation, although your guess of 6% inflation is rather lower than z's belief that we will be in hyperinflationary hell. it'll still be nowhere close to 6% though; it's 2.1% now.
    I'm preparing for the "worst" case scenario.

    How about a tin of butter cookies on gas reaching $6 sometime in 2012? That would be the national average (as published by AAA) and not the obscene SF number or Hawaii prices.
    "Only Nixon can go to China." -- Old Vulcan proverb.

  7. #22
    Senior Contributor
    Join Date
    07 Oct 08
    Location
    CT
    Posts
    5,229
    Quote Originally Posted by gunnut View Post
    I'm preparing for the "worst" case scenario.

    How about a tin of butter cookies on gas reaching $6 sometime in 2012? That would be the national average (as published by AAA) and not the obscene SF number or Hawaii prices.
    I'd expect it to be in the 5 plus range. Most "experts" were saying once the global recession was over they expected oil to shoot right back up.
    Where free unions and collective bargaining are forbidden, freedom is lost.”
    ~Ronald Reagan

  8. #23
    Ex-Wabber Defense Professional
    Join Date
    10 Dec 04
    Posts
    7,029
    Quote Originally Posted by Roosveltrepub View Post
    Have we seen 6 percent gdp since Clinton?
    Yeah, in Obama's budget projections.
    "We will go through our federal budget – page by page, line by line – eliminating those programs we don’t need, and insisting that those we do operate in a sensible cost-effective way." -President Barack Obama 11/25/2008

  9. #24
    Official Thread Jacker Senior Contributor gunnut's Avatar
    Join Date
    27 Jan 06
    Location
    DPRK, Demokratik People's Republik of Kalifornia
    Posts
    22,736
    Quote Originally Posted by Roosveltrepub View Post
    I'd expect it to be in the 5 plus range. Most "experts" were saying once the global recession was over they expected oil to shoot right back up.
    We should hit $5 by year's end. If recovery continues globally, we will see $6 gas next year. That, of course, also has something to do with prinint up money.

    I will definitely see $5 a gallon before year's end.
    "Only Nixon can go to China." -- Old Vulcan proverb.

  10. #25
    Staff Emeritus Julie's Avatar
    Join Date
    04 Aug 03
    Location
    Georgia, USA
    Posts
    10,744
    Quote Originally Posted by astralis View Post
    wanna make a butter cookie bet on this?
    I'll see that bet AND raise you a tin.

    If the election were held today, Trump would beat Obama in a landslide, 68 to 13 percent.
    Newsmax Poll: Trump Overwhelms Obama, GOP Field in 2012 Race

    AND

    Paul Ryan Tops Tea Party Poll as Presidential Favorite

    A Ryan-Rubio ticket is a winner over Obama in my opinion.

  11. #26
    Administrator
    Lei Feng Protege
    Defense Professional
    Join Date
    23 Aug 05
    Location
    Arlington, VA
    Posts
    11,153
    highsea,

    I'll bet on barry getting the boot, and I'll bet on GDP growth less than 6%. Or both.
    i'll bet on the former, not the latter. the latter is not likely to happen and has too many outside variables.
    There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there has always been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that "My ignorance is just as good as your knowledge."- Isaac Asimov

  12. #27
    Administrator
    Lei Feng Protege
    Defense Professional
    Join Date
    23 Aug 05
    Location
    Arlington, VA
    Posts
    11,153
    gunnut,

    How about a tin of butter cookies on gas reaching $6 sometime in 2012? That would be the national average (as published by AAA) and not the obscene SF number or Hawaii prices
    i would agree to that with two caveats, 1.) no major middle east war/OPEC interference and 2.) $6 for an extended period of time, say several months.
    There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there has always been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that "My ignorance is just as good as your knowledge."- Isaac Asimov

  13. #28
    Administrator
    Lei Feng Protege
    Defense Professional
    Join Date
    23 Aug 05
    Location
    Arlington, VA
    Posts
    11,153
    julie,

    I'll see that bet AND raise you a tin.
    okay, let's do a similar bet as the one i made to highsea: if obama loses in 2012 i owe you in a tin. if not, you owe me a tin.

    and i'll buy you 10 tins if trump wins. that Newsmax poll was an "internet poll sponsored by Newsmax.com"...yeah...no way there's sampling/bias errors there...
    There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there has always been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that "My ignorance is just as good as your knowledge."- Isaac Asimov

  14. #29
    Administrator Tarek Morgen's Avatar
    Join Date
    08 Feb 07
    Location
    Kassel
    Posts
    4,413
    Uh Julie, from your article:

    An Internet poll sponsored by Newsmax.com reveals that Americans overwhelmingly favor Donald Trump as their preferred candidate for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012.
    An Internet poll is never representative, even more so when on a side that like newsmax which is aimed at very conservative readers. Obama would get trashed by anyone there, just like any GOP candidate would get trashed in a similar poll on, let's say moveon.org.

  15. #30
    Global Moderator
    Dirty Kiwi
    Parihaka's Avatar
    Join Date
    10 Nov 04
    Location
    Wellington, Te Ika a Maui, Aotearoa
    Posts
    18,178
    In the mean time I expect all the butter cookies to be sent to me to hold in safe keeping
    In the realm of spirit, seek clarity; in the material world, seek utility

    Gottfried Leibniz

Page 2 of 26 FirstFirst 1234567891011 ... LastLast

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. Donald Trump Tells Friends He Will Run for President, Report Says
    By Julie in forum American Politics & Economy
    Replies: 29
    Last Post: 02 Mar 11,, 19:01
  2. Donald Trump Has Dissapointed Me
    By THL in forum International Economy
    Replies: 35
    Last Post: 09 Jan 07,, 20:11
  3. Trump: Let Me Rebuild U.N. Headquarters
    By Shek in forum International Politics
    Replies: 5
    Last Post: 23 Jul 05,, 19:27

Share this thread with friends:

Share this thread with friends:

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •